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47807 State Road 19
D- Composite 39.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.4/10.0

$217,900

47807 State Road 19 · Pittman, FL 32702
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 141 Days on market
Built 1984 0.28 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. Great remodeled 3/2 home on 1/3 Acre on the edge of the Ocala National Forest. . Plant a garden, grill on either 2 of your wooden decks, have friends over for a bonfire, the possibilities are endless. Freedom with No Hoa! No rules. No hassles. Great neighbors. Beautiful home where you can raise a family or enjoy your retirement with warm winters and peace. VA LOAN Eligible with 0 perc Down. Another lender can do a conventional loan with 5 perc down. .. .and Rocket Mortgage Loan Eligible with 6-10 perc down which includes closing costs. Completely Remodeled, Spacious, A Frame Living Area Home with new 40 + metal roof in 2024. House has new 1/2 inch dry

Key facts

  • Remodeled
  • New metal roof
  • New kitchen

Tags

REMODELEDWOODEN DECKSNO HOANEW METAL ROOFNEW KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property classified as residential; manufactured home subtype; Zoning: A; Lot approximately 0.28 acres (approx. 120 x 103); Building area reported as 1,596 sq ft; living area reported as 1,440 sq ft; Property listed unfurnished; Directions: On Hwy 19 North, 6 or 7 properties north of turn off to Hwy 445 to Alexander Springs. Home on west side of road.
  • HOA & community: No HOA; Street lights in the community

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected; Cable available; Phone available
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story (one level); East-facing
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Awnings; Exterior lighting; Sliding doors; Chain link and other fencing; Cleared, level and oversized paved lot; Oak trees on property; Publicly maintained asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Vaulted ceiling; High ceilings; Open floorplan; Living room/dining room combo; Eat-in kitchen; Crown molding; Ceiling fans; Thermostat; Solid surface counters; Solid wood cabinets; Walk-in closets; Wood-burning fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $218k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-266 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (21.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (35.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (35.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#885 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Umatilla Elementary School (math 59% / reading 56%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 660 students, 55% FRL); Umatilla High School (math 24% / reading 29%, grade F, #489 of 667 statewide, top 74%, 861 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $218k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,696 (35.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.64%
Cap rate
4.83%
Cash-on-cash
-5.23%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
13.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$101,679
Equity at exit
$196,302
10-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
6.12×
Total profit
$312,619
Equity at exit
$423,332

Cash invested: $61,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32702

Home prices YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
13.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,397 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,143
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,632/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$-266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,733
Max offer price $170,936
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-143 -5% $-204 +0% $-266 +5% $-328 +10% $-389
Rent -10% $-376 -5% $-321 +0% $-266 +5% $-211 +10% $-155
Rate -1.0pp $-156 -0.5pp $-210 base $-266 +0.5pp $-322 +1.0pp $-380

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,475
Closing costs
$6,537
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $217,900 Pending 141 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $217,900 Active 141 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $217,900 Active 139 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $217,900 Active 135 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $217,900 Active 134 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $217,900 Active 133 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $217,900 Active 130 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $217,900 Active 129 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $217,900 Active 128 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $217,900 Active 127 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $217,900 Active 126 DOM
  12. 2026-02-20
    price $217,900
  13. 2026-01-25
    listed $219,900 Active
  14. 2025-09-30
    historical
  15. 2025-08-31
    price $219,900
  16. 2025-08-31
    price $220,000
  17. 2025-05-19
    price $214,900
  18. 2025-05-09
    price $219,900
  19. 2025-03-17
    price $219,999
  20. 2025-01-29
    status Active
  21. 2025-01-29
    price $229,999
  22. 2025-01-20
    historical
  23. 2025-01-04
    price $234,900
  24. 2024-12-22
    price $237,000
  25. 2024-11-19
    price $239,999
  26. 2024-09-23
    listed $245,000 Active
  27. 2024-04-08
    soldstatus $80,000
  28. 2017-12-28
    soldstatus $60,000
  29. 2009-10-14
    soldstatus $75,000
  30. 2005-05-27
    soldstatus $12,000
  31. 2003-10-06
    soldstatus $9,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,632 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,809 · $151/mo
Expected delta
+$177/yr (+$15/mo · 10.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,764
− Mortgage interest
−$12,206
− Property taxes
−$1,632
− Insurance
−$1,090
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,341
− Management
−$1,341
− Depreciation
−$6,339
Taxable loss
−$7,184
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,724
After-tax cash flow
$-1,466/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake
NCES district ID
1201050
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,632
Composite
42.05/100
National rank
#3327
State rank
#37 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pittman

Score
52/100
State rank
#885
US rank
#25007

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment C Housing F Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,732

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
386,640 people
By 2030
417,107 · +7.9%
By 2040
476,676 · +23.3%
By 2050
531,296 · +37.4%
By 2075
648,303 · +67.7%
By 2100
698,530 · +80.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 12.23%
Current HPI
383.8128
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2321.1% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $217,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-25 Listed $219,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-30 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-31 Price Changed $219,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-31 Price Changed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-19 Price Changed $214,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-09 Price Changed $219,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-17 Price Changed $219,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-29 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-29 Price Changed $229,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-20 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-04 Price Changed $234,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-22 Price Changed $237,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-19 Price Changed $239,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-23 Listed $245,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2017-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2009-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2005-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
  • 2003-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,632 · +55.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…