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19 SW Pecan St
B- Composite 65.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$199,900

19 SW Pecan St · Ludowici, GA 31316
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 93 Days on market
Built 2024 0.31 ac lot $154/sqft · 13% below area Est $229k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PRICE DROP, STOP IN AND Discover this beautifully crafted 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, move-in ready and waiting for you. Built with modern living in mind, this 2024 construction offers an open, light-filled layout with quality finishes throughout. The kitchen features sleek stainless-steel appliances, perfect for everyday meals and entertaining alike. Generous bedrooms provide comfortable retreats, while two full bathrooms offer convenience for the whole household. Step outside to enjoy the peaceful, quiet surroundings that make Ludowici such a welcoming place to call home. With no HOA, you'll have the freedom to make this property truly yours—no monthly fees, no restrictions. Location highlights: Approximately 20 minutes to Fort Stewart and Hinesville Ideal for anyone seeking small-town charm with easy base access Close to local amenities while tucked away from the hustle This is a brand-new home without the wait—come see it before it's gone.

Key facts

  • Easy base access
  • No hoa
  • 0.31 acre lot

Tags

STAINLESS-STEEL APPLIANCESNO HOAPEACEFUL SURROUNDINGSEASY BASE ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $371 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.4% in Ludowici — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#74 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Smiley Elementary School (1,258 students, 67% FRL); Long County Middle School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #311 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 945 students, 69% FRL); Long County High School (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #140 of 424 statewide, top 35%, 1,209 students, 70% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 412 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $200k implies a 455% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $181,909 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.52%
Cash-on-cash
7.96%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$229,117
List price
$199,900
Delta
-12.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
60 Oak Ridge Cemetery Rd 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+0%) 14mo $227,000 $175 68
122 Oak Ridge Cemetery Rd SW 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,282 (-1%) 23mo $230,000 $179 62
142 Railroad St 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,292 (-0%) 20mo $220,000 $170 58
819 S Mcdonald St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,194 (-8%) 3mo $51,000 $43 57
21 SW Oak Ridge Cemetery Rd SW 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,473 (+14%) 8mo $285,000 $193 50
398 Macon St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,172 (-10%) 18mo $210,500 $180 36
173 Franklin Tree Dr NE 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,132 (-13%) 19mo $222,300 $196 34
55 Union St 0.72mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,472 (+14%) 18mo $250,000 $170 19

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$28,881
Equity at exit
$69,896
10-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$94,846
Equity at exit
$94,179

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31316

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
412
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,050 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$117 /mo · $1,403/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$431
Net cashflow
$371

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,580
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $484 -5% $428 +0% $371 +5% $315 +10% $258
Rent -10% $209 -5% $290 +0% $371 +5% $452 +10% $533
Rate -1.0pp $472 -0.5pp $422 base $371 +0.5pp $319 +1.0pp $267

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
34 Pine St Unit C C Ludowici, GA 2.0 1.0 990 $1,395 $1.41 45d 1 0.55mi
149 W Franklin St Ludowici, GA 3.0 2.5 1704 $2,250 $1.32 45d 1 0.63mi
147 Rimes Ave SE Ludowici, GA 4.0 2.0 1782 $2,100 $1.18 45d 1 0.98mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,900 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $199,900 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    price $199,900 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $214,900 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $214,900 Active 87 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $214,900 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $214,900 Active 84 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $214,900 Active 82 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $214,900 Active 81 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $214,900 Active 80 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $214,900 Active 79 DOM
  14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $214,900 Active 76 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $214,900 Active 75 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $214,900 Active 74 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $214,900 Active 73 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $214,900 Active 72 DOM
  19. 2026-05-30
    days on market $214,900 Active 71 DOM
  20. 2026-05-15
    price $214,900 969-char remark
    Show marketing remark (957 chars)

    PRICE DROP! Stop in and Discover this beautifully crafted 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, move-in ready and waiting for you. Built with modern living in mind, this 2024 construction offers an open, light-filled layout with quality finishes throughout. The kitchen features sleek stainless-steel appliances, perfect for everyday meals and entertaining alike. Generous bedrooms provide comfortable retreats, while two full bathrooms offer convenience for the whole household. Step outside to enjoy the peaceful, quiet surroundings that make Ludowici such a welcoming place to call home. With no HOA, you'll have the freedom to make this property truly yours-no monthly fees, no restrictions. Location highlights: Approximately 20 minutes to Fort Stewart and Hinesville Ideal for anyone seeking small-town charm with easy base access Close to local amenities while tucked away from the hustle This is a brand-new home without the wait-come see it before it's gone.

