Bayshore Plan · West Vero Corridor, FL 32966

$186,900

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,460 sqft · Manufactured · 163 Days on market

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.7/30.0
• DSCR +8.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.4/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

55+ age qualified community. Welcome to Village Green, a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where your dream home is coming to life. We are excited to offer a stunning, brand new, beautiful 2025 2 bed, 2 bath home with den for sale, featuring approximately 1460.48 sq ft of thoughtfully designed living space. This home will not disappoint! Ready for move in! Located in Vero Beach, this home offers the perfect blend of modern design and timeless comfort. When you step inside and experience your home with a spacious floor plan, high ceilings, crown molding and luxury flooring throughout - you will be in love. The kitchen is beautifully designed with an island kitchen that opens to

Key facts

• Quartz countertops
• Natural light
• Under construction

Tags

• UNDER CONSTRUCTION
• OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLAN
• HIGH CEILINGS
• NATURAL LIGHT
• QUARTZ COUNTERTOPS
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $189,900; Inventory type: Plan (new construction)

Exterior

• Home design: Bayshore plan home; Address: 7300 20th St, Vero Beach, FL 32966
• Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,460 (listed living area)

Interior

• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Plan model: Bayshore (new construction plan)

🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $187k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $389 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $187k).
• Recommended offer: $164k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.0% in West Vero Corridor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#273 in FL, #4,421 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, health & safety D-.
• Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 380 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $164,472 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.14% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.79%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.91%
• DSCR: 1.40
• GRM: 7.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -5.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.80×
• Total profit: $-10,517
• Equity at exit: $27,867

10-year hold

• IRR: 1.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.06×
• Total profit: $3,229
• Equity at exit: $16,160

Cash invested: $52,332 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32966

• Home prices YoY: -26.7%
• Rents YoY: 0.6%
• Active inventory: 380
• Price-to-rent: 7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,127 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$980
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$234 /mo · $2,804/yr
• Insurance: −$78
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$447
• Net cashflow: $389

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,635

Max offer price $186,900

Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $46,725
• Closing costs: $5,607
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 20 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1924 Westminster Cir #6 Vero Beach, FL	2.0	3.0	1350	$2,000	$1.48	21d	1	0.33mi
1930 Westminster Cir #2 Vero Beach, FL	2.0	3.0	1430	$1,800	$1.26	21d	1	0.36mi
1827 Aynsley Way Unit 2-27 Vero Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1500	$3,300	$2.20	21d	1	0.44mi
7580 Heron Cir Vero Beach, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1003	$2,076	$2.07	13d	21	0.46mi
24 Plantation Dr #201 Vero Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1188	$1,750	$1.47	21d	1	0.52mi
28 Plantation Dr Vero Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1188	$2,000	$1.68	21d	1	0.56mi
20 Plantation Dr #101 Vero Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1188	$2,200	$1.85	21d	1	0.56mi
2050 Griffon Rd Vero Beach, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	850	$2,295	$2.70	13d	31	0.63mi
42 Plantation Dr #103 Vero Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1188	$1,900	$1.60	21d	1	0.64mi
43 Plantation Dr #106 Vero Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1188	$1,850	$1.56	21d	1	0.67mi
39 Plantation Dr #101 Vero Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1188	$2,200	$1.85	21d	1	0.68mi
29 Plantation Dr Vero Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1188	$1,800	$1.52	21d	1	0.76mi
30 Plantation Dr #101 Vero Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1188	$2,000	$1.68	21d	1	0.79mi
1625 Pointe West Way Vero Beach, FL	3.0	2.5	1600	$2,000	$1.25	21d	1	0.95mi
2590 Bella Vista Cir Vero Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1624	$2,550	$1.57	21d	1	0.98mi
1930 Westhampton Ct Vero Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1531	$1,950	$1.27	21d	1	1.01mi
6510 Oxford Cir #101 Vero Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1746	$2,200	$1.26	21d	1	1.16mi
1868 Sixty Oaks Ln Vero Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	971	$2,450	$2.52	21d	1	1.43mi
1890 Tatnall Sq Vero Beach, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1098	$1,945	$1.77	13d	7	1.49mi
8415 22nd St Vero Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1100	$2,000	$1.82	13d	1	1.50mi

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $186,900 Active 163 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $186,900 Active 162 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $186,900 Active 161 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $186,900 Active 160 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $186,900 Active 159 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $186,900 Active 157 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $186,900 Active 156 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $186,900 Active 154 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $186,900 Active 153 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $186,900 Active 152 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $186,900 Active 151 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $186,900 Active 148 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $186,900 Active 146 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $186,900 Active 145 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $186,900 Active 144 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,523
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,469
• − Property taxes: −$2,804
• − Insurance: −$934
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,042
• − Management: −$2,042
• − Depreciation: −$5,437
• Taxable income: $1,795
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$431
• After-tax cash flow: $4,233/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Indian River
• NCES district ID: 1200930
• Math proficiency: 48% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $46,597
• Composite: 42.45/100
• National rank: #3218
• State rank: #35 of 73 in FL

Livability — West Vero Corridor

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #273
• US rank: #4421

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: West Vero Corridor, FL
• County: Indian River County · 143,738 people
• Metro: Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 20,686
• Household income: $66,771
• Rent vs Own: 25.1% rent · 74.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 766.0

Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 165,104 people
• By 2030: 172,869 · +4.7%
• By 2040: 185,640 · +12.4%
• By 2050: 194,465 · +17.8%
• By 2075: 211,115 · +27.9%
• By 2100: 211,781 · +28.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (83%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Indian River

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -102.01%
• Current HPI: 280.669
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.60%
• Metro: Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B