47807 State Road 19 · Pittman, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- 1% rule +1.4/10.0
$217,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Great remodeled 3/2 home on 1/3 Acre on the edge of the Ocala National Forest. . Plant a garden, grill on either 2 of your wooden decks, have friends over for a bonfire, the possibilities are endless. Freedom with No Hoa! No rules. No hassles. Great neighbors. Beautiful home where you can raise a family or enjoy your retirement with warm winters and peace. VA LOAN Eligible with 0 perc Down. Another lender can do a conventional loan with 5 perc down. .. .and Rocket Mortgage Loan Eligible with 6-10 perc down which includes closing costs. Completely Remodeled, Spacious, A Frame Living Area Home with new 40 + metal roof in 2024. House has new 1/2 inch dry
Key facts
- Remodeled
- New metal roof
- New kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property classified as residential; manufactured home subtype; Zoning: A; Lot approximately 0.28 acres (approx. 120 x 103); Building area reported as 1,596 sq ft; living area reported as 1,440 sq ft; Property listed unfurnished; Directions: On Hwy 19 North, 6 or 7 properties north of turn off to Hwy 445 to Alexander Springs. Home on west side of road.
- HOA & community: No HOA; Street lights in the community
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected; Cable available; Phone available
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story (one level); East-facing
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Awnings; Exterior lighting; Sliding doors; Chain link and other fencing; Cleared, level and oversized paved lot; Oak trees on property; Publicly maintained asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Vaulted ceiling; High ceilings; Open floorplan; Living room/dining room combo; Eat-in kitchen; Crown molding; Ceiling fans; Thermostat; Solid surface counters; Solid wood cabinets; Walk-in closets; Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $218k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-266 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (21.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (35.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $140k (35.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#885 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Umatilla Elementary School (math 59% / reading 56%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 660 students, 55% FRL); Umatilla High School (math 24% / reading 29%, grade F, #489 of 667 statewide, top 74%, 861 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $218k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.23%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 13.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $101,679
- Equity at exit
- $196,302
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.12×
- Total profit
- $312,619
- Equity at exit
- $423,332
Cash invested: $61,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32702
- Home prices YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 35
- Price-to-rent
- 13.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,397 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,143
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,632/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $-266
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-143 | -5% $-204 | +0% $-266 | +5% $-328 | +10% $-389 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-376 | -5% $-321 | +0% $-266 | +5% $-211 | +10% $-155 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-156 | -0.5pp $-210 | base $-266 | +0.5pp $-322 | +1.0pp $-380 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,475
- Closing costs
- $6,537
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-16status $217,900 Pending 141 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $217,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $217,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $217,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $217,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $217,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $217,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $217,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $217,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $217,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $217,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-02-20price $217,900
-
2026-01-25$219,900 Active
-
2025-09-30historical
-
2025-08-31price $219,900
-
2025-08-31price $220,000
-
2025-05-19price $214,900
-
2025-05-09price $219,900
-
2025-03-17price $219,999
-
2025-01-29status Active
-
2025-01-29price $229,999
-
2025-01-20historical
-
2025-01-04price $234,900
-
2024-12-22price $237,000
-
2024-11-19price $239,999
-
2024-09-23$245,000 Active
-
2024-04-08soldstatus $80,000
-
2017-12-28soldstatus $60,000
-
2009-10-14soldstatus $75,000
-
2005-05-27soldstatus $12,000
-
2003-10-06soldstatus $9,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,632 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,809 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- +$177/yr (+$15/mo · 10.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,764
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,206
- − Property taxes
- −$1,632
- − Insurance
- −$1,090
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,341
- − Management
- −$1,341
- − Depreciation
- −$6,339
- Taxable loss
- −$7,184
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,724
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,466/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake
- NCES district ID
- 1201050
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3327
- State rank
- #37 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pittman
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #885
- US rank
- #25007
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,732
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 386,640 people
- By 2030
- 417,107 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 476,676 · +23.3%
- By 2050
- 531,296 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 648,303 · +67.7%
- By 2100
- 698,530 · +80.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.23%
- Current HPI
- 383.8128
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+2321.1% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $217,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-25 Listed $219,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-31 Price Changed $219,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-31 Price Changed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-19 Price Changed $214,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-09 Price Changed $219,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-17 Price Changed $219,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-29 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-29 Price Changed $229,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-20 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-04 Price Changed $234,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-22 Price Changed $237,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-19 Price Changed $239,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-23 Listed $245,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2017-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2009-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2005-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
- 2003-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,632 · +55.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…