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Cali Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 38.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$376,990

Cali Plan · Edgewater, FL 32132
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,828 sqft · SingleFamily · 875 Days on market
Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Introducing the Cali floorplan at Oak Leaf, in New Smyrna Beach, Florida, where every square foot is put to use with sophistication and comfort. Inside this 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, you'll find 1,882 square feet of comfortable living. This meticulously designed residence combines modern convenience with timeless elegance, showcasing granite counters and tile floors throughout. As you step inside, you are greeted by an inviting foyer that leads you into the heart of the home. The open-concept layout seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, creating a perfect space for entertaining family and friends. The spacious living room features abundant natural light, thanks to large windows that provide picturesque views of the surrounding landscape. With ample room for seating, it's an ideal spot for relaxation and gatherings. The kitchen is a true highlight, including granite countertops, sleek stainless-steel appliances, a walk-in pantry and an oversized island with a breakfast bar. Whether you're preparing a casual meal or hosting a formal dinner, this kitchen is well-equipped to meet your culinary needs. The four generously sized bedrooms offer flexibility for various lifestyles. The primary suite located in the rea of the home is a tranquil retreat, featuring a private ensuite bathroom with dual sinks, a separate shower, and a walk-in closet. The remaining three bedrooms share one well-appointed bathroom, making morning routines a breeze.

Key facts

  • Granite countertops
  • Oversized island
  • Open-concept layout

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTABUNDANT NATURAL LIGHTOVERSIZED ISLAND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $376,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $366,000.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $377k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-678 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $268k (29.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $288k (23.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $268k (29.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.5% in Edgewater — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#329 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
  • Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Edgewater Public School (math 67% / reading 52%, grade B-, #690 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 504 students, 64% FRL); New Smyrna Beach Middle School (math 43% / reading 43%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 1,037 students, 53% FRL); New Smyrna Beach High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 1,810 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 88d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,883/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 25% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 875 days — a 12% lower offer ($332k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $267,848 (29.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 875 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.47%
Cash-on-cash
-2.95%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$366,000
List price
$376,990
Delta
3.00%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1902 Deep Lake Cir 0.05mi 4/2.0 1,828 (0%) 2mo $390,000 $213 96
2250 Lake Preserve Cir 0.38mi 4/2.0 1,828 (0%) 1mo $349,000 $191 82
1901 Deep Lake Cir 0.03mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,672 (-8%) 0mo $364,990 $218 79
1726 Red Rock Rd 0.33mi 4/2.0 2,034 (+11%) 1mo $366,000 $180 65
1527 Delphi Way 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,722 (-6%) 1mo $395,000 $229 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-30.1%
Equity multiple
0.00×
Total profit
$-102,204
Equity at exit
$54,572
10-year hold
IRR
-31.1%
Equity multiple
-0.40×
Total profit
$-143,385
Equity at exit
$31,645

Cash invested: $102,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
9 active · 13 under contract
Months of supply
7.7 mo (13%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$384,900 ($219/sqft)
Median days on market
48 d
This list price
44% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-8.5% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 32132

Home prices YoY
-20.1%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,883 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,919
Tax est. 1.5%
$458 /mo · $5,490/yr
Insurance
$152
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$605
Net cashflow
$-678

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,742
Max offer price $267,848
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-425 -5% $-552 +0% $-678 +5% $-805 +10% $-931
Rent -10% $-906 -5% $-792 +0% $-678 +5% $-564 +10% $-451
Rate -1.0pp $-494 -0.5pp $-585 base $-678 +0.5pp $-773 +1.0pp $-870

