490 Atlantic Ave #114 · East Rockaway, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.9%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 71.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.9/30.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful Junior 4 Unit In Well Kept Elevator Building. Large Br, Large Lr/Dr L-Shaped, Eik, Full Bath. Plenty Of Closet Space. Convenient To Public Transportation, Houses Of Worship, Schools. Washer And Dryer On Each Floor. Waiting List For Indoor Parking Garage., Additional information: Appearance:Excellent
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Elevator building
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking (waitlist); Parking fee required
- Utilities: Electricity connected (PSEG); Natural gas connected; Public sewer; Public water; Trash collection service
- Home design: Stock cooperative; One-level unit (entry level 3); Three-story building
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Near public transit; Near schools; Near shops; Top floor location
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum; Tile
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heat; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Quartz/Quartzite counters; ENERGY STAR qualified windows; Triple-pane windows; Updated/remodeled
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry; Hall access to laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-224 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
- Recommended offer: $271k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.0% in East Rockaway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#47 in NY, #741 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- East Rockaway Union Free School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #165 of 590 in NY (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Centre Avenue Elementary School (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #675 of 2,108 statewide, top 35%, 256 students, 0% FRL); East Rockaway Junior-Senior High School (math 77% / reading 67%, grade B+, #677 of 1,100 statewide, top 63%, 583 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 20% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $144k; list at $275k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.63%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $298,129
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- -7.76%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-58,296
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-66,906
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11518
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,168 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$344 /mo · $4,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$771
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$665
- Net cashflow
- $-224
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Doxsey Pl Unit 3 Lynbrook, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,300 | $3.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 112 Atlantic Ave Apt 71 Lynbrook, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $3,000 | $3.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 65 Prospect Ave Unit 2W Lynbrook, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $3,055 | $3.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 65 Prospect Ave Apt 15W Lynbrook, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $3,680 | $3.47 | 22d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 8 Roswell Ave Oceanside, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 741 | $3,100 | $4.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 111 S Centre Ave Apt 1SS Rockville Centre, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $3,250 | $3.42 | 4d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 318 Earle Ave Unit 2 Lynbrook, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,500 | $4.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 80 N Centre Ave Rockville Centre, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1254 | $3,962 | $3.16 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 157 Hempstead Ave Unit B6 Lynbrook, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,700 | $3.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-04status $275,000 Pending 15 DOM
-
2026-05-13$275,000 Active 978-char remark
-
2017-07-31soldstatus $144,000 Closed 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Beautiful Junior 4 Unit In Well Kept Elevator Building. Large Br, Large Lr/Dr L-Shaped, Eik, Full Bath. Plenty Of Closet Space. Convenient To Public Transportation, Houses Of Worship, Schools. Washer And Dryer On Each Floor. Waiting List For Indoor Parking Garage., Additional information: Appearance:Excellent
-
2017-03-06status Under Contract 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Beautiful Junior 4 Unit In Well Kept Elevator Building. Large Br, Large Lr/Dr L-Shaped, Eik, Full Bath. Plenty Of Closet Space. Convenient To Public Transportation, Houses Of Worship, Schools. Washer And Dryer On Each Floor. Waiting List For Indoor Parking Garage., Additional information: Appearance:Excellent
-
2017-01-24$145,999 New 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Beautiful Junior 4 Unit In Well Kept Elevator Building. Large Br, Large Lr/Dr L-Shaped, Eik, Full Bath. Plenty Of Closet Space. Convenient To Public Transportation, Houses Of Worship, Schools. Washer And Dryer On Each Floor. Waiting List For Indoor Parking Garage., Additional information: Appearance:Excellent
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 90% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,015
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$4,125
- − Insurance
- −$2,042
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,041
- − Management
- −$3,041
- − HOA
- −$9,252
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$6,890
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,654
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,039/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Rockaway Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609960
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,326
- Composite
- 57.47/100
- National rank
- #1072
- State rank
- #165 of 590 in NY
Livability — East Rockaway
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #741
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Rockaway, NY
- City population
- 10,390
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,390
Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,409,302 people
- By 2030
- 1,431,482 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 1,471,607 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 1,502,845 · +6.6%
- By 2075
- 1,575,403 · +11.8%
- By 2100
- 1,554,356 · +10.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 11% Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Nassau
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: D+9.5 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -573.27%
- Current HPI
- 296.296
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+88.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Listed $275,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-31 Sold (MLS) $144,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-06 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-24 Listed $145,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…