12823 W 13th Ave #13 · Airway Heights, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$36,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to Sell, spacious home with versatile potential! Motivated Seller! Reviewing all offers! Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home on leased land in Airway Heights with 1,440 sq. ft. of living space. Features include a partially finished day room, perfect for an office or bonus room, a fenced yard for pets or play, and a primary en suite with ample space for a soaking tub. The kitchen features a built-in glass cooktop on the island, allowing you to stay connected while cooking! Conveniently located near the highway, restaurants, and shopping. Financing is available
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Primary en suite
- Built 1976
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $36k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $36k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 44.0% vs local median 3.1% in Airway Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#204 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities D-.
- Cheney School District (town): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #140 of 291 in WA (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,608 units permitted in Spokane County in 2024 (1,792 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $493 of equity ($249 loan paydown + $244 appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
- Spokane County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 43.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 134.54%
- DSCR
- 6.99
- GRM
- 1.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $180,000
- List price
- $36,000
- Delta
- -80.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 831 S Ziegler St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (0%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $125 | 73 |
| 13716 W 13th Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,560 (+8%) | 22mo | $370,000 | $237 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.15×
- Total profit
- $72,101
- Equity at exit
- $11,692
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 17.03×
- Total profit
- $161,592
- Equity at exit
- $15,085
Cash invested: $10,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99001
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 1.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,716 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$189
- Tax from tax record
- −$21 /mo · $257/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $1,130
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,000
- Closing costs
- $1,080
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12406 W 11th Ave Airway Heights, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,000 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 831 S Avalon St Airway Heights, WA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1442 | $1,895 | $1.31 | 13d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 12501 W 6th Ave Airway Heights, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1033 | $1,888 | $1.83 | 13d | 10 | 0.42mi |
| Airway Townhomes Garfield, Chandler, & Avalon Airway Heights, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,745 | $1.16 | 13d | 3 | 0.43mi |
| 802 S Garfield Rd Airway Heights, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $1,567 | $1.80 | 13d | 12 | 0.47mi |
| 12416 W Meadow Ct Airway Heights, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1592 | $2,100 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 13660 W 6th Ave Airway Heights, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $995 | $0.86 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 11103 W 6th Ave Airway Heights, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 768 | $1,555 | $2.02 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 304 S Kalispel Way Airway Heights, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1018 | $1,694 | $1.66 | 13d | 11 | 1.18mi |
| 1605 S Hayford Rd Spokane, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,700 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1715 S Hayford Rd Unit S-306 Spokane, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,650 | $1.41 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1715 S Hayford Rd Apt 302N Spokane, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1715 S Hayford Rd Unit J-202 Spokane, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 886 | $1,395 | $1.57 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1715 S Hayford Rd Apt 306M Spokane, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,650 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1715 S Hayford Rd Apt 202P Spokane, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 886 | $1,495 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1715 S Hayford Rd Apt 301N Spokane, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,475 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1715 S Hayford Rd Unit N-202 Spokane, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,475 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1715 S Hayford Rd Unit R-100 Spokane, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,375 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1715 S Hayford Rd Unit R-100 Spokane, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,295 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-04-01$36,000 Active 579-char remark
Show marketing remark (579 chars)
Priced to Sell, spacious home with versatile potential! Motivated Seller! Reviewing all offers! Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home on leased land in Airway Heights with 1,440 sq. ft. of living space. Features include a partially finished day room, perfect for an office or bonus room, a fenced yard for pets or play, and a primary en suite with ample space for a soaking tub. The kitchen features a built-in glass cooktop on the island, allowing you to stay connected while cooking! Conveniently located near the highway, restaurants, and shopping. Financing is available
-
2026-04-01historical
Show marketing remark (579 chars)
Priced to Sell, spacious home with versatile potential! Motivated Seller! Reviewing all offers! Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home on leased land in Airway Heights with 1,440 sq. ft. of living space. Features include a partially finished day room, perfect for an office or bonus room, a fenced yard for pets or play, and a primary en suite with ample space for a soaking tub. The kitchen features a built-in glass cooktop on the island, allowing you to stay connected while cooking! Conveniently located near the highway, restaurants, and shopping. Financing is available
-
2026-03-18price $36,000
-
2026-02-05$44,000 Active
-
2026-01-30historical
-
2025-12-29price $37,000
-
2025-12-29status Active
-
2025-11-25price $45,000
-
2025-11-19price $49,000
-
2025-09-30$51,000 Active
-
2024-01-31soldstatus $25,000 Closed
-
2023-12-26status Active
-
2023-12-07$30,000
-
2023-12-07historical
-
2023-11-27status Pending
-
2023-11-26historical
-
2023-11-20$30,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $257 · $21/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $353 · $29/mo
- Expected delta
- +$96/yr (+$8/mo · 37.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,587
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,017
- − Property taxes
- −$257
- − Insurance
- −$180
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,647
- − Management
- −$1,647
- − Depreciation
- −$1,047
- Taxable income
- $13,793
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,310
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,251/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cheney School District
- NCES district ID
- 5301230
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,800
- Composite
- 45.66/100
- National rank
- #5637
- State rank
- #140 of 291 in WA
Livability — Airway Heights
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #204
- US rank
- #5600
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Airway Heights, WA
- County
- Spokane County · 496,401 people
- City population
- 9,440
- Metro
- Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,440
- Household income
- $62,518
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 345.0
Population outlook (Spokane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 531,314 people
- By 2030
- 549,278 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 577,822 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 598,188 · +12.6%
- By 2075
- 630,744 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 622,360 · +17.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 7% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 5% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Czech 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Spokane
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.0% · R 51.0% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.1pp · 2024: -5.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+8.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- Current HPI
- 333.0166
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
||
Price history
+20.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listed $36,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $36,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-05 Listed $44,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Listing Removed — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-29 Price Changed $37,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-29 Relisted — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $45,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-19 Price Changed $49,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-30 Listed $51,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-31 Sold (MLS) $25,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-26 Relisted — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-07 Listed $30,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-07 Listing Removed — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-27 Pending — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-26 Listing Removed — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-20 Listed $30,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.5%/yrLatest (2026): $257 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…