310 Skylark Cir · Lafayette, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home offers defined living, dining, and kitchen areas arranged for everyday use, with interior spaces that provide a natural flow between rooms. Natural light is present throughout the main living areas, contributing to a bright interior environment. The interior includes well-sized rooms with flexibility for a variety of configurations and furnishings. The arrangement of spaces supports efficient day-to-day residential use while providing versatility throughout the home.
Key facts
- 10.47 acre lot
- Built 1971
- Listed 5 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 854 (public records); Lot/park lot number 310
- HOA & community: Park land lease of $1,250 per month (month-to-month lease; lease term through 2026-12-31)
Exterior
- Utilities: Community sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home located in a park; Mobile home; Individual ownership
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Wood siding; Located in the Skylark mobile home park
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, both on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: All main-level living (single-level floorplan)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 22.9% vs local median 2.6% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#1 in CO, #566 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living F.
- Boulder Valley School District No. Re2 (urban): math 49% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #6 of 86 in CO (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Alicia Sanchez International School (math 5% / reading 22%, grade F, #824 of 966 statewide, top 88%, 343 students, 74% FRL); Angevine Middle School (math 29% / reading 47%, grade F, #90 of 270 statewide, top 34%, 661 students, 44% FRL); Centaurus High School (math 54% / reading 74%, grade B-, #38 of 381 statewide, top 10%, 1,525 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 16% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 58% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Boulder Valley School District No. Re2 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 205 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,688 units permitted in Boulder County in 2024 (1,136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Boulder County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.14%
- DSCR
- 3.63
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $72,590
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 304 Skylark Cir | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 924 (+8%) | 5mo | $82,000 | $89 | 80 |
| 709 Cardinal Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (+12%) | 1mo | $104,000 | $108 | 74 |
| 277 Skylark Cir | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 928 (+9%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $81 | 70 |
| 723 Oriole Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 871 (+2%) | 18mo | $20,000 | $23 | 69 |
| 804 Meadowlark Cv | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 938 (+10%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $85 | 58 |
| 723 Quail Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 952 (+12%) | 20mo | $85,000 | $89 | 49 |
| 807 Flamingo Cv | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 980 (+15%) | 11mo | $48,000 | $49 | 46 |
| 11990 E South Boulder Rd #143 | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 980 (+15%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $46 | 42 |
| 728 Sue St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 728 (-15%) | 6mo | $95,000 | $130 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.43×
- Total profit
- $61,181
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 60.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.63×
- Total profit
- $141,839
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80026
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 205
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,359 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$495
- Net cashflow
- $1,242
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,304 | -5% $1,273 | +0% $1,242 | +5% $1,211 | +10% $1,180 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,056 | -5% $1,149 | +0% $1,242 | +5% $1,335 | +10% $1,428 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,287 | -0.5pp $1,265 | base $1,242 | +0.5pp $1,219 | +1.0pp $1,195 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 718 Dove Dr Lafayette, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $2,204 | $2.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 404 S Foote Ave Unit A Lafayette, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,325 | $1.39 | 22d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 440 Strathmore Ln Lafayette, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 906 | $2,405 | $2.65 | 14d | 15 | 0.36mi |
| 235 S Boulder Rd Lafayette, CO | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1320 | $3,428 | $2.60 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 601 Merlin Dr Lafayette, CO | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 973 | $2,355 | $2.42 | 14d | 9 | 0.46mi |
| 1425 Bacchus Dr Unit C13 Lafayette, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 695 S Lafayette Dr Lafayette, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $2,473 | $2.75 | 14d | 27 | 1.40mi |
| 2500 S Public Rd Lafayette, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,939 | $2.50 | 14d | 3 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $90,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 481-char remark
-
2026-06-16$90,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,313
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,265
- − Management
- −$2,265
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $14,323
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,438
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,466/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Boulder Valley School District No. Re2
- NCES district ID
- 0802490
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,395
- Composite
- 51.3/100
- National rank
- #1747
- State rank
- #6 of 86 in CO
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #566
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, CO
- County
- Boulder County · 271,666 people
- City population
- 32,701
- Metro
- Boulder, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,701
- Household income
- $120,187
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1019.0
Population outlook (Boulder County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 380,833 people
- By 2030
- 412,028 · +8.2%
- By 2040
- 472,764 · +24.1%
- By 2050
- 532,029 · +39.7%
- By 2075
- 679,723 · +78.5%
- By 2100
- 766,278 · +101.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 11% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Boulder
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+55.8) · D 76.5% · R 20.8% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 46.1pp · 2024: 55.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+55.8 2020: D+56.6 2016: D+48.6 2012: D+41.5 2008: D+46.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -489.04%
- Current HPI
- 280.2819
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.56%
- Metro
- Boulder, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $90,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.3%/yrLatest (2021): $91 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…