🏗️ New Construction
Cali Plan · Edgewater, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$376,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Introducing the Cali floorplan at Oak Leaf, in New Smyrna Beach, Florida, where every square foot is put to use with sophistication and comfort. Inside this 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, you'll find 1,882 square feet of comfortable living. This meticulously designed residence combines modern convenience with timeless elegance, showcasing granite counters and tile floors throughout. As you step inside, you are greeted by an inviting foyer that leads you into the heart of the home. The open-concept layout seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, creating a perfect space for entertaining family and friends. The spacious living room features abundant natural light, thanks to large windows that provide picturesque views of the surrounding landscape. With ample room for seating, it's an ideal spot for relaxation and gatherings. The kitchen is a true highlight, including granite countertops, sleek stainless-steel appliances, a walk-in pantry and an oversized island with a breakfast bar. Whether you're preparing a casual meal or hosting a formal dinner, this kitchen is well-equipped to meet your culinary needs. The four generously sized bedrooms offer flexibility for various lifestyles. The primary suite located in the rea of the home is a tranquil retreat, featuring a private ensuite bathroom with dual sinks, a separate shower, and a walk-in closet. The remaining three bedrooms share one well-appointed bathroom, making morning routines a breeze.
Key facts
- Granite countertops
- Oversized island
- Open-concept layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $377k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-678 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $268k (29.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $288k (23.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $268k (29.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.5% in Edgewater — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#329 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Edgewater Public School (math 67% / reading 52%, grade B-, #690 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 504 students, 64% FRL); New Smyrna Beach Middle School (math 43% / reading 43%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 1,037 students, 53% FRL); New Smyrna Beach High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 1,810 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 88d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,883/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 25% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 875 days — a 12% lower offer ($332k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 875 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.95%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $366,000
- List price
- $376,990
- Delta
- 3.00%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1902 Deep Lake Cir | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 | 1,828 (0%) | 2mo | $390,000 | $213 | 96 |
| 2250 Lake Preserve Cir | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 1,828 (0%) | 1mo | $349,000 | $191 | 82 |
| 1901 Deep Lake Cir | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,672 (-8%) | 0mo | $364,990 | $218 | 79 |
| 1726 Red Rock Rd | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 | 2,034 (+11%) | 1mo | $366,000 | $180 | 65 |
| 1527 Delphi Way | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,722 (-6%) | 1mo | $395,000 | $229 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -30.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.00×
- Total profit
- $-102,204
- Equity at exit
- $54,572
- IRR
- -31.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.40×
- Total profit
- $-143,385
- Equity at exit
- $31,645
Cash invested: $102,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 9 active · 13 under contract
- Months of supply
- 7.7 mo (13%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $384,900 ($219/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 48 d
- This list price
- 44% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -8.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32132
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,883 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,919
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$458 /mo · $5,490/yr
- Insurance
- −$152
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$605
- Net cashflow
- $-678
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-425 | -5% $-552 | +0% $-678 | +5% $-805 | +10% $-931 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-906 | -5% $-792 | +0% $-678 | +5% $-564 | +10% $-451 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-494 | -0.5pp $-585 | base $-678 | +0.5pp $-773 | +1.0pp $-870 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $91,500
- Closing costs
- $10,980
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1822 Red Rock Rd New Smyrna Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1697 | $3,000 | $1.77 | 119d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2219 Lake Preserve Cir New Smyrna Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $3,400 | $1.86 | 62d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1731 Red Rock Rd New Smyrna Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1722 | $2,475 | $1.44 | 62d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1601 Delphi Way New Smyrna Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1722 | $2,500 | $1.45 | 88d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2286 Swoope Dr New Smyrna Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $2,600 | $1.97 | 88d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 308 Wildwood Dr Edgewater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $2,195 | $1.48 | 114d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $376,990 Active 875 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $376,990 Active 873 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $376,990 Active 872 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $376,990 Active 871 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $376,990 Active 870 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $376,990 Active 869 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $376,990 Active 868 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $376,990 Active 867 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $376,990 Active 866 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $376,990 Active 865 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $376,990 Active 864 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $376,990 Active 863 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $376,990 Active 862 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $376,990 Active 856 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $376,990 Active 855 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $376,990 Active 854 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $376,990 Active 851 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $376,990 Active 849 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $376,990 Active 848 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $376,990 Active 847 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $376,990 Active 846 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $376,990 Active 845 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $376,990 Active 844 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $376,990 Active 843 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $376,990 Active 841 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $376,990 Active 840 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $376,990 Active 839 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $376,990 Active 838 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $376,990 Active 837 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $376,990 Active 836 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $376,990 Active 835 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $376,990 Active 834 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $376,990 Active 833 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $376,990 Active 832 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $376,990 Active 831 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $376,990 Active 830 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $376,990 Active 829 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $376,990 Active 828 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $376,990 Active 827 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $376,990 Active 826 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $376,990 Active 825 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $376,990 Active 824 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $376,990 Active 823 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $376,990 Active 820 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $376,990 Active 818 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $376,990 Active 817 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $376,990 Active 815 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $376,990 Active 814 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $376,990 Active 813 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $376,990 Active 812 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,596
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,502
- − Property taxes
- −$5,490
- − Insurance
- −$6,949
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,768
- − Management
- −$2,768
- − Depreciation
- −$10,647
- Taxable loss
- −$14,527
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,486
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,653/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a modern and well-maintained living space with potential for minor updates to enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value. ↑
- Resale Kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and appeals to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the bathrooms and appeals to potential buyers. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Volusia
- NCES district ID
- 1201920
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,946
- Composite
- 39.2/100
- National rank
- #4019
- State rank
- #47 of 73 in FL
Livability — Edgewater
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #329
- US rank
- #5753
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Edgewater, FL
- County
- Volusia · 572,749 people
- City population
- 18,726
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,132
- Household income
- $53,860
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 25% of renters
Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 572,749 people
- By 2030
- 598,695 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 644,880 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 681,451 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 759,957 · +32.7%
- By 2100
- 778,902 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Estonian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Volusia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.25%
- Current HPI
- 366.8512
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+2.4% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $376,990 Zillow
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $374,990 Zillow
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $369,990 Zillow
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $367,990 Zillow
- 2025-11-27 Price Changed $365,990 Zillow
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $362,990 Zillow
- 2025-07-03 Price Changed $360,990 Zillow
- 2025-06-18 Price Changed $365,990 Zillow
- 2025-02-11 Price Changed $363,990 Zillow
- 2025-01-28 Price Changed $358,990 Zillow
- 2025-01-15 Price Changed $355,990 Zillow
- 2025-01-09 Price Changed $352,990 Zillow
- 2024-11-13 Price Changed $347,990 Zillow
- 2024-05-02 Listed $367,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…