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414 W Washington St
C- Composite 51.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,900

414 W Washington St · Allentown, PA 18102
5 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,580 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1913 919 sqft lot Est $386k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Why rent when you can own this beauty, moving ready 4 bed and 2 1/2 bath with finish basement. Don't miss this opportunity to own it, low taxes and maintenance. Seller will provide with clear CO from the city. Most see make your appointment today before is GONE.

Key facts

  • Second kitchen
  • Bonus room
  • Finished basement

Tags

MODERN KITCHENFINISHED BASEMENTBONUS ROOMSECOND KITCHENOUTDOOR AREAREDONE PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $129 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (13.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $216k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.3% in Allentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#171 in PA, #1,440 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D.
  • Allentown City SD (urban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #513 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Sheridan El Sch (math 2%, 560 students, 100% FRL); Trexler Ms (math 2% / reading 24%, grade F, #484 of 512 statewide, top 95%, 820 students, 100% FRL); William Allen Hs (math 29% / reading 10%, grade F, #392 of 437 statewide, top 90%, 2,852 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 73% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,160/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 4313% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $180k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $215,965 (13.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.91%
Cash-on-cash
2.22%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$385,520
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
133 Oakwood Dr 0.53mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,680 (+6%) 10mo $410,000 $244 48
1051 N 10th St 0.73mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,712 (+8%) 1mo $385,000 $225 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.3%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-26,803
Equity at exit
$37,261
10-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$10,857
Equity at exit
$21,607

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18102

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,160 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$454
Net cashflow
$129

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,996
Max offer price $249,900
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $271 -5% $200 +0% $129 +5% $58 +10% $-12
Rent -10% $-41 -5% $44 +0% $129 +5% $215 +10% $300
Rate -1.0pp $255 -0.5pp $193 base $129 +0.5pp $64 +1.0pp $-1

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
535 Tilghman St Unit 2ND Allentown, PA 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,750 $1.17 5d 1 0.21mi
913 N 6th St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1476 $1,698 $1.15 16d 1 0.26mi
1304 N 4th St Allentown, PA 5.0 2.0 1891 $2,900 $1.53 46d 1 0.29mi
622 Park St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.5 1638 $2,300 $1.40 5d 1 0.33mi
631 W Allen St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.5 1695 $2,100 $1.24 46d 1 0.36mi
432 N Law St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1328 $1,500 $1.13 16d 1 0.39mi
738 W Cedar St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.5 1900 $2,500 $1.32 46d 1 0.41mi
164 W Tilghman St Allentown, PA 5.0 2.0 1801 $2,250 $1.25 25d 1 0.43mi
856 N 8th St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.5 1499 $1,975 $1.32 21d 1 0.46mi
814 Washington St #2 Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 5d 1 0.47mi
823 W Washington St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,950 $1.39 16d 1 0.50mi
630 N Front St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1912 $1,900 $0.99 25d 1 0.57mi
213 Chew St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.0 1725 $2,100 $1.22 46d 1 0.58mi
1111 Fullerton Ave Allentown, PA 5.0 1.5 1670 $2,200 $1.32 46d 1 0.60mi
389 W Turner St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.5 2144 $2,400 $1.12 5d 1 0.60mi
828 W Gordon St Allentown, PA 4.0 2.5 1628 $2,250 $1.38 5d 1 0.65mi
208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1396 $1,700 $1.22 25d 1 0.73mi
208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1396 $1,600 $1.15 5d 1 0.73mi
626 N 11th St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.5 1642 $2,200 $1.34 5d 1 0.81mi
111 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1658 $1,650 $1.00 46d 1 0.82mi
948 W Maple St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1932 $2,300 $1.19 46d 1 1.09mi
1338 W Liberty St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1526 $2,000 $1.31 16d 1 1.14mi
1348 W Liberty St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.0 1561 $1,900 $1.22 25d 1 1.16mi
1341 Chew St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.5 2139 $2,500 $1.17 23d 1 1.21mi
450 Hanover Ave Allentown, PA 5.0 1.0 1692 $2,200 $1.30 25d 1 1.23mi
1455 W Tilghman St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.5 1520 $1,850 $1.22 46d 1 1.24mi
36 S Jefferson St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.5 2128 $2,500 $1.17 16d 1 1.31mi
144 S 12th St Allentown, PA 4.0 2.0 1242 $2,000 $1.61 5d 1 1.35mi
1538 Chew St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.0 1874 $2,800 $1.49 21d 1 1.43mi
41 S Franklin St Allentown, PA 5.0 2.0 1897 $2,500 $1.32 16d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $249,900 Pending 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,900 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,900 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,900 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,900 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,900 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-04-01
    status Pending
  8. 2026-02-10
    listed $249,900 Active
  9. 2021-09-17
    soldstatus $180,250
  10. 2021-09-15
    soldstatus $180,000 Sold 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Why rent when you can own this beauty, moving ready 4 bed and 2 1/2 bath with finish basement. Don't miss this opportunity to own it, low taxes and maintenance. Seller will provide with clear CO from the city. Most see make your appointment today before is GONE.

