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302 Arizona Ave
C+ Composite 60.81
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$82,500

302 Arizona Ave · Sicklerville, NJ 08094
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily · 104 Days on market
Built 1979 Est $71k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MOVE RIGHT IN to this 2 bedroom, 2 FULL BATH home with updated vinyl plank flooring, neutral carpet, RECESSED LIGHTING, and a living room FIREPLACE. Notice all of the UPGRADED LIGHT FIXTURES and the large eat-in kitchen with all of the appliances included. Enter the main bedroom which has a bathroom suite with a SOAKING TUB and a STALL SHOWER. The second bedroom is at the opposite end of the home and is next to another full bathroom with a tub/shower. Be sure to check the closets- main bedroom walk-in, second bedroom closet, living room coat closet and kitchen pantry. This home is on a LARGE, CORNER LOT and has a large storage shed behind the home. There is central air, and the roof has been newly coated. There is oil heat and a propane stove (SJ Gas is available at the street). Buyer must be approved by Colonial Estates. $850/mo. lot fee. NO TAXES! Sewer and minimum water bills are included. Make an appointment today!

Key facts

  • Large eat-in kitchen
  • Soaking tub
  • Recessed lighting

Tags

UPDATED VINYL PLANK FLOORINGRECESSED LIGHTINGLIVING ROOM FIREPLACEUPGRADED LIGHT FIXTURESLARGE EAT-IN KITCHENSOAKING TUB

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking for two vehicles; Two total garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water
  • Home design: Manufactured home / modular; Above-grade structure
  • Construction: Manufactured construction materials; Year built estimated
  • Exterior features: Tidal water not present; Land lease with $850 monthly fee and 99 years remaining

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Oil heating fuel; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement; Two or more access exits

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $82k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.4% vs local median 4.7% in Sicklerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Monroe Township Public School District (suburban): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #302 of 472 in NJ (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 268 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $570 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $75,075 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.99%
Cap rate
26.38%
Cash-on-cash
71.73%
DSCR
4.19
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$71,100
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
205 Michigan Ave 0.16mi 2/2.0 910 (+1%) 7mo $89,500 $98 85
320 Kentucky Ave 0.03mi 2/2.0 980 (+9%) 9mo $77,000 $79 77
301 Arizona Ave 0.12mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (0%) 12mo $73,352 $82 76
318 Kentucky Ave 0.17mi 2/1.0 960 (+7%) 11mo $75,000 $78 68
211 Ohio Ave 0.15mi 2/1.0 768 (-15%) 5mo $53,000 $69 60
107 Harrison Ave 0.31mi 2/2.0 980 (+9%) 13mo $45,850 $47 60
202 Polk Ave 0.45mi 2/2.0 980 (+9%) 7mo $82,000 $84 58
237 Harrison Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 840 (-7%) 14mo $25,000 $30 57
218 Eisenhower Dr 0.34mi 2/1.0 980 (+9%) 11mo $64,000 $65 56
1540 N Tuckahoe Rd 0.35mi 3/1.5 (+1) 804 (-11%) 5mo $45,000 $56 55
205 Adams Ave 0.40mi 2/2.0 1,000 (+11%) 14mo $86,000 $86 52
209 Hewitt Rd 0.45mi 2/1.0 768 (-15%) 11mo $305,000 $397 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
71.4%
Equity multiple
4.23×
Total profit
$74,613
Equity at exit
$12,301
10-year hold
IRR
75.3%
Equity multiple
8.72×
Total profit
$178,366
Equity at exit
$7,133

Cash invested: $23,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08094

Active inventory
268
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,470 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$433
Tax est. 1.5%
$103 /mo · $1,238/yr
Insurance
$34
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$519
Net cashflow
$1,381

Break-even live

Break-even rent $722
Max offer price $82,500
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,438 -5% $1,409 +0% $1,381 +5% $1,352 +10% $1,324
Rent -10% $1,186 -5% $1,283 +0% $1,381 +5% $1,478 +10% $1,576
Rate -1.0pp $1,422 -0.5pp $1,402 base $1,381 +0.5pp $1,359 +1.0pp $1,338

