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17648 S Alta Dr
D- Composite 35.65
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.4/15.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$324,000

17648 S Alta Dr · Lockport, IL 60441
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,393 sqft · Townhouse public records · 4 Days on market
Built 2003 Est $297k · 9% over $214/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this meticulously maintained and thoughtfully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome, offering comfort, style, and peace of mind with numerous upgrades throughout. Step inside to discover a bright, inviting interior that was freshly painted throughout in 2020, complemented by updated light fixtures that add a modern touch to every room. The beautifully renovated kitchen features granite countertops (2020), a stylish backsplash (2021), a new sink and faucet, and a full suite of kitchen appliances replaced approximately five years ago making it both functional and attractive for everyday living and entertaining. Both bathrooms were tastefully updated in 2021, providing fresh, cont

Key facts

  • New sink and faucet
  • Stylish backsplash
  • Renovated kitchen

Tags

UPDATED LIGHT FIXTURESRENOVATED KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTYLISH BACKSPLASHNEW SINK AND FAUCETUPDATED BATHROOMS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions listed as 200 (lot size source: other); 6-unit building (property part of a building with 6 units); Living area is estimated
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $214; Association covers water, lawn care, trash (scavenger) and snow removal; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water service; Public sewer
  • Home design: Attached single property; Townhouse — 2 stories; Entry level is 1; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Built approximately 21–25 years ago; Not rebuilt or rehabbed
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; School bus service and commuter train access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level with ceramic tile flooring (approx. 13 x 25)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (Master bedroom on the second level; two additional bedrooms on the second level)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring in general living areas; Wood laminate in living room and family room; Carpet in bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full baths and 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Total of 6 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on upper level (approximately 8 x 10)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $324k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-122 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $302k (6.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $307k (5.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $302k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.6% in Lockport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#116 in IL, #2,034 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, commute D, amenities D-.
  • Lockport Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 35% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #153 of 620 in IL (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lockport Township High Sch East (math 35% / reading 38%, grade F, #117 of 693 statewide, top 17%, 3,872 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $180k; list at $324k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $302,488 (6.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
5.84%
Cash-on-cash
-1.61%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$296,709
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17660 S Alta Dr 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,393 (0%) 1mo $312,500 $224 98
17656 S Gilbert Dr 0.09mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,393 (0%) 2mo $305,000 $219 89
17526 Gilbert Dr 0.17mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,393 (0%) 8mo $295,000 $212 81
16613 W Adobe Dr 0.46mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,397 (+0%) 6mo $293,000 $210 68
16731 W Natoma Dr 0.63mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,381 (-1%) 3mo $295,000 $214 62
17440 Yakima Dr 0.31mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,273 (-9%) 4mo $275,000 $216 59
16047 Tiger Dr 0.34mi 3/1.5 1,538 (+10%) 5mo $305,000 $198 59
16212 Golfview Dr 0.30mi 3/2.5 1,590 (+14%) 6mo $260,000 $164 58
17234 Long Bow Dr 0.57mi 3/3.0 1,478 (+6%) 8mo $317,000 $214 55
16224 Golfview Dr 0.27mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,590 (+14%) 0mo $325,000 $204 54
16043 Tiger Dr 0.34mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,242 (-11%) 5mo $265,000 $213 53
16148 Golfview Dr 0.33mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,590 (+14%) 0mo $309,900 $195 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.91% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.7%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-57,183
Equity at exit
$48,309
10-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-46,955
Equity at exit
$28,014

Cash invested: $90,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60441

Home prices YoY
-33.0%
Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,072 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,699
Tax from tax record
$501 /mo · $6,008/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$214
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$645
Net cashflow
$-122

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,226
Max offer price $302,488
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $62 -5% $-30 +0% $-122 +5% $-213 +10% $-305
Rent -10% $-364 -5% $-243 +0% $-122 +5% $0 +10% $121
Rate -1.0pp $41 -0.5pp $-39 base $-122 +0.5pp $-206 +1.0pp $-291

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,000
Closing costs
$9,720
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17419 Yakima Dr Unit 17419 Lockport, IL 2.0 2.0 1588 $3,200 $2.02 3d 1 0.34mi
16704 W Natoma Dr Lockport, IL 3.0 3.0 1704 $3,200 $1.88 13d 1 0.61mi
17215 S Juniper Dr Lockport, IL 2.0 2.0 1500 $3,149 $2.10 0d 3 0.92mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$214 · $2,568/yr

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $324,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $324,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,008 · $501/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,681 · $557/mo
Expected delta
+$674/yr (+$56/mo · 11.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,865
− Mortgage interest
−$18,149
− Property taxes
−$6,008
− Insurance
−$1,620
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,949
− Management
−$2,949
− HOA
−$2,568
− Depreciation
−$9,425
Taxable loss
−$6,803
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,633
After-tax cash flow
$172/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lockport Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1723350
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$69,994
Composite
33.5/100
National rank
#5440
State rank
#153 of 620 in IL

Livability — Lockport

Score
79/100
State rank
#116
US rank
#2034

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute D Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lockport, IL
County
Will County · 412,448 people
City population
36,844
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
36,844
Household income
$103,374
Rent vs Own
15.9% rent · 84.1% own
Severe rent burden
519.0

Population outlook (Will County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
705,368 people
By 2030
708,154 · +0.4%
By 2040
702,692 · -0.4%
By 2050
680,249 · -3.6%
By 2075
611,990 · -13.2%
By 2100
516,215 · -26.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 18% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Will

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 48.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.3 2016: D+5.7 2012: D+3.7 2008: D+13.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.43%
Current HPI
201.5857
Rent YoY
▲ 3.91%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+82.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $324,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
  • 2016-07-06 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-10 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-01-01 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-12-31 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-07-16 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-02-14 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-01-24 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $177,104 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $6,008 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…