  11. 2021-07-26
    status Pending 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Why rent when you can own this beauty, moving ready 4 bed and 2 1/2 bath with finish basement. Don't miss this opportunity to own it, low taxes and maintenance. Seller will provide with clear CO from the city. Most see make your appointment today before is GONE.

  12. 2021-07-19
    listed $170,000 Active 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Why rent when you can own this beauty, moving ready 4 bed and 2 1/2 bath with finish basement. Don't miss this opportunity to own it, low taxes and maintenance. Seller will provide with clear CO from the city. Most see make your appointment today before is GONE.

  13. 2020-01-07
    soldstatus $108,000
  14. 2019-12-30
    soldstatus $108,000 Sold 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    Terrific 4 BR 1.5 bath end of row townhome in Allentown. Home has been completely remodeled throughout with an open concept on the first floor with new laminate floors and a modern kitchen with granite countertops and stainless steel appliances. Additionally, home offers new windows throughout, modern baths, new wall to wall carpeting on 2nd and 3rd floors, and gas heat. Also notably, this home has extremely low taxes, currently less than $800 per year. This home is a definite MUST SEE!!!

  15. 2019-12-11
    status Pending 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    Terrific 4 BR 1.5 bath end of row townhome in Allentown. Home has been completely remodeled throughout with an open concept on the first floor with new laminate floors and a modern kitchen with granite countertops and stainless steel appliances. Additionally, home offers new windows throughout, modern baths, new wall to wall carpeting on 2nd and 3rd floors, and gas heat. Also notably, this home has extremely low taxes, currently less than $800 per year. This home is a definite MUST SEE!!!

  16. 2019-11-19
    listed $114,900 Active 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    Terrific 4 BR 1.5 bath end of row townhome in Allentown. Home has been completely remodeled throughout with an open concept on the first floor with new laminate floors and a modern kitchen with granite countertops and stainless steel appliances. Additionally, home offers new windows throughout, modern baths, new wall to wall carpeting on 2nd and 3rd floors, and gas heat. Also notably, this home has extremely low taxes, currently less than $800 per year. This home is a definite MUST SEE!!!

  17. 2009-01-01
    historical
  18. 2008-11-11
    listed $89,900
  19. 2008-08-27
    historical
  20. 2008-08-27
    historical
  21. 2008-05-19
    listed $99,900
  22. 2008-05-17
    listed $99,900
  23. 2007-10-26
    soldstatus $70,000
  24. 2007-10-10
    soldstatus $70,000
  25. 2007-09-15
    listed $90,000
  26. 1992-08-01
    soldstatus $53,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,948 · $162/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,948 · $246/mo
Expected delta
+$1,000/yr (+$83/mo · 51.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,916
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$1,948
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,073
− Management
−$2,073
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable loss
−$2,696
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$647
After-tax cash flow
$2,197/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Allentown City SD
NCES district ID
4202280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$36,337
Composite
12.43/100
National rank
#9630
State rank
#513 of 539 in PA

Livability — Allentown

Score
81/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#1440

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Allentown, PA
County
Lehigh County · 333,019 people
City population
172,996
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
51,001
Household income
$43,085
Rent vs Own
67.9% rent · 32.1% own
Severe rent burden
4313.0

Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,957 people
By 2030
408,319 · +3.9%
By 2040
440,007 · +12.0%
By 2050
475,940 · +21.1%
By 2075
590,448 · +50.3%
By 2100
690,314 · +75.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 28% White 18% Black 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 38% Dominican 22%
Common ancestry
Polish 1% Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
45% English-only · Spanish 52% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -227.01%
Current HPI
404.834
Rent YoY
▲ 5.48%
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+371.5% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $249,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2021-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $180,250 Public Records
  • 2021-09-15 Sold (MLS) $180,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2021-07-26 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2021-07-19 Listed $170,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2020-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $108,000 Public Records
  • 2019-12-30 Sold (MLS) $108,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2019-12-11 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2019-11-19 Listed $114,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2009-01-01 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2008-11-11 Listed $89,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2008-08-27 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2008-08-27 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2008-05-19 Listed $99,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2008-05-17 Listed $99,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2007-10-26 Sold (MLS) $70,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2007-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2007-09-15 Listed $90,000 GLVRMLS
  • 1992-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,948 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…