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1111 Evan Perry Rd
B Composite 74.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +9.7/10.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$89,900

1111 Evan Perry Rd · Jamesville, NC 27846
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · Manufactured public records · 68 Days on market
Built 1999 0.72 ac lot Est $152k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Double wide on 3/4 acre lot. This 3 BR 2BA home is located in the country, has outbuildings, with an additional electric hook-up. Come look at this home and put your finishing touches on it to make it your own.

Key facts

  • 3/4 acre lot
  • Outbuildings
  • Electric hook-up

Tags

3/4 ACRE LOTOUTBUILDINGSELECTRIC HOOK-UP

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property; One-level / single story; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Barn(s); Open lot; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; No cooling system
  • Interior features: Partially furnished; 7 total rooms; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $213 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($963 rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#573 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Martin County Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #150 of 178 in NC (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Jamesville Elementary (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #302 of 1,410 statewide, top 23%, 208 students, 99% FRL); Riverside Middle (math 18% / reading 33%, grade F, #388 of 475 statewide, top 83%, 364 students, 99% FRL); Riverside High (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #459 of 535 statewide, top 87%, 447 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 62% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
  • Martin County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
9.13%
Cash-on-cash
10.15%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$151,536
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2061 Dymond City Rd 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,296 (+5%) 6mo $159,000 $123 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.7%
Equity multiple
3.36×
Total profit
$59,281
Equity at exit
$77,575
10-year hold
IRR
26.7%
Equity multiple
7.48×
Total profit
$163,085
Equity at exit
$163,787

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27846

Home prices YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$963 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $472/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$202
Net cashflow
$213

Break-even live

Break-even rent $694
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $264 -5% $238 +0% $213 +5% $187 +10% $162
Rent -10% $137 -5% $175 +0% $213 +5% $251 +10% $289
Rate -1.0pp $258 -0.5pp $236 base $213 +0.5pp $190 +1.0pp $166

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    status $89,900 Pending 68 DOM
  2. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,900 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 63 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 58 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 57 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-04-05
    listed $89,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$472 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$737 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$265/yr (+$22/mo · 56.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,562
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$472
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$925
− Management
−$925
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$1,139
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$273
After-tax cash flow
$2,281/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Martin County Schools
NCES district ID
3702880
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$35,403
Composite
23.94/100
National rank
#7781
State rank
#150 of 178 in NC

Livability — Jamesville

Score
58/100
State rank
#573
US rank
#21170

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,689

Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,018 people
By 2030
19,693 · -6.3%
By 2040
16,793 · -20.1%
By 2050
14,171 · -32.6%
By 2075
9,804 · -53.4%
By 2100
6,894 · -67.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 23% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% German 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Martin

2024 margin
R (+10.3) · D 44.6% · R 54.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -10.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.3 2020: R+5.0 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.48%
Current HPI
155.5151
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-05 Listed $89,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

-3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $472 · -10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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