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1450 Mccann Ln
B Composite 72.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.9/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,245,000

1450 Mccann Ln · Greenport West, NY 11944
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,000 sqft · SingleFamily · 77 Days on market
Built 1988 0.37 ac lot $622/sqft · 5% below area Est $1314k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Dream Coastal Living in Greenport, NY! Welcome to your perfect North Fork retreat! This spacious 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom split-level high ranch at 1450 McCann Lane, Greenport, NY offers the ideal blend of comfort, style, and seaside charm. Property Highlights: • Generous 4 bedrooms & 3 full bathrooms with room to spare • Bright and airy layout with versatile living spaces • 2-car attached heated garage – perfect for year-round convenience • Relaxing enclosed porch – enjoy the outdoors in any season • Expansive 0.30-acre lot with plenty of room to entertain, garden, or unwind • Efficient gas heating system Exclusive Coastal Perks: Enjoy private beach access with the famous 67 Steps Beach less than 1000 ft away, giving you the luxury of morning walks by the water, sunset views, and endless summer memories just steps from your door. Located in the heart of Greenport, this home places you close to charming shops, renowned wineries, marinas, and the best of North Fork living. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, vacation getaway, or investment opportunity, this property offers incredible potential in a sought-after location. Don’t miss your chance to own a slice of coastal paradise.

Key facts

  • Expansive lot
  • Private beach access
  • Enclosed porch

Tags

SPLIT-LEVEL LAYOUTENCLOSED PORCHPRIVATE BEACH ACCESSEXPANSIVE LOTMODERN SECURITY SYSTEM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $1.25M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($85k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($19k rent vs $1.25M).
  • Recommended offer: $1.17M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 8.0% in Greenport West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,073 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Greenport Union Free School District (town): math 55% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #450 of 755 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $37k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $349k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.17M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $1.25M implies a 8200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,170,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
13.10%
Cash-on-cash
24.32%
DSCR
2.08
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,313,715
List price
$1,245,000
Delta
-5.23%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1425 Middleton Rd 0.55mi 4/2.0 1,968 (-2%) 15mo $672,800 $342 56
35 Washington Ave 0.57mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,805 (-10%) 2mo $750,000 $416 51
1605 Washington Ave 0.52mi 4/3.0 1,740 (-13%) 6mo $1,295,000 $744 49
2515 Sound Dr 0.31mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,290 (+14%) 9mo $1,550,000 $677 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$248,011
Equity at exit
$185,634
10-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
3.28×
Total profit
$794,374
Equity at exit
$107,645

Cash invested: $348,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 11944

Home prices YoY
-23.7%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$18,719 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,529
Tax from tax record
$674 /mo · $8,092/yr
Insurance
$519
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,931
Net cashflow
$7,066

Break-even live

Break-even rent $9,775
Max offer price $1,245,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$311,250
Closing costs
$37,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
485 Sutton Pl Greenport, NY 4.0 2.5 2026 $20,000 $9.87 43d 1 0.19mi
64230 North Rd Greenport, NY 4.0 3.0 2800 $6,500 $2.32 43d 1 0.88mi
312 5th Ave Greenport, NY 4.0 2.0 1900 $12,000 $6.32 43d 1 0.98mi
123 Sterling Ave #2 Greenport, NY 3.0 3.0 1528 $45,000 $29.45 43d 1 1.05mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,245,000 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,245,000 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,245,000 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,245,000 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,245,000 Active 72 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $1,245,000 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,245,000 Active 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,245,000 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,245,000 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $1,245,000 Active 64 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,245,000 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,245,000 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,245,000 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,245,000 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-04-01
    listed $1,245,000 Active 1265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1265 chars)

    Dream Coastal Living in Greenport, NY! Welcome to your perfect North Fork retreat! This spacious 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom split-level high ranch at 1450 McCann Lane, Greenport, NY offers the ideal blend of comfort, style, and seaside charm. Property Highlights: • Generous 4 bedrooms & 3 full bathrooms with room to spare • Bright and airy layout with versatile living spaces • 2-car attached heated garage – perfect for year-round convenience • Relaxing enclosed porch – enjoy the outdoors in any season • Expansive 0.30-acre lot with plenty of room to entertain, garden, or unwind • Efficient gas heating system Exclusive Coastal Perks: Enjoy private beach access with the famous 67 Steps Beach less than 1000 ft away, giving you the luxury of morning walks by the water, sunset views, and endless summer memories just steps from your door. Located in the heart of Greenport, this home places you close to charming shops, renowned wineries, marinas, and the best of North Fork living. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, vacation getaway, or investment opportunity, this property offers incredible potential in a sought-after location. Don’t miss your chance to own a slice of coastal paradise.

  16. 1996-03-05
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$8,092 · $674/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$14,566 · $1,214/mo
Expected delta
+$6,474/yr (+$540/mo · 80.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$224,623
− Mortgage interest
−$69,739
− Property taxes
−$8,092
− Insurance
−$6,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$17,970
− Management
−$17,970
− Depreciation
−$36,218
Taxable income
$68,408
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$16,418
After-tax cash flow
$68,370/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greenport Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3612840
Math proficiency
55% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$54,490
Composite
45.25/100
National rank
#5759
State rank
#450 of 755 in NY

Livability — Greenport West

Score
58/100
State rank
#1073
US rank
#21520

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greenport West, NY
Population (ZIP)
4,744

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,505,262 people
By 2030
1,498,318 · -0.5%
By 2040
1,471,101 · -2.3%
By 2050
1,424,848 · -5.3%
By 2075
1,337,157 · -11.2%
By 2100
1,217,720 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 22% German/W. Germanic 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

2024 margin
Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.97%
Current HPI
462.3431
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8200.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $1,245,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,092 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…