35440 N 307th Ave · Buckeye, AZ 85361

$215,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Manufactured public records · 124 Days on market

Built 1996 5.00 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.7/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.8/10.0
• 1% rule +4.3/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Manufactured home with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths located in Whispering Ranch in Wittmann, AZ. This home sits on 5 acres and off grid with scenic views. Home also has a large storage container and other storage rooms. Green house that can also be turned into a chicken coup. This property has plenty of space for your horses and other animals. Home has septic, hauled water. All you need is to add solar panels with battery to power it up. If you want to have privacy well this is it. FIX UP OPPORTUNITY.

Key facts

• Chicken coup
• 5 acres
• Storage rooms

Tags

• 5 ACRES
• SCENIC VIEWS
• LARGE STORAGE CONTAINER
• STORAGE ROOMS
• GREEN HOUSE
• CHICKEN COUP

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $215k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $94 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (7.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $189k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.1% in Buckeye — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#53 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Wickenburg Unified District (4236) (rural): math 33% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 249 in AZ (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 373 active listings in the ZIP; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $50k; list at $215k implies a 330% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $189,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.93% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.82%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.87%
• DSCR: 1.08
• GRM: 9.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 25.6%
• Equity multiple: 3.04×
• Total profit: $123,092
• Equity at exit: $193,689

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.5%
• Equity multiple: 6.94×
• Total profit: $357,854
• Equity at exit: $417,698

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85361

• Home prices YoY: 19.4%
• Active inventory: 373
• Price-to-rent: 9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,999 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,127
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
• Insurance: −$90
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$420
• Net cashflow: $94

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,881

Max offer price $215,000

Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $242	-5% $168	+0% $94	+5% $19	+10% $-55
Rent	-10% $-64	-5% $15	+0% $94	+5% $173	+10% $252
Rate	-1.0pp $202	-0.5pp $148	base $94	+0.5pp $38	+1.0pp $-19

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $53,750
• Closing costs: $6,450
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 28 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $215,000 Active 124 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $215,000 Active 121 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $215,000 Active 120 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $215,000 Active 119 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $215,000 Active 118 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $215,000 Active 116 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $215,000 Active 115 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $215,000 Active 112 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $215,000 Active 111 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $215,000 Active 110 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $215,000 Active 107 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $215,000 Active 106 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $215,000 Active 105 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 104 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 103 DOM
16. 2026-04-03
    price $215,000 504-char remark

    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Manufactured home with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths located in Whispering Ranch in Wittmann, AZ. This home sits on 5 acres and off grid with scenic views. Home also has a large storage container and other storage rooms. Green house that can also be turned into a chicken coup. This property has plenty of space for your horses and other animals. Home has septic, hauled water. All you need is to add solar panels with battery to power it up. If you want to have privacy well this is it. FIX UP OPPORTUNITY.

17. 2026-03-13
    status Active 504-char remark

    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Manufactured home with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths located in Whispering Ranch in Wittmann, AZ. This home sits on 5 acres and off grid with scenic views. Home also has a large storage container and other storage rooms. Green house that can also be turned into a chicken coup. This property has plenty of space for your horses and other animals. Home has septic, hauled water. All you need is to add solar panels with battery to power it up. If you want to have privacy well this is it. FIX UP OPPORTUNITY.

18. 2026-02-18
    status Active 504-char remark

    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Manufactured home with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths located in Whispering Ranch in Wittmann, AZ. This home sits on 5 acres and off grid with scenic views. Home also has a large storage container and other storage rooms. Green house that can also be turned into a chicken coup. This property has plenty of space for your horses and other animals. Home has septic, hauled water. All you need is to add solar panels with battery to power it up. If you want to have privacy well this is it. FIX UP OPPORTUNITY.

19. 2026-02-18
    historical 504-char remark

    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Manufactured home with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths located in Whispering Ranch in Wittmann, AZ. This home sits on 5 acres and off grid with scenic views. Home also has a large storage container and other storage rooms. Green house that can also be turned into a chicken coup. This property has plenty of space for your horses and other animals. Home has septic, hauled water. All you need is to add solar panels with battery to power it up. If you want to have privacy well this is it. FIX UP OPPORTUNITY.