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,500
Closing costs
$10,980
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1822 Red Rock Rd New Smyrna Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1697 $3,000 $1.77 119d 1 0.07mi
2219 Lake Preserve Cir New Smyrna Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 1828 $3,400 $1.86 62d 1 0.29mi
1731 Red Rock Rd New Smyrna Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1722 $2,475 $1.44 62d 1 0.32mi
1601 Delphi Way New Smyrna Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1722 $2,500 $1.45 88d 1 0.34mi
2286 Swoope Dr New Smyrna Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1323 $2,600 $1.97 88d 1 1.06mi
308 Wildwood Dr Edgewater, FL 3.0 2.0 1485 $2,195 $1.48 114d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $376,990 Active 875 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $376,990 Active 873 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $376,990 Active 872 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $376,990 Active 871 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $376,990 Active 870 DOM
  6. 2026-09-18
    days on market $376,990 Active 869 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $376,990 Active 868 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $376,990 Active 867 DOM
  9. 2026-09-15
    days on market $376,990 Active 866 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $376,990 Active 865 DOM
  11. 2026-09-14
    days on market $376,990 Active 864 DOM
  12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $376,990 Active 863 DOM
  13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $376,990 Active 862 DOM
  14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $376,990 Active 856 DOM
  15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $376,990 Active 855 DOM
  16. 2026-09-03
    days on market $376,990 Active 854 DOM
  17. 2026-08-31
    days on market $376,990 Active 851 DOM
  18. 2026-08-29
    days on market $376,990 Active 849 DOM
  19. 2026-08-28
    days on market $376,990 Active 848 DOM
  20. 2026-08-27
    days on market $376,990 Active 847 DOM
  21. 2026-08-26
    days on market $376,990 Active 846 DOM
  22. 2026-08-25
    days on market $376,990 Active 845 DOM
  23. 2026-08-24
    days on market $376,990 Active 844 DOM
  24. 2026-08-23
    days on market $376,990 Active 843 DOM
  25. 2026-08-21
    days on market $376,990 Active 841 DOM
  26. 2026-08-20
    days on market $376,990 Active 840 DOM
  27. 2026-08-19
    days on market $376,990 Active 839 DOM
  28. 2026-08-18
    days on market $376,990 Active 838 DOM
  29. 2026-08-17
    days on market $376,990 Active 837 DOM
  30. 2026-08-16
    days on market $376,990 Active 836 DOM
  31. 2026-08-15
    days on market $376,990 Active 835 DOM
  32. 2026-08-15
    days on market $376,990 Active 834 DOM
  33. 2026-08-13
    days on market $376,990 Active 833 DOM
  34. 2026-08-12
    days on market $376,990 Active 832 DOM
  35. 2026-08-11
    days on market $376,990 Active 831 DOM
  36. 2026-08-10
    days on market $376,990 Active 830 DOM
  37. 2026-08-09
    days on market $376,990 Active 829 DOM
  38. 2026-08-08
    days on market $376,990 Active 828 DOM
  39. 2026-08-07
    days on market $376,990 Active 827 DOM
  40. 2026-08-06
    days on market $376,990 Active 826 DOM
  41. 2026-08-05
    days on market $376,990 Active 825 DOM
  42. 2026-08-04
    days on market $376,990 Active 824 DOM
  43. 2026-08-03
    days on market $376,990 Active 823 DOM
  44. 2026-07-31
    days on market $376,990 Active 820 DOM
  45. 2026-07-30
    days on market $376,990 Active 818 DOM
  46. 2026-07-28
    days on market $376,990 Active 817 DOM
  47. 2026-07-26
    days on market $376,990 Active 815 DOM
  48. 2026-07-25
    days on market $376,990 Active 814 DOM
  49. 2026-07-24
    days on market $376,990 Active 813 DOM
  50. 2026-07-23
    days on market $376,990 Active 812 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,596
− Mortgage interest
−$20,502
− Property taxes
−$5,490
− Insurance
−$6,949
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,768
− Management
−$2,768
− Depreciation
−$10,647
Taxable loss
−$14,527
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,486
After-tax cash flow
$-4,653/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a modern and well-maintained living space with potential for minor updates to enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value.
  • Resale Kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and appeals to potential buyers.
  • Resale Bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the bathrooms and appeals to potential buyers.
F Composite school gradezoned avg 48/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Edgewater Public School B- FL #690/2,144 Nat'l #7,252/41,679 Middle New Smyrna Beach Middle School D- FL #331/571 Nat'l #5,160/14,009 High New Smyrna Beach High School F FL #255/667 Nat'l #7,439/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Volusia
NCES district ID
1201920
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,946
Composite
39.2/100
National rank
#4019
State rank
#47 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 72/100

Livability — Edgewater

Score
72/100
State rank
#329
US rank
#5753

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Edgewater, FL
County
Volusia · 572,749 people
City population
18,726
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
8,132
Household income
$53,860
Rent vs Own
16.5% rent · 83.5% own
Severe rent burden
25% of renters

Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
572,749 people
By 2030
598,695 · +4.5%
By 2040
644,880 · +12.6%
By 2050
681,451 · +19.0%
By 2075
759,957 · +32.7%
By 2100
778,902 · +36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Estonian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Volusia

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+2.4% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $376,990 Zillow
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $374,990 Zillow
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $369,990 Zillow
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $367,990 Zillow
  • 2025-11-27 Price Changed $365,990 Zillow
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $362,990 Zillow
  • 2025-07-03 Price Changed $360,990 Zillow
  • 2025-06-18 Price Changed $365,990 Zillow
  • 2025-02-11 Price Changed $363,990 Zillow
  • 2025-01-28 Price Changed $358,990 Zillow
  • 2025-01-15 Price Changed $355,990 Zillow
  • 2025-01-09 Price Changed $352,990 Zillow
  • 2024-11-13 Price Changed $347,990 Zillow
  • 2024-05-02 Listed $367,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…