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6630 Nelson St
B+ Composite 78.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,900

6630 Nelson St · West Richland, WA 99353
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 209 Days on market
Built 1980 $60/sqft · 45% below area Est $101k · 45% under ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming Home with Instant Equity Potential in West Richland! Bright and inviting, this 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom single-wide home in the desirable * * Desert View Manufactured Home Park * * offers the perfect blend of comfort today and incredible financial upside for tomorrow. Featuring a highly functional, open-concept layout with a spacious living area and efficient kitchen, the home provides a fantastic canvas for simple cosmetic updates. Refresh the finishes to your exact taste and * * build instant equity * * while creating your dream space. Key Features & Community Perks: * * * Privacy & Space: * * Each bedroom features its own dedicated bathroom, offering

Key facts

  • Clubhouse
  • Community amenities
  • Exercise room

Tags

OPEN LAYOUTCOMFORTABLE LIVING AREAEFFICIENT KITCHENCOMMUNITY AMENITIESEXERCISE ROOMCLUBHOUSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $56k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $922 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $56k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.1% vs local median 3.2% in West Richland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#236 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Richland School District (urban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #61 of 291 in WA (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 243 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,532 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($122k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $386 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Benton County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $49,192 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.83%
Cap rate
26.08%
Cash-on-cash
70.68%
DSCR
4.14
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,473
List price
$55,900
Delta
-44.91%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6408 Haag St 0.12mi 2/2.0 924 (0%) 6mo $89,500 $97 90
313 Sahara Ct #686 0.09mi 2/2.0 924 (0%) 11mo $65,000 $70 86
313 Sahara Ct 0.09mi 2/2.0 924 (0%) 11mo $65,000 $70 86
6705 S Morrison St 0.08mi 2/2.0 924 (0%) 16mo $85,000 $92 84
6311 Desert View Dr 0.15mi 2/2.0 938 (+2%) 12mo $76,000 $81 80
324 Mojave Ct 0.08mi 2/1.0 960 (+4%) 7mo $86,000 $90 80
868 N 62nd Ave 0.50mi 2/2.0 924 (0%) 1mo $195,000 $211 76
207 N 68th Ave #501 0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 996 (+8%) 0mo $75,000 $75 75
6600 Haag St 0.10mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (0%) 19mo $83,000 $90 70
107 N 68th Ave 0.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 938 (+2%) 19mo $90,000 $96 66
872 N 60th Ave 0.59mi 2/1.5 924 (0%) 7mo $200,000 $216 65
892 N 62nd Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (+4%) 21mo $269,900 $281 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
70.2%
Equity multiple
4.17×
Total profit
$49,647
Equity at exit
$8,335
10-year hold
IRR
74.2%
Equity multiple
8.59×
Total profit
$118,792
Equity at exit
$4,833

Cash invested: $15,652 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 99353

Active inventory
243
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,582 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$293
Tax from tax record
$12 /mo · $142/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$922

Break-even live

Break-even rent $415
Max offer price $55,900
Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $954 -5% $938 +0% $922 +5% $906 +10% $890
Rent -10% $797 -5% $859 +0% $922 +5% $984 +10% $1,047
Rate -1.0pp $950 -0.5pp $936 base $922 +0.5pp $907 +1.0pp $893

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,975
Closing costs
$1,677
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5889 W Van Giesen St Unit 4 West Richland, WA 1.0 1.0 584 $895 $1.53 44d 1 0.54mi
870 Walton Pl West Richland, WA 2.0 2.0 919 $1,495 $1.63 14d 1 0.95mi
7850 Paradise Way West Richland, WA 2.0 2.0 929 $1,500 $1.61 14d 4 1.08mi
8000 Paradise Way West Richland, WA 2.0 2.0 924 $1,575 $1.70 14d 2 1.11mi
8152 Paradise Way West Richland, WA 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1262 $2,095 $1.66 14d 7 1.23mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,900 Active 209 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,900 Active 208 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,900 Active 207 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,900 Active 206 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $55,900 Active 204 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,900 Active 203 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $55,900 Active 201 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,900 Active 200 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,900 Active 199 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,900 Active 198 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $55,900 Active 195 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,900 Active 194 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,900 Active 193 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,900 Active 192 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,900 Active 191 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $55,900 Active 190 DOM
  17. 2026-04-29
    price $55,900
  18. 2026-01-09
    price $65,900
  19. 2025-11-21
    listed $79,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$142 · $12/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$548 · $46/mo
Expected delta
+$406/yr (+$34/mo · 286.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,990
− Mortgage interest
−$3,131
− Property taxes
−$142
− Insurance
−$280
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,519
− Management
−$1,519
− Depreciation
−$1,626
Taxable income
$10,773
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,585
After-tax cash flow
$8,478/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richland School District
NCES district ID
5307320
Math proficiency
52% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$70,475
Composite
53.04/100
National rank
#3244
State rank
#61 of 291 in WA

Livability — West Richland

Score
71/100
State rank
#236
US rank
#7220

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Richland, WA
County
Benton County · 186,895 people
City population
19,251
Metro
Kennewick-Richland, WA
Population (ZIP)
19,251
Household income
$121,845
Rent vs Own
16.1% rent · 83.9% own
Severe rent burden
254.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
219,421 people
By 2030
233,813 · +6.6%
By 2040
262,134 · +19.5%
By 2050
290,100 · +32.2%
By 2075
363,525 · +65.7%
By 2100
418,667 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 15% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Italian 4% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.9) · D 37.7% · R 59.6% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -21.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.9 2020: R+21.0 2016: R+26.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+26.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -218.63%
Current HPI
239.5096
Rent YoY
Metro
Kennewick-Richland, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-29.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $55,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $65,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-21 Listed $79,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $142 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…