20. 2026-02-04
    historical 504-char remark

    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Manufactured home with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths located in Whispering Ranch in Wittmann, AZ. This home sits on 5 acres and off grid with scenic views. Home also has a large storage container and other storage rooms. Green house that can also be turned into a chicken coup. This property has plenty of space for your horses and other animals. Home has septic, hauled water. All you need is to add solar panels with battery to power it up. If you want to have privacy well this is it. FIX UP OPPORTUNITY.

21. 2026-01-15
    status Active 504-char remark

    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Manufactured home with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths located in Whispering Ranch in Wittmann, AZ. This home sits on 5 acres and off grid with scenic views. Home also has a large storage container and other storage rooms. Green house that can also be turned into a chicken coup. This property has plenty of space for your horses and other animals. Home has septic, hauled water. All you need is to add solar panels with battery to power it up. If you want to have privacy well this is it. FIX UP OPPORTUNITY.

22. 2026-01-13
    historical 504-char remark

    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Manufactured home with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths located in Whispering Ranch in Wittmann, AZ. This home sits on 5 acres and off grid with scenic views. Home also has a large storage container and other storage rooms. Green house that can also be turned into a chicken coup. This property has plenty of space for your horses and other animals. Home has septic, hauled water. All you need is to add solar panels with battery to power it up. If you want to have privacy well this is it. FIX UP OPPORTUNITY.

23. 2026-01-11
    status Active 504-char remark

    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Manufactured home with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths located in Whispering Ranch in Wittmann, AZ. This home sits on 5 acres and off grid with scenic views. Home also has a large storage container and other storage rooms. Green house that can also be turned into a chicken coup. This property has plenty of space for your horses and other animals. Home has septic, hauled water. All you need is to add solar panels with battery to power it up. If you want to have privacy well this is it. FIX UP OPPORTUNITY.

24. 2026-01-10
    historical 504-char remark

    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Manufactured home with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths located in Whispering Ranch in Wittmann, AZ. This home sits on 5 acres and off grid with scenic views. Home also has a large storage container and other storage rooms. Green house that can also be turned into a chicken coup. This property has plenty of space for your horses and other animals. Home has septic, hauled water. All you need is to add solar panels with battery to power it up. If you want to have privacy well this is it. FIX UP OPPORTUNITY.

25. 2026-01-07
    listed $240,000 Active 504-char remark

    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Manufactured home with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths located in Whispering Ranch in Wittmann, AZ. This home sits on 5 acres and off grid with scenic views. Home also has a large storage container and other storage rooms. Green house that can also be turned into a chicken coup. This property has plenty of space for your horses and other animals. Home has septic, hauled water. All you need is to add solar panels with battery to power it up. If you want to have privacy well this is it. FIX UP OPPORTUNITY.

26. 2024-08-09
    soldstatus $50,000
27. 2024-08-09
    soldstatus $85,000
28. 1992-08-28
    soldstatus $9,750

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,993
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,043
• − Property taxes: −$3,225
• − Insurance: −$1,075
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,919
• − Management: −$1,919
• − Depreciation: −$6,255
• Taxable loss: −$2,444
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$587
• After-tax cash flow: $1,711/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Wickenburg Unified District (4236)
• NCES district ID: 0409190
• Math proficiency: 33% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $47,369
• Composite: 29.27/100
• National rank: #6560
• State rank: #92 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Buckeye

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #53
• US rank: #9428

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 8,107

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 4,979,203 people
• By 2030: 5,378,229 · +8.0%
• By 2040: 6,156,598 · +23.6%
• By 2050: 6,872,376 · +38.0%
• By 2075: 8,401,270 · +68.7%
• By 2100: 9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (59%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 17% Native American 2% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 25%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 12% · Canada
• Languages at home: 70% English-only · Spanish 27% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 77.69%
• Current HPI: 479.0154
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

+2105.1% since first listed

13 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-03 Price Changed $215,000 ARMLS
• 2026-03-13 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2026-02-18 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2026-02-18 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2026-02-04 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2026-01-15 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2026-01-13 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2026-01-11 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2026-01-10 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2026-01-07 Listed $240,000 ARMLS
• 2024-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
• 2024-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
• 1992-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $9,750 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $161 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.