🏷️ Likely Rental
111 N 26th St · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Newer construction with 3-bedrooms and one full-bathroom. Large, vaulted great room, open kitchen and layout. Great opportunity for investors--recently rented for $600/month. This will be a short sale transaction and requires third-party approval on all offers.
Key facts
- 1,978 sq ft lot
- Built 1997
- Listed 65 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1997; Architectural style: Other
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: No fencing; Lot approximately 0.05 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the first floor
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (on the first floor); No half bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating with natural gas; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Four total rooms (seven total rooms listed including specialized rooms); No basement; Five closets; No fireplaces
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the first floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $528 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.8% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 141 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $55k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.13%
- DSCR
- 2.83
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $72,864
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2321 W Market St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,138 (+3%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $97 | 82 |
| 2620 W Madison St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (-2%) | 1mo | $74,000 | $69 | 70 |
| 365 N 27th St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,093 (-1%) | 6mo | $95,000 | $87 | 66 |
| 2338 W Madison St | 0.54mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,136 (+3%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $110 | 64 |
| 427 N 28th St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,166 (+6%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $60 | 60 |
| 117 N 34th St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,130 (+2%) | 4mo | $34,000 | $30 | 60 |
| 2722 Slevin St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 984 (-11%) | 5mo | $65,000 | $66 | 56 |
| 3007 Duncan St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,220 (+10%) | 5mo | $45,000 | $37 | 53 |
| 1814 Rowan St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,038 (-6%) | 1mo | $30,200 | $29 | 51 |
| 363 N 27th St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 972 (-12%) | 6mo | $36,500 | $38 | 48 |
| 1922 Bank St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (-8%) | 3mo | $110,950 | $109 | 48 |
| 2511 Bank St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-13%) | 6mo | $10,000 | $10 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.95×
- Total profit
- $60,784
- Equity at exit
- $49,548
- IRR
- 47.0%
- Equity multiple
- 10.58×
- Total profit
- $147,467
- Equity at exit
- $106,853
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40212
- Home prices YoY
- 11.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,146 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $798/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $528
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $559 | -5% $543 | +0% $528 | +5% $512 | +10% $497 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $437 | -5% $483 | +0% $528 | +5% $573 | +10% $618 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $555 | -0.5pp $542 | base $528 | +0.5pp $514 | +1.0pp $499 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2529 W Main St #2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1404 | $1,200 | $0.85 | 25d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 2508 W Main St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1327 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 212 N 25th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $895 | $0.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 214 N 24th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1012 | $915 | $0.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2614 W Jefferson St Unit 2614-4 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $795 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 322 N 24th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 17d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2623 Cedar St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2433 Slevin St Unit 2433-2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $875 | $1.09 | 4d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 430 S 24th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1288 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2132 Rowan St Louisville, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $928 | $1.06 | 4d | 4 | 0.38mi |
| 331 N 23rd St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 18d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2927 Rowan St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,205 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 353 N 27th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2631 W Madison St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $850 | $0.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2631 W Madison St Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $950 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2631 W Madison St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $850 | $0.92 | 18d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2925 Slevin St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $775 | $0.86 | 4d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 451 N 25th St Unit Mk Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $875 | $0.89 | 4d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 120 N 20th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2300 W Madison St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2221 W Madison St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2221 W Madison St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 409 N 20th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 4d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 515 S 20th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 17d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 112 N 18th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2411 Elliott Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $895 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 200 N 18th St Unit 200-4 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $775 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 522 N 29th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1031 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2733 Chase Ct Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1919 Baird St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 17d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2506 Montgomery St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1081 | $1,295 | $1.20 | 4d | 4 | 0.78mi |
| 1704 Rowan St Unit 1704-2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $850 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 500 N 17th St Unit 301 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,200 | $1.55 | 17d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 500 N 17th St Apt 309 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,200 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 509 N 31st St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $725 | $0.91 | 17d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 509 N 31st St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $795 | $0.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3120 Bank St Unit B Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1612 W Market St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2906 Montgomery St Unit B Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,060 | $0.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3421 River Park Dr Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $1,250 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $55,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $55,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-13$55,000 Active
-
2013-01-10soldstatus $17,000 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Newer construction with 3-bedrooms and one full-bathroom. Large, vaulted great room, open kitchen and layout. Great opportunity for investors--recently rented for $600/month. This will be a short sale transaction and requires third-party approval on all offers.
-
2012-08-06$25,000 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Newer construction with 3-bedrooms and one full-bathroom. Large, vaulted great room, open kitchen and layout. Great opportunity for investors--recently rented for $600/month. This will be a short sale transaction and requires third-party approval on all offers.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $798 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $798 · $67/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,757
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$798
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,101
- − Management
- −$1,101
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $5,802
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,392
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,941/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,661
- Household income
- $35,753
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1148.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 37% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 29.02%
- Current HPI
- 293.2624
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.51%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+120.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $55,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2013-01-10 Sold (MLS) $17,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2012-08-06 Listed $25,000 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
+12.2%/yrLatest (2025): $798 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…