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39 Salen Ln
D Composite 41.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.8/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$409,000

39 Salen Ln · Bella Vista, AR 72715
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,520 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 102 Days on market
Built 1983 0.38 ac lot $162/sqft · 10% below area Est $452k · 10% under $40/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tucked among the trees on Salen Lane, this fully updated 3-bed, 2.5-bath home offers privacy, modern finishes, and great value in Bella Vista. Inside you'll find new luxury vinyl plank flooring, freshly painted cabinets, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and fresh interior paint throughout. Both bathrooms have been fully remodeled with new tile floors, tiled stand-up showers, and new sinks and fixtures. The spacious upstairs living room includes a mini bar and built-in storage. The walkout basement has it's own exterior entrance to the backyard - ideal for guests or flexible living space and features a second living room, two bedrooms, and a full bathroom. Enjoy a rear deck overlooking the woods with no rear neighbors. A newer roof, graveled yard, and a matching storage shed complete the property. Bella Vista POA amenities include pools, tennis courts, trails, and scenic fishing lakes.

Key facts

  • Updated home
  • Granite countertops
  • Remodeled bathrooms

Tags

UPDATED HOMELUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESREMODELED BATHROOMSTILED STAND-UP SHOWERS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $409k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $390k (4.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $303k (25.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $303k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.6% in Bella Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Gravette School District (rural): math 49% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 238 in AR (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Glenn Duffy Elementary School (530 students, 42% FRL); Gravette Middle School (math 59% / reading 54%, grade B, #17 of 201 statewide, top 8%, 486 students, 35% FRL); Gravette High School (math 38% / reading 44%, grade F, #43 of 292 statewide, top 15%, 616 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 36% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 838 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($372k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $245k; list at $409k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $303,108 (25.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.14%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$452,383
List price
$409,000
Delta
-9.59%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
52 Morvan Dr 0.34mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,530 (+0%) 4mo $540,000 $213 75
22 May Ln 0.46mi 3/3.0 2,710 (+8%) 4mo $560,000 $207 62
17 Sable Dr 0.69mi 3/2.5 2,465 (-2%) 2mo $675,000 $274 61
5 Daviot Ln 0.53mi 3/2.0 2,344 (-7%) 1mo $530,000 $226 59
22 Cromarty Ln 0.65mi 3/2.5 2,594 (+3%) 6mo $725,000 $279 58
49 Allison Dr 0.57mi 3/2.5 2,600 (+3%) 13mo $415,000 $160 55
47 Eriboll Ln 0.33mi 3/2.5 2,178 (-14%) 8mo $522,000 $240 53
5 Brims Ness Ln 0.57mi 3/2.5 2,300 (-9%) 8mo $539,900 $235 51
52 May Ln 0.55mi 3/2.5 2,793 (+11%) 13mo $441,400 $158 44
20 Kelaen Dr 0.74mi 3/2.5 2,802 (+11%) 3mo $739,000 $264 42
17 May Ln 0.44mi 3/2.0 2,190 (-13%) 14mo $473,800 $216 42
42 Sable Dr 0.61mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,801 (+11%) 11mo $490,000 $175 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.2%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-73,379
Equity at exit
$60,983
10-year hold
IRR
-10.6%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-73,468
Equity at exit
$35,363

Cash invested: $114,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72715

Home prices YoY
-6.6%
Active inventory
838
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,031 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,145
Tax from tax record
$148 /mo · $1,781/yr
Insurance
$170
HOA
$40
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$637
Net cashflow
$-109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,169
Max offer price $389,720
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $122 -5% $7 +0% $-109 +5% $-225 +10% $-341
Rent -10% $-349 -5% $-229 +0% $-109 +5% $11 +10% $130
Rate -1.0pp $97 -0.5pp $-5 base $-109 +0.5pp $-215 +1.0pp $-323

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$102,250
Closing costs
$12,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1 Scotsdale Pl Unit 1257580P Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 2066 $2,793 $1.35 23d 1 0.70mi
79 Sherlock Dr Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 2082 $1,875 $0.90 25d 1 0.76mi
28 McKenzie Dr Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1750 $2,400 $1.37 16d 1 0.80mi
1 Marykirk Ln Unit 1221821P Bella Vista, AR 4.0 3.0 3035 $8,057 $2.65 25d 1 0.83mi
7 Dundonald Ln Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1870 $2,500 $1.34 16d 1 0.86mi
47 Glasgow Dr Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1870 $2,550 $1.36 16d 1 1.07mi
32 Cheviot Ln Unit 1221944P Bella Vista, AR 4.0 3.0 3282 $10,332 $3.15 45d 1 1.20mi
7 Prestwick Ln Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.5 1764 $1,950 $1.11 16d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$40 · $480/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $409,000 Active 102 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $409,000 Active 99 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $409,000 Active 98 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $419,000 Active 98 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $419,000 Active 97 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $419,000 Active 96 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $419,000 Active 94 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $419,000 Active 93 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $419,000 Active 91 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $419,000 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $419,000 Active 89 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $419,000 Active 88 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $419,000 Active 85 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $419,000 Active 84 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $419,000 Active 83 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $419,000 Active 82 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $419,000 Active 81 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $419,000 Active 80 DOM
  19. 2026-04-29
    price $429,000 913-char remark
    Show marketing remark (913 chars)

    Tucked among the trees on Salen Lane, this fully updated 3-bed, 2.5-bath home offers privacy, modern finishes, and great value in Bella Vista. Inside you'll find new luxury vinyl plank flooring, freshly painted cabinets, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and fresh interior paint throughout. Both bathrooms have been fully remodeled with new tile floors, tiled stand-up showers, and new sinks and fixtures. The spacious upstairs living room includes a mini bar and built-in storage. The walkout basement has it's own exterior entrance to the backyard - ideal for guests or flexible living space and features a second living room, two bedrooms, and a full bathroom. Enjoy a rear deck overlooking the woods with no rear neighbors. A newer roof, graveled yard, and a matching storage shed complete the property. Bella Vista POA amenities include pools, tennis courts, trails, and scenic fishing lakes.

