871 Peruville Rd · Groton, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +1.3/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This affordable, move-in-ready 3-bedroom, 2 full bath ranch offers the ease of single-level living with a smart and functional layout. The open floor plan connects a spacious kitchen and family room, creating a natural gathering space. The kitchen features abundant cabinetry and the rear window above the sink provides a great view of the backyard, while having the laundry room nearby enhances the home’s efficiency. The primary suite is privately located on the left side of the home and includes a large soaking tub—perfect for unwinding at the end of the day. On the opposite side, two additional bedrooms and a newly updated full bath provide a comfortable and practical separation
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Large soaking tub
- Rear window view
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Gravel parking; No garage
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity available and connected; Propane available
- Home design: Manufactured on land (single wide); One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Other/see remarks foundation; Redman Homes manufacturer
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Patio/porch; Shed(s) and storage; Accessible entrance; Agricultural, rectangular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level; Accessible bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Forced air; Wall furnace; Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Skylight(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($257/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (10.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (10.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.2% in Groton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#418 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Groton Central School District (rural): math 53% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #381 of 590 in NY (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Groton Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #988 of 2,108 statewide, top 49%, 380 students, 43% FRL); Groton Junior/Senior High School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #974 of 1,100 statewide, top 91%, 402 students, 42% FRL).
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 382 units permitted in Tompkins County in 2024 (208 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tompkins County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.61%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,328
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sharpsteen Rd | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 13mo | $145,000 | $108 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-22,840
- Equity at exit
- $22,291
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-18,049
- Equity at exit
- $12,926
Cash invested: $41,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13073
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,335 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$784
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,242/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $21
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $125 | -5% $73 | +0% $21 | +5% $-30 | +10% $-82 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-84 | -5% $-31 | +0% $21 | +5% $74 | +10% $127 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $97 | -0.5pp $59 | base $21 | +0.5pp $-17 | +1.0pp $-57 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,375
- Closing costs
- $4,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-09status $149,500 Pending 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,500 Active Under Contract 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,500 Active Under Contract 40 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $149,500 Active Under Contract 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,500 Active Under Contract 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,500 Active Under Contract 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,500 Active Under Contract 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,500 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,500 Active Under Contract 32 DOM
-
2026-05-06historical Active Under Contract 1120-char remark
-
2026-04-28$149,500 Active 1120-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,019
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,374
- − Property taxes
- −$2,242
- − Insurance
- −$748
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,282
- − Management
- −$1,282
- − Depreciation
- −$4,349
- Taxable loss
- −$2,257
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$542
- After-tax cash flow
- $799/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This manufactured home requires significant updates to its kitchen, bathrooms, and exterior to improve its condition and increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — The cabinets are outdated and in poor condition.
- Major Kitchen countertops — The countertops are outdated and in poor condition.
- Major Bathroom fixtures — The fixtures are outdated and in poor condition.
- Major Bathroom wallpaper — The wallpaper is outdated and in poor condition.
- Major Flooring — The flooring is carpeted and in poor condition.
- Major Paint — The interior walls and ceilings have discoloration and need repainting.
- Major Landscaping — The landscaping is minimal and needs improvement.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Kitchen renovation — Updating the kitchen with new cabinets, countertops, and appliances will significantly increase the home's resale value.
- Resale Bathroom renovation — Updating the bathrooms with new fixtures and possibly a new color scheme will increase the home's resale value.
- Both Landscaping — Improving the landscaping will increase both the resale and rental value of the property.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · The cabinets are outdated and in poor condition. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Kitchen countertops · The countertops are outdated and in poor condition. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · The fixtures are outdated and in poor condition. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom wallpaper · The wallpaper is outdated and in poor condition. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · The flooring is carpeted and in poor condition. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Paint · The interior walls and ceilings have discoloration and need repainting. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · The landscaping is minimal and needs improvement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 7 items | $105,000–350,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Kitchen renovation — Updating the kitchen with new cabinets, countertops, and appliances will significantly increase the home's resale value. ↑
- Resale Bathroom renovation — Updating the bathrooms with new fixtures and possibly a new color scheme will increase the home's resale value. ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improving the landscaping will increase both the resale and rental value of the property. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Groton Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3613020
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,573
- Composite
- 42.84/100
- National rank
- #3133
- State rank
- #381 of 590 in NY
Livability — Groton
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #418
- US rank
- #7246
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,246
Population outlook (Tompkins County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 113,958 people
- By 2030
- 118,774 · +4.2%
- By 2040
- 125,927 · +10.5%
- By 2050
- 133,599 · +17.2%
- By 2075
- 156,759 · +37.6%
- By 2100
- 169,896 · +49.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 5% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tompkins
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+50.6) · D 75.3% · R 24.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 50.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+50.6 2020: D+49.2 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+39.8 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.49%
- Current HPI
- 191.5334
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Pending — IBRMLS
- 2026-05-06 Contingent — IBRMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $149,500 IBRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…