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,625
Closing costs
$2,475
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1616 N Main St Williamstown, NJ 2.0 2.0 1064 $2,500 $2.35 2d 1 0.14mi
1941 N Black Horse Pike Williamstown, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 832 $1,662 $2.00 4d 1 0.33mi
1000 Fawn Dr Williamstown, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1209 $5,983 $4.95 2d 1 0.76mi
212 Woodlawn Ave Unit B Sewell, NJ 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 12d 1 0.97mi
100 Town Center Blvd Sewell, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1107 $3,130 $2.83 2d 16 1.36mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $82,500 Active 104 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $82,500 Active 103 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $82,500 Active 102 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $82,500 Active 101 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $82,500 Active 99 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $82,500 Active 95 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $82,500 Active 94 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $82,500 Active 93 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $82,500 Active 90 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $82,500 Active 89 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $82,500 Active 88 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $82,500 Active 87 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $82,500 Active 86 DOM
  14. 2026-03-06
    listed $82,500 Active
  15. 2025-12-08
    price $82,500 932-char remark
    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    MOVE RIGHT IN to this 2 bedroom, 2 FULL BATH home with updated vinyl plank flooring, neutral carpet, RECESSED LIGHTING, and a living room FIREPLACE. Notice all of the UPGRADED LIGHT FIXTURES and the large eat-in kitchen with all of the appliances included. Enter the main bedroom which has a bathroom suite with a SOAKING TUB and a STALL SHOWER. The second bedroom is at the opposite end of the home and is next to another full bathroom with a tub/shower. Be sure to check the closets- main bedroom walk-in, second bedroom closet, living room coat closet and kitchen pantry. This home is on a LARGE, CORNER LOT and has a large storage shed behind the home. There is central air, and the roof has been newly coated. There is oil heat and a propane stove (SJ Gas is available at the street). Buyer must be approved by Colonial Estates. $850/mo. lot fee. NO TAXES! Sewer and minimum water bills are included. Make an appointment today!

  16. 2025-11-26
    price $85,000 932-char remark
    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    MOVE RIGHT IN to this 2 bedroom, 2 FULL BATH home with updated vinyl plank flooring, neutral carpet, RECESSED LIGHTING, and a living room FIREPLACE. Notice all of the UPGRADED LIGHT FIXTURES and the large eat-in kitchen with all of the appliances included. Enter the main bedroom which has a bathroom suite with a SOAKING TUB and a STALL SHOWER. The second bedroom is at the opposite end of the home and is next to another full bathroom with a tub/shower. Be sure to check the closets- main bedroom walk-in, second bedroom closet, living room coat closet and kitchen pantry. This home is on a LARGE, CORNER LOT and has a large storage shed behind the home. There is central air, and the roof has been newly coated. There is oil heat and a propane stove (SJ Gas is available at the street). Buyer must be approved by Colonial Estates. $850/mo. lot fee. NO TAXES! Sewer and minimum water bills are included. Make an appointment today!

  17. 2025-09-20
    listed $87,000 Active 932-char remark
    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    MOVE RIGHT IN to this 2 bedroom, 2 FULL BATH home with updated vinyl plank flooring, neutral carpet, RECESSED LIGHTING, and a living room FIREPLACE. Notice all of the UPGRADED LIGHT FIXTURES and the large eat-in kitchen with all of the appliances included. Enter the main bedroom which has a bathroom suite with a SOAKING TUB and a STALL SHOWER. The second bedroom is at the opposite end of the home and is next to another full bathroom with a tub/shower. Be sure to check the closets- main bedroom walk-in, second bedroom closet, living room coat closet and kitchen pantry. This home is on a LARGE, CORNER LOT and has a large storage shed behind the home. There is central air, and the roof has been newly coated. There is oil heat and a propane stove (SJ Gas is available at the street). Buyer must be approved by Colonial Estates. $850/mo. lot fee. NO TAXES! Sewer and minimum water bills are included. Make an appointment today!

  18. 2025-08-26
    historical
  19. 2025-05-21
    price $87,000
  20. 2025-05-16
    price $90,000
  21. 2025-02-26
    listed $95,000 Active
  22. 2021-12-20
    soldstatus $70,500 Closed
  23. 2021-12-11
    status Pending
  24. 2021-11-10
    historical Active Under Contract
  25. 2021-10-16
    price $67,000
  26. 2021-09-16
    listed $69,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,635
− Mortgage interest
−$4,621
− Property taxes
−$1,238
− Insurance
−$412
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,371
− Management
−$2,371
− Depreciation
−$2,400
Taxable income
$16,222
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,893
After-tax cash flow
$12,677/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monroe Township Public School District
NCES district ID
3410470
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$71,557
Composite
30.24/100
National rank
#6295
State rank
#302 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Sicklerville

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Gloucester County · 160,422 people
City population
50,264
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
41,595
Household income
$96,699
Rent vs Own
14.5% rent · 85.5% own
Severe rent burden
721.0

Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
298,895 people
By 2030
299,031 · +0.0%
By 2040
294,020 · -1.6%
By 2050
284,188 · -4.9%
By 2075
260,720 · -12.8%
By 2100
229,565 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -213.12%
Current HPI
278.3849
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+19.6% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $82,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-08 Price Changed $82,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-26 Price Changed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-20 Listed $87,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-26 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-21 Price Changed $87,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-16 Price Changed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-26 Listed $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-12-20 Sold (MLS) $70,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-12-11 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-11-10 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-10-16 Price Changed $67,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-09-16 Listed $69,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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