  20. 2026-04-15
    price $439,000 913-char remark
    Show marketing remark (913 chars)

    Tucked among the trees on Salen Lane, this fully updated 3-bed, 2.5-bath home offers privacy, modern finishes, and great value in Bella Vista. Inside you'll find new luxury vinyl plank flooring, freshly painted cabinets, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and fresh interior paint throughout. Both bathrooms have been fully remodeled with new tile floors, tiled stand-up showers, and new sinks and fixtures. The spacious upstairs living room includes a mini bar and built-in storage. The walkout basement has it's own exterior entrance to the backyard - ideal for guests or flexible living space and features a second living room, two bedrooms, and a full bathroom. Enjoy a rear deck overlooking the woods with no rear neighbors. A newer roof, graveled yard, and a matching storage shed complete the property. Bella Vista POA amenities include pools, tennis courts, trails, and scenic fishing lakes.

  21. 2026-03-11
    listed $449,000 Active 913-char remark
    Show marketing remark (913 chars)

    Tucked among the trees on Salen Lane, this fully updated 3-bed, 2.5-bath home offers privacy, modern finishes, and great value in Bella Vista. Inside you'll find new luxury vinyl plank flooring, freshly painted cabinets, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and fresh interior paint throughout. Both bathrooms have been fully remodeled with new tile floors, tiled stand-up showers, and new sinks and fixtures. The spacious upstairs living room includes a mini bar and built-in storage. The walkout basement has it's own exterior entrance to the backyard - ideal for guests or flexible living space and features a second living room, two bedrooms, and a full bathroom. Enjoy a rear deck overlooking the woods with no rear neighbors. A newer roof, graveled yard, and a matching storage shed complete the property. Bella Vista POA amenities include pools, tennis courts, trails, and scenic fishing lakes.

  22. 2025-12-17
    soldstatus $245,000
  23. 2025-12-15
    soldstatus $245,000 Closed 705-char remark
    Show marketing remark (705 chars)

    Calling all investors! This spacious 2,520 sq ft property offers incredible potential with two full levels of living space in a prime Bella Vista location. The main floor features the primary suite, an open living area, and kitchen, while the walk-out basement level adds two additional bedrooms, a second living space, a dedicated office area, and a bonus room—perfect for expanded rental income or multi-generational living. This home is a fixer-upper and is being sold AS-IS. No repairs or seller credits will be offered. With its generous square footage and flexible layout, this property is an excellent opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build equity through renovation.

  24. 2025-12-04
    status Pending 705-char remark
    Show marketing remark (705 chars)

    Calling all investors! This spacious 2,520 sq ft property offers incredible potential with two full levels of living space in a prime Bella Vista location. The main floor features the primary suite, an open living area, and kitchen, while the walk-out basement level adds two additional bedrooms, a second living space, a dedicated office area, and a bonus room—perfect for expanded rental income or multi-generational living. This home is a fixer-upper and is being sold AS-IS. No repairs or seller credits will be offered. With its generous square footage and flexible layout, this property is an excellent opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build equity through renovation.

  25. 2025-12-02
    listed $250,000 Active 705-char remark
    Show marketing remark (705 chars)

    Calling all investors! This spacious 2,520 sq ft property offers incredible potential with two full levels of living space in a prime Bella Vista location. The main floor features the primary suite, an open living area, and kitchen, while the walk-out basement level adds two additional bedrooms, a second living space, a dedicated office area, and a bonus room—perfect for expanded rental income or multi-generational living. This home is a fixer-upper and is being sold AS-IS. No repairs or seller credits will be offered. With its generous square footage and flexible layout, this property is an excellent opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build equity through renovation.

  26. 2005-06-20
    soldstatus $131,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,781 · $148/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,618 · $218/mo
Expected delta
+$836/yr (+$70/mo · 47.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,373
− Mortgage interest
−$22,910
− Property taxes
−$1,781
− Insurance
−$2,045
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,910
− Management
−$2,910
− HOA
−$480
− Depreciation
−$11,898
Taxable loss
−$8,561
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,055
After-tax cash flow
$745/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gravette School District
NCES district ID
0506840
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$50,964
Composite
40.41/100
National rank
#3728
State rank
#26 of 238 in AR

Livability — Bella Vista

Score
67/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#11129

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bella Vista, AR
County
Benton County · 259,241 people
City population
31,638
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
Population (ZIP)
17,288
Household income
$82,447
Rent vs Own
11.5% rent · 88.5% own
Severe rent burden
107.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
318,683 people
By 2030
353,481 · +10.9%
By 2040
425,280 · +33.4%
By 2050
497,239 · +56.0%
By 2075
662,114 · +107.8%
By 2100
776,431 · +143.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -21.53%
Current HPI
304.946
Rent YoY
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+227.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $429,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $439,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $449,000 NWARMLS
  • 2025-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
  • 2025-12-15 Sold (MLS) $245,000 NWARMLS
  • 2025-12-04 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $250,000 NWARMLS
  • 2005-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $131,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,781 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…