1338 Park Ave · Tarrant, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.9/15.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$73,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great start to your investment portfolio! This single family along with 4 others are available - turnkey rental properties, tenants in place and under management. Do not disturb tenants. Buyer to verify any and all information deemed necessary and important to buyer.
Key facts
- Tenants in place
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $73k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $419 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#507 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Tarrant City (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #121 of 129 in AL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $505 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 708 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 708 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.59%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $63,688
- List price
- $73,000
- Delta
- 14.62%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4208 50th Ave N | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (-8%) | 7mo | $67,500 | $61 | 70 |
| 4421 43rd St N | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+0%) | 4mo | $42,000 | $35 | 64 |
| 725 Fulton Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,110 (-7%) | 5mo | $80,050 | $72 | 59 |
| 1045 Waverly St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (-15%) | 9mo | $65,000 | $64 | 55 |
| 817 Jackson Blvd | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (-14%) | 1mo | $114,429 | $112 | 53 |
| 1704 Hatchet Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,152 (-4%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $56 | 53 |
| 1719 Mountain Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,286 (+8%) | 8mo | $68,000 | $53 | 50 |
| 1104 Linthicum St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,340 (+12%) | 7mo | $56,000 | $42 | 49 |
| 1812 Damon Cir | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-12%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $57 | 48 |
| 732 Fulton Ave | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+11%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $72 | 46 |
| 4300 Pulaski St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,045 (-12%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $43 | 41 |
| 1433 Ford Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (+15%) | 10mo | $90,000 | $66 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $15,504
- Equity at exit
- $10,885
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.47×
- Total profit
- $50,578
- Equity at exit
- $6,312
Cash invested: $20,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35217
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,126 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$383
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $688/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $419
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,250
- Closing costs
- $2,190
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1237 Elm Ave Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1312 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1224 Maple St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $690 | $0.85 | 19d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5025 43rd Pl N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $1,300 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5015 42nd Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1249 Waverly St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,000 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 4208 50th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1043 Jackson Blvd Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,095 | $0.84 | 14d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1045 Waverly St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1120 Hall St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 887 | $775 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1439 Sloan Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $900 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1116 Hall St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 887 | $775 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1113 Elm Ave Unit c Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $749 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1415 Virginia St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 781 | $650 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1401 Wharton Ave Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $950 | $0.86 | 19d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4101 50th Ave N Unit B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $900 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1137 Sloan Ave Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4925 43rd Way N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,461 | $1.19 | 1d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1076 Green St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,050 | $0.90 | 16d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 732 Fulton Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 4549 40th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $850 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4329 Harmon St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1227 | $950 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4329 Harmon St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1227 | $950 | $0.77 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4329 Pulaski St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,353 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1316 Spring St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,195 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4344 Pulaski St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $1,050 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1731 Mountain Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $975 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1816 Damon Cir Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1401 | $1,153 | $0.82 | 16d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4301 Greenwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,025 | $0.90 | 3d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4400 43rd St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $850 | $0.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4400 43rd St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $850 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4217 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4244 Jackson St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,100 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4317 41st Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,000 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1303 Main St Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $1,300 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3823 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3823 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4220 40th Ct N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,200 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4316 Gadsden St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4028 40th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1186 | $950 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1508 Saint Joseph St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $995 | $0.83 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $73,000 Active 708 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $73,000 Active 707 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $73,000 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
Great start to your investment portfolio! This single family along with 4 others are available - turnkey rental properties, tenants in place and under management. Do not disturb tenants. Buyer to verify any and all information deemed necessary and important to buyer.
-
2024-08-23status Active 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
Great start to your investment portfolio! This single family along with 4 others are available - turnkey rental properties, tenants in place and under management. Do not disturb tenants. Buyer to verify any and all information deemed necessary and important to buyer.
-
2024-07-14historical Contingent 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
Great start to your investment portfolio! This single family along with 4 others are available - turnkey rental properties, tenants in place and under management. Do not disturb tenants. Buyer to verify any and all information deemed necessary and important to buyer.
-
2024-06-22$78,000 Active 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
Great start to your investment portfolio! This single family along with 4 others are available - turnkey rental properties, tenants in place and under management. Do not disturb tenants. Buyer to verify any and all information deemed necessary and important to buyer.
-
2022-07-15soldstatus $258,437
-
2014-06-13soldstatus $57,700
-
2014-01-10soldstatus $23,000 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
This property is occupied and under lease agreement. There is a current management agreement in place that can be cancelled at any time. Please contact owner for additional information or for showings. Buyer to verify taxes, schools and any other information relevant to their decision to purchase property. Property is being sold AS-IS, WHERE-IS. This is one of 12 properties being sold and there may be the option to purchase all of them as a portfolio. Please contact owner for additional details. !!!THIS IS A SHORT SALE AND SUBJECT TO LENDER APPROVAL!!!
-
2013-05-31$25,000 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
This property is occupied and under lease agreement. There is a current management agreement in place that can be cancelled at any time. Please contact owner for additional information or for showings. Buyer to verify taxes, schools and any other information relevant to their decision to purchase property. Property is being sold AS-IS, WHERE-IS. This is one of 12 properties being sold and there may be the option to purchase all of them as a portfolio. Please contact owner for additional details. !!!THIS IS A SHORT SALE AND SUBJECT TO LENDER APPROVAL!!!
-
1992-10-05soldstatus $38,517
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $688 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $688 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,510
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,089
- − Property taxes
- −$688
- − Insurance
- −$365
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,081
- − Management
- −$1,081
- − Depreciation
- −$2,124
- Taxable income
- $4,083
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$980
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,046/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tarrant City
- NCES district ID
- 0103270
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,256
- Composite
- 8.0/100
- National rank
- #9924
- State rank
- #121 of 129 in AL
Livability — Tarrant
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #507
- US rank
- #25136
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tarrant, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 12,240
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,240
- Household income
- $40,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 594.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.54%
- Current HPI
- 117.416
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.58%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+89.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $73,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-08-23 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-07-14 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-06-22 Listed $78,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $258,437 Public Records
- 2014-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $57,700 Public Records
- 2014-01-10 Sold (MLS) $23,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2013-05-31 Listed $25,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1992-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $38,517 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $688 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…