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541 Crescent St Duplex
D Composite 44.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$15,000

541 Crescent St · Jamestown, NY 14701
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,602 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1900 3,600 sqft lot ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Serious investors only. The property is condemned and sold strictly as-is. Bring your crew, your vision, and turn this 2 unit into a cash-flowing asset. Perfect for contractors, flippers, or buy-and-hold investors who know how to turn distressed properties into profit.

Key facts

  • 3,600 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1900

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $15k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $659/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $15k).
  • Recommended offer: $14k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 111.7% vs local median 16.6% in Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime F.
  • Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($14k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (79%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $14,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
11.99%
Cap rate
111.70%
Cash-on-cash
376.44%
DSCR
17.75
GRM
0.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$65,682
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
149 Thayer St 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,584 (-1%) 14mo $85,000 $54 64
107 Wescott St 0.40mi 2/2.0 1,535 (-4%) 21mo $63,000 $41 57
52 Thayer St 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,482 (-8%) 18mo $56,000 $38 55
423 Lincoln St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,661 (+4%) 5mo $53,000 $32 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.41×
Total profit
$81,512
Equity at exit
$2,237
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
43.65×
Total profit
$179,144
Equity at exit
$1,297

Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14701

Home prices YoY
-18.5%
Active inventory
313
Price-to-rent
1.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,799 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$79
Tax est. 1.5%
$19 /mo · $225/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$1,318

Break-even live

Break-even rent $131
Max offer price $15,000
Occupancy floor 22%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,328 -5% $1,323 +0% $1,318 +5% $1,312 +10% $1,307
Rent -10% $1,175 -5% $1,246 +0% $1,318 +5% $1,389 +10% $1,460
Rate -1.0pp $1,325 -0.5pp $1,321 base $1,318 +0.5pp $1,314 +1.0pp $1,310

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,799

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,750
Closing costs
$450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
148 Maple St Jamestown, NY 3.0 1.0 1424 $1,350 $0.95 44d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-26
    historical
  3. 2025-11-26
    status Active
  4. 2025-11-26
    price $15,000
  5. 2025-09-08
    status Pending
  6. 2025-08-31
    historical
  7. 2025-08-26
    listed $37,000 Active
  8. 2025-08-26
    listed $70,000 Active
  9. 2022-03-08
    soldstatus $82,000
  10. 2012-05-08
    soldstatus $12,000
  11. 2012-05-04
    soldstatus $12,000
  12. 2011-11-11
    listed $17,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,588
− Mortgage interest
−$840
− Property taxes
−$225
− Insurance
−$75
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,727
− Management
−$1,727
− Depreciation
−$436
Taxable income
$16,557
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,974
After-tax cash flow
$11,837/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jamestown City School District
NCES district ID
3615630
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$32,240
Composite
30.69/100
National rank
#6176
State rank
#553 of 590 in NY

Livability — Jamestown

Score
69/100
State rank
#470
US rank
#8213

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jamestown, NY
County
Chautauqua County · 38,461 people
City population
38,461
Metro
Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
Population (ZIP)
38,461
Household income
$49,685
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
1838.0

Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,454 people
By 2030
118,509 · -4.0%
By 2040
107,311 · -13.1%
By 2050
96,703 · -21.7%
By 2075
76,757 · -37.8%
By 2100
60,984 · -50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.93%
Current HPI
259.402
Rent YoY
Metro
Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-01-26 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-11-26 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2025-11-26 Price Changed $15,000 UNYREIS
  • 2025-09-08 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2025-08-31 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-08-26 Listed $70,000 UNYREIS
  • 2025-08-26 Listed $37,000 UNYREIS
  • 2022-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
  • 2012-05-08 Sold (MLS) $12,000 UNYREIS
  • 2012-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
  • 2011-11-11 Listed $17,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

-4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $959 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…