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12823 W 13th Ave #13
C- Composite 51.06
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$36,000

12823 W 13th Ave #13 · Airway Heights, WA 99001
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1976 $25/sqft · 80% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Priced to Sell, spacious home with versatile potential! Motivated Seller! Reviewing all offers! Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home on leased land in Airway Heights with 1,440 sq. ft. of living space. Features include a partially finished day room, perfect for an office or bonus room, a fenced yard for pets or play, and a primary en suite with ample space for a soaking tub. The kitchen features a built-in glass cooktop on the island, allowing you to stay connected while cooking! Conveniently located near the highway, restaurants, and shopping. Financing is available

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Primary en suite
  • Built 1976

Tags

FENCED YARDPRIMARY EN SUITEBUILT-IN GLASS COOKTOP

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $36k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $36k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 44.0% vs local median 3.1% in Airway Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#204 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities D-.
  • Cheney School District (town): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #140 of 291 in WA (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,608 units permitted in Spokane County in 2024 (1,792 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $493 of equity ($249 loan paydown + $244 appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
  • Spokane County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $34,920 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.77%
Cap rate
43.96%
Cash-on-cash
134.54%
DSCR
6.99
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$180,000
List price
$36,000
Delta
-80.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
831 S Ziegler St 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (0%) 2mo $180,000 $125 73
13716 W 13th Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,560 (+8%) 22mo $370,000 $237 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.15×
Total profit
$72,101
Equity at exit
$11,692
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.03×
Total profit
$161,592
Equity at exit
$15,085

Cash invested: $10,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 99001

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,716 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$189
Tax from tax record
$21 /mo · $257/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$1,130

Break-even live

Break-even rent $285
Max offer price $36,000
Occupancy floor 29%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,000
Closing costs
$1,080
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12406 W 11th Ave Airway Heights, WA 3.0 2.0 1350 $2,000 $1.48 43d 1 0.25mi
831 S Avalon St Airway Heights, WA 3.0 3.0 1442 $1,895 $1.31 13d 1 0.41mi
12501 W 6th Ave Airway Heights, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1033 $1,888 $1.83 13d 10 0.42mi
Airway Townhomes Garfield, Chandler, & Avalon Airway Heights, WA 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,745 $1.16 13d 3 0.43mi
802 S Garfield Rd Airway Heights, WA 3.0 1.0–2.0 870 $1,567 $1.80 13d 12 0.47mi
12416 W Meadow Ct Airway Heights, WA 3.0 2.0 1592 $2,100 $1.32 13d 1 0.62mi
13660 W 6th Ave Airway Heights, WA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1152 $995 $0.86 13d 1 0.77mi
11103 W 6th Ave Airway Heights, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 768 $1,555 $2.02 13d 1 1.15mi
304 S Kalispel Way Airway Heights, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1018 $1,694 $1.66 13d 11 1.18mi
1605 S Hayford Rd Spokane, WA 2.0 2.0 950 $1,700 $1.79 43d 1 1.31mi
1715 S Hayford Rd Unit S-306 Spokane, WA 3.0 2.0 1168 $1,650 $1.41 13d 1 1.42mi
1715 S Hayford Rd Apt 302N Spokane, WA 2.0 2.0 962 $1,300 $1.35 43d 1 1.42mi
1715 S Hayford Rd Unit J-202 Spokane, WA 1.0 1.0 886 $1,395 $1.57 13d 1 1.42mi
1715 S Hayford Rd Apt 306M Spokane, WA 3.0 2.0 1168 $1,650 $1.41 43d 1 1.42mi
1715 S Hayford Rd Apt 202P Spokane, WA 1.0 1.0 886 $1,495 $1.69 43d 1 1.42mi
1715 S Hayford Rd Apt 301N Spokane, WA 2.0 2.0 962 $1,475 $1.53 43d 1 1.42mi
1715 S Hayford Rd Unit N-202 Spokane, WA 2.0 2.0 962 $1,475 $1.53 23d 1 1.42mi
1715 S Hayford Rd Unit R-100 Spokane, WA 2.0 2.0 962 $1,375 $1.43 43d 1 1.42mi
1715 S Hayford Rd Unit R-100 Spokane, WA 2.0 2.0 962 $1,295 $1.35 23d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-04-01
    listed $36,000 Active 579-char remark
    Show marketing remark (579 chars)

    Priced to Sell, spacious home with versatile potential! Motivated Seller! Reviewing all offers! Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home on leased land in Airway Heights with 1,440 sq. ft. of living space. Features include a partially finished day room, perfect for an office or bonus room, a fenced yard for pets or play, and a primary en suite with ample space for a soaking tub. The kitchen features a built-in glass cooktop on the island, allowing you to stay connected while cooking! Conveniently located near the highway, restaurants, and shopping. Financing is available

  2. 2026-04-01
    historical
    Show marketing remark (579 chars)

    Priced to Sell, spacious home with versatile potential! Motivated Seller! Reviewing all offers! Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home on leased land in Airway Heights with 1,440 sq. ft. of living space. Features include a partially finished day room, perfect for an office or bonus room, a fenced yard for pets or play, and a primary en suite with ample space for a soaking tub. The kitchen features a built-in glass cooktop on the island, allowing you to stay connected while cooking! Conveniently located near the highway, restaurants, and shopping. Financing is available

  3. 2026-03-18
    price $36,000
  4. 2026-02-05
    listed $44,000 Active
  5. 2026-01-30
    historical
  6. 2025-12-29
    price $37,000
  7. 2025-12-29
    status Active
  8. 2025-11-25
    price $45,000
  9. 2025-11-19
    price $49,000
  10. 2025-09-30
    listed $51,000 Active
  11. 2024-01-31
    soldstatus $25,000 Closed
  12. 2023-12-26
    status Active
  13. 2023-12-07
    listed $30,000
  14. 2023-12-07
    historical
  15. 2023-11-27
    status Pending
  16. 2023-11-26
    historical
  17. 2023-11-20
    listed $30,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$257 · $21/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$353 · $29/mo
Expected delta
+$96/yr (+$8/mo · 37.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,587
− Mortgage interest
−$2,017
− Property taxes
−$257
− Insurance
−$180
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,647
− Management
−$1,647
− Depreciation
−$1,047
Taxable income
$13,793
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,310
After-tax cash flow
$10,251/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cheney School District
NCES district ID
5301230
Math proficiency
47% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,800
Composite
45.66/100
National rank
#5637
State rank
#140 of 291 in WA

Livability — Airway Heights

Score
73/100
State rank
#204
US rank
#5600

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Airway Heights, WA
County
Spokane County · 496,401 people
City population
9,440
Metro
Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
Population (ZIP)
9,440
Household income
$62,518
Rent vs Own
67.9% rent · 32.1% own
Severe rent burden
345.0

Population outlook (Spokane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
531,314 people
By 2030
549,278 · +3.4%
By 2040
577,822 · +8.8%
By 2050
598,188 · +12.6%
By 2075
630,744 · +18.7%
By 2100
622,360 · +17.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 7% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 5% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Czech 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Arabic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Spokane

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.0% · R 51.0% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.1pp · 2024: -5.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+8.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.68%
Current HPI
333.0166
Rent YoY
Metro
Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+20.0% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Listing Removed SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $36,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $36,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $44,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-30 Listing Removed SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-29 Price Changed $37,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-29 Relisted SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-25 Price Changed $45,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-19 Price Changed $49,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-30 Listed $51,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-31 Sold (MLS) $25,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-26 Relisted SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-07 Listed $30,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-07 Listing Removed SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-27 Pending SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-26 Listing Removed SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-20 Listed $30,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+9.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $257 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…