800 Main Ave · Cordova, IL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$117,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.3 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1907
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Built over 100 years ago; Entry facing not specified
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Stone foundation; Rubber and shake roof
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Corner lot (82 x 144 x 82 x 144)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Main level master bedroom (13 x 11); Second level bedroom (11 x 10); Second level bedroom (16 x 8)
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl in kitchen, living room, dining room, family room and bar/entertainment areas; Carpet in upstairs bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Whirlpool tub, separate shower, accessible shower
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas and electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dining area combined with family room; Unfinished attic; Crawl space basement; Seven total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $158 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $118k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#662 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Riverdale CUSD 100 (rural): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #206 of 620 in IL (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Rock Island County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($812 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
- Rock Island County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.77%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,951
- List price
- $117,500
- Delta
- -36.12%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 800 Main Ave | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,790 (0%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $64 | 100 |
| 116 Route 84 | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,950 (+9%) | 14mo | $216,100 | $111 | 60 |
| 801 3rd S St S | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (-14%) | 16mo | $199,900 | $130 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $38,471
- Equity at exit
- $67,940
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.26×
- Total profit
- $107,099
- Equity at exit
- $118,391
Cash invested: $32,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61242
- Home prices YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,268 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$616
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,144/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $158
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,375
- Closing costs
- $3,525
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 31-char remark
-
2002-05-15soldstatus $89,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,144 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,406 · $200/mo
- Expected delta
- +$261/yr (+$22/mo · 12.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,221
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,582
- − Property taxes
- −$2,144
- − Insurance
- −$588
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,218
- − Management
- −$1,218
- − Depreciation
- −$3,418
- Taxable income
- $54
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$13
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,886/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverdale CUSD 100
- NCES district ID
- 1733930
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,006
- Composite
- 29.35/100
- National rank
- #6536
- State rank
- #206 of 620 in IL
Livability — Cordova
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #662
- US rank
- #13567
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cordova, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,135
Population outlook (Rock Island County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 140,982 people
- By 2030
- 137,705 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 130,512 · -7.4%
- By 2050
- 123,841 · -12.2%
- By 2075
- 109,851 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 90,922 · -35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% English 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rock Island
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.6) · D 53.9% · R 44.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: 24.6pp · 2024: 9.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.6 2020: D+12.1 2016: D+8.4 2012: D+21.9 2008: D+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.19%
- Current HPI
- 149.6184
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+29.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $115,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2024): $2,144 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…