134 S Philadelphia St · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Owner is a licensed real estate agent in the state of Ohio.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Newer flooring
- Fresh paint
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage
- Home design: 2-story residential property; Irregular lot
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Front porch
Interior
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 7.3% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Kiser Elementary School (math 11% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,429 of 1,584 statewide, top 90%, 552 students, 0% FRL); Belmont High School (math 5% / reading 20%, grade F, #720 of 781 statewide, top 93%, 1,100 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 74% district-wide (74 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 76 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.02%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $81,920
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 S Monmouth St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,332 (+4%) | 3mo | $109,900 | $83 | 80 |
| 425 Huffman Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-2%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $64 | 72 |
| 60 Bell St | 0.43mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,225 (-4%) | 3mo | $64,500 | $53 | 64 |
| 23 N Mcgee St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,148 (-10%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $39 | 61 |
| 65 S Sperling Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,380 (+8%) | 1mo | $57,000 | $41 | 60 |
| 44 Bell St | 0.45mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,404 (+10%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $89 | 54 |
| 15 Drury St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,464 (+14%) | 0mo | $181,000 | $124 | 52 |
| 804 Linden Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,395 (+9%) | 1mo | $86,000 | $62 | 52 |
| 115 Oaklawn Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,202 (-6%) | 2mo | $79,900 | $66 | 51 |
| 107 Sherman St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,446 (+13%) | 2mo | $73,000 | $50 | 48 |
| 800 Linden Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,472 (+15%) | 0mo | $62,500 | $42 | 45 |
| 1413 Huffman Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (-15%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $114 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $13,180
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.21×
- Total profit
- $46,385
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45403
- Home prices YoY
- -3.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,107 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $779/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $385
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $428 | -5% $406 | +0% $385 | +5% $364 | +10% $343 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $298 | -5% $342 | +0% $385 | +5% $429 | +10% $473 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $423 | -0.5pp $404 | base $385 | +0.5pp $366 | +1.0pp $346 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 S Monmouth St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 314 Sheridan Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,150 | $0.91 | 5d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 224 S Irwin St Unit 226 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $900 | $0.91 | 5d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 201 Pleasant Ave Unit 203 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $975 | $0.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 29 N Garfield St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 210 S Hedges St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1048 | $1,045 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 15 John St Unit 15 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $800 | $0.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 101 N Irwin St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 424 Bantz Ct Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1192 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 5d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 115 Livingston Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1624 | $1,450 | $0.89 | 46d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2200 E 5th St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $825 | $0.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1300 Chardon Ct Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,200 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3707 E 3rd St Unit 3705 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,045 | $0.74 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3719 E 3rd St Unit 3717 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 4d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3817 E 5th St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1178 | $1,295 | $1.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 637 Creighton Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,350 | $1.18 | 16d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 511 Parrot St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1618 | $1,100 | $0.68 | 16d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4013 E 3rd St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1144 | $1,095 | $0.96 | 16d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 144 N Quentin Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $1,600 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2012 Saint Charles Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1354 Ohmer St Unit 1356C Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $900 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1354 Ohmer St Unit 1354A Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $675 | $0.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1354 Ohmer St Unit 1354C Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $700 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 706 Kolping Ave Unit 706 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1172 | $1,300 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4403 Burkhardt Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 211 N Cherrywood Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $795 | $0.84 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1620 Gummer Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $950 | $1.09 | 5d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 515 Mertland Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $950 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 517 Mertland Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $875 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1515 Wyoming St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,000 | $0.71 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1704 Huffman Ave Unit 1706 Huffman Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $900 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1411 Wyoming St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,095 | $0.87 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 854 Santa Cruz Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 31 Bidleman St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1568 | $1,100 | $0.70 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1101 Phillips Ave Unit 1101 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1770 Suman Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,145 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1430 Coventry Rd Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,125 | $1.02 | 16d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 334 Blackwood Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 334 Blackwood Ave Unit 3 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1020 Walnut Hill Pl Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $75,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$75,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $779 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $974 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$196/yr (+$16/mo · 25.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,287
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$779
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,063
- − Management
- −$1,063
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $3,624
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$870
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,753/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,608
- Household income
- $38,323
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1071.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 14% Two or more races 8% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.40%
- Current HPI
- 447.4034
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.71%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+100.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $75,000 Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-04 Rental Removed $1,150 RentEngineListings
- 2025-12-06 Listed for Rent $1,150 RentEngineListings
- 2025-12-06 Rental Removed $1,150 APPFOLIO
- 2025-12-04 Listed for Rent $1,150 APPFOLIO
- 2021-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 2021-11-15 Sold (MLS) $89,900 Cincy MLS
- 2021-11-15 Sold (MLS) $89,900 Dayton MLS
- 2021-11-15 Sold (MLS) $89,900 Dayton MLS
- 2021-10-15 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2021-10-15 Listed — Cincy MLS
- 2021-10-15 Listed $89,900 Cincy MLS
- 2021-10-15 Listed $89,900 Dayton MLS
- 2005-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records
- 1992-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $45,900 Public Records
- 1989-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $779 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…