198 New England Rd · Belfast, ME
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $669 – $1,243
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Schools +6.7/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Set on 5 peaceful acres just outside Searsmont Village and only 15 minutes to Belfast, this property presents a great opportunity to build equity or start fresh with a new mobile, modular, or stick-built home. The setting is quiet and private, with plenty of space to enjoy the outdoors. The existing 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom single-wide mobile home is older and in need of improvements but provides a solid base for sweat equity, or you can focus on the true value found in the land and established infrastructure. A well, septic system, power, and on-demand generator are already in place, along with a garage and outbuilding that provide ample storage or workshop space. Whether you're looking to re
Key facts
- Workshop space
- 5 peaceful acres
- Ample storage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash
Exterior
- Parking: Has garage with 1 garage space; Gravel parking for 1–4 vehicles
- Utilities: Private sewer; Circuit breakers for electric; Well water
- Home design: Mobile home; Cedarbrook model by Astro; Single-story (entry level: first floor)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Gravel/pad foundation; Year built information not provided
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Outbuilding; Trees/Woods view; 6-acre lot; Private well water
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 on the first floor; Bedroom 2 on the first floor; Bedroom 3 on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Direct vent furnace (heating); Circuit breaker electrical panel
- Interior features: Accessible approach with ramp; 7 total rooms; Dirt floor basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 2.5% in Belfast — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#14 in ME, #1,247 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- RSU 71 (town): math 79% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #85 of 112 in ME (top 76%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 143 units permitted in Waldo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
- Waldo County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.10%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,815
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -43.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
6.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.80×
- Total profit
- $49,947
- Equity at exit
- $65,994
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.77×
- Total profit
- $132,248
- Equity at exit
- $123,064
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Maine
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 04973
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,253 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,801/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $279
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 861-char remark
-
2026-05-06$99,000 Active 861-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,801 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,801 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,036
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,801
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,203
- − Management
- −$1,203
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $1,909
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$458
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,895/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- RSU 71
- NCES district ID
- 2314822
- Math proficiency
- 79% ▲ 55.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 82% ▲ 34.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,774
- Composite
- 67.47/100
- National rank
- #374
- State rank
- #85 of 112 in ME
Livability — Belfast
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #14
- US rank
- #1247
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 9,030
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,494
Population outlook (Waldo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,611 people
- By 2030
- 39,475 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 38,245 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 36,078 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 29,774 · -24.8%
- By 2100
- 22,172 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Russian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Waldo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 47.0% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 3.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+3.4 2020: D+4.7 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+10.7 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.60%
- Current HPI
- 295.9611
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — MREIS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $99,000 MREIS
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,801 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…