  21. 2026-05-15
    price $214,900 957-char remark
    Show marketing remark (957 chars)

    PRICE DROP! Stop in and Discover this beautifully crafted 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, move-in ready and waiting for you. Built with modern living in mind, this 2024 construction offers an open, light-filled layout with quality finishes throughout. The kitchen features sleek stainless-steel appliances, perfect for everyday meals and entertaining alike. Generous bedrooms provide comfortable retreats, while two full bathrooms offer convenience for the whole household. Step outside to enjoy the peaceful, quiet surroundings that make Ludowici such a welcoming place to call home. With no HOA, you'll have the freedom to make this property truly yours-no monthly fees, no restrictions. Location highlights: Approximately 20 minutes to Fort Stewart and Hinesville Ideal for anyone seeking small-town charm with easy base access Close to local amenities while tucked away from the hustle This is a brand-new home without the wait-come see it before it's gone.

  22. 2026-03-13
    listed $239,900 New 957-char remark
    Show marketing remark (969 chars)

    PRICE DROP, STOP IN AND Discover this beautifully crafted 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, move-in ready and waiting for you. Built with modern living in mind, this 2024 construction offers an open, light-filled layout with quality finishes throughout. The kitchen features sleek stainless-steel appliances, perfect for everyday meals and entertaining alike. Generous bedrooms provide comfortable retreats, while two full bathrooms offer convenience for the whole household. Step outside to enjoy the peaceful, quiet surroundings that make Ludowici such a welcoming place to call home. With no HOA, you'll have the freedom to make this property truly yours—no monthly fees, no restrictions. Location highlights: Approximately 20 minutes to Fort Stewart and Hinesville Ideal for anyone seeking small-town charm with easy base access Close to local amenities while tucked away from the hustle This is a brand-new home without the wait—come see it before it's gone.

  23. 2026-03-13
    listed $239,900 Active 969-char remark
    Show marketing remark (969 chars)

    PRICE DROP, STOP IN AND Discover this beautifully crafted 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, move-in ready and waiting for you. Built with modern living in mind, this 2024 construction offers an open, light-filled layout with quality finishes throughout. The kitchen features sleek stainless-steel appliances, perfect for everyday meals and entertaining alike. Generous bedrooms provide comfortable retreats, while two full bathrooms offer convenience for the whole household. Step outside to enjoy the peaceful, quiet surroundings that make Ludowici such a welcoming place to call home. With no HOA, you'll have the freedom to make this property truly yours—no monthly fees, no restrictions. Location highlights: Approximately 20 minutes to Fort Stewart and Hinesville Ideal for anyone seeking small-town charm with easy base access Close to local amenities while tucked away from the hustle This is a brand-new home without the wait—come see it before it's gone.

  24. 2025-12-31
    historical
  25. 2025-12-31
    historical
  26. 2025-08-06
    listed $230,000 Active
  27. 2025-07-25
    listed $230,000 New
  28. 2007-02-07
    soldstatus $36,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,403 · $117/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,839 · $153/mo
Expected delta
+$436/yr (+$36/mo · 31.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,603
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$1,403
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,968
− Management
−$1,968
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable income
$1,251
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$300
After-tax cash flow
$4,154/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Long County
NCES district ID
1303360
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$45,958
Composite
22.51/100
National rank
#8090
State rank
#115 of 174 in GA

Livability — Ludowici

Score
72/100
State rank
#74
US rank
#6449

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ludowici, GA
County
Long County · 13,812 people
City population
13,812
Metro
Hinesville, GA
Population (ZIP)
13,812
Household income
$74,766
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
109.0

Population outlook (Long County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,669 people
By 2030
28,223 · +14.4%
By 2040
35,430 · +43.6%
By 2050
42,403 · +71.9%
By 2075
56,996 · +131.0%
By 2100
64,185 · +160.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Long

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 35.1% · R 64.6%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+30.8 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+24.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.16%
Current HPI
195.2978
Rent YoY
Metro
Hinesville, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+496.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $214,900 Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $214,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $239,900 Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $239,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-08-06 Listed $230,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-07-25 Listed $230,000 GAMLS
  • 2007-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+39.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,403 · +3063.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…