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200 Maple Rd
B+ Composite 75.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$49,500

200 Maple Rd · President, PA 16301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · Manufactured public records · 35 Days on market
Built 2001 0.43 ac lot $63/sqft · 70% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well-mainained single-wide mobile home with large shed situated in a private, peaceful setting near Walnut Bend. This spacious lot offers convenient access to the scenic Allegheny River and abundant outdoor recreational opportunities including hiking and biking trails, fishing, and small-town charm.

Key facts

  • Private setting
  • Large shed
  • 0.43 acre lot

Tags

LARGE SHEDPRIVATE SETTINGSCENIC ALLEGHENY RIVERHIKING AND BIKING TRAILS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $567 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Forest Area SD (rural): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #415 of 658 in PA (top 63%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: West Forest El Sch (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #947 of 1,518 statewide, top 65%, 114 students, 100% FRL); West Forest Jshs (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #391 of 437 statewide, top 89%, 109 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 47% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Forest Area SD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Venango County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($342 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
  • Venango County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $5k; list at $50k implies a 890% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $48,015 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.37%
Cap rate
20.05%
Cash-on-cash
49.12%
DSCR
3.19
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$151,752
List price
$49,500
Delta
-67.38%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.3%
Equity multiple
3.89×
Total profit
$39,997
Equity at exit
$19,997
10-year hold
IRR
53.7%
Equity multiple
7.82×
Total profit
$94,534
Equity at exit
$29,163

Cash invested: $13,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16301

Home prices YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,174 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$260
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $960/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$247
Net cashflow
$567

Break-even live

Break-even rent $456
Max offer price $49,500
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $595 -5% $581 +0% $567 +5% $553 +10% $539
Rent -10% $475 -5% $521 +0% $567 +5% $614 +10% $660
Rate -1.0pp $592 -0.5pp $580 base $567 +0.5pp $554 +1.0pp $541

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,375
Closing costs
$1,485
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $49,500 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $49,500 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,500 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,500 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,500 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,500 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,500 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $49,500 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,500 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,500 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,500 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,500 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,500 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    remarks 385-char remark
  15. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $49,500 Active 16 DOM
  16. 2026-05-03
    status Pending 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Well-mainained single-wide mobile home with large shed situated in a private, peaceful setting near Walnut Bend. This spacious lot offers convenient access to the scenic Allegheny River and abundant outdoor recreational opportunities including hiking and biking trails, fishing, and small-town charm.

  17. 2026-04-17
    listed $49,500 Active 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    Well-mainained single-wide mobile home with large shed situated in a private, peaceful setting near Walnut Bend. This spacious lot offers convenient access to the scenic Allegheny River and abundant outdoor recreational opportunities including hiking and biking trails, fishing, and small-town charm.

  18. 2016-02-26
    soldstatus $5,000 100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (100 chars)

    This 3 bed 1 bath property is minutes away from the river. Would make a great camp. Being sold AS-IS

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$960 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$960 · $80/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,088
− Mortgage interest
−$2,773
− Property taxes
−$960
− Insurance
−$248
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,127
− Management
−$1,127
− Depreciation
−$1,440
Taxable income
$6,414
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,539
After-tax cash flow
$5,268/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Forest Area SD
NCES district ID
4208280
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$37,002
Composite
43.52/100
National rank
#6452
State rank
#415 of 658 in PA

Livability — President

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
15,067

Population outlook (Venango County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,827 people
By 2030
46,061 · -5.7%
By 2040
39,989 · -18.1%
By 2050
34,094 · -30.2%
By 2075
22,500 · -53.9%
By 2100
13,659 · -72.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Iranian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Venango

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+41.4 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.18%
Current HPI
218.0124
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+890.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $49,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2016-02-26 Sold (MLS) $5,000 AVBREALTORS

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $960 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…