6630 Nelson St · West Richland, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming Home with Instant Equity Potential in West Richland! Bright and inviting, this 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom single-wide home in the desirable * * Desert View Manufactured Home Park * * offers the perfect blend of comfort today and incredible financial upside for tomorrow. Featuring a highly functional, open-concept layout with a spacious living area and efficient kitchen, the home provides a fantastic canvas for simple cosmetic updates. Refresh the finishes to your exact taste and * * build instant equity * * while creating your dream space. Key Features & Community Perks: * * * Privacy & Space: * * Each bedroom features its own dedicated bathroom, offering
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Community amenities
- Exercise room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $56k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $922 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $56k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.1% vs local median 3.2% in West Richland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#236 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Richland School District (urban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #61 of 291 in WA (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 243 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,532 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($122k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $386 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benton County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 70.68%
- DSCR
- 4.14
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $101,473
- List price
- $55,900
- Delta
- -44.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6408 Haag St | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 6mo | $89,500 | $97 | 90 |
| 313 Sahara Ct #686 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 11mo | $65,000 | $70 | 86 |
| 313 Sahara Ct | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 11mo | $65,000 | $70 | 86 |
| 6705 S Morrison St | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 16mo | $85,000 | $92 | 84 |
| 6311 Desert View Dr | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 938 (+2%) | 12mo | $76,000 | $81 | 80 |
| 324 Mojave Ct | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+4%) | 7mo | $86,000 | $90 | 80 |
| 868 N 62nd Ave | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $211 | 76 |
| 207 N 68th Ave #501 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 996 (+8%) | 0mo | $75,000 | $75 | 75 |
| 6600 Haag St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 924 (0%) | 19mo | $83,000 | $90 | 70 |
| 107 N 68th Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 938 (+2%) | 19mo | $90,000 | $96 | 66 |
| 872 N 60th Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.5 | 924 (0%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $216 | 65 |
| 892 N 62nd Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (+4%) | 21mo | $269,900 | $281 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 70.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.17×
- Total profit
- $49,647
- Equity at exit
- $8,335
- IRR
- 74.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.59×
- Total profit
- $118,792
- Equity at exit
- $4,833
Cash invested: $15,652 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99353
- Active inventory
- 243
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,582 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$293
- Tax from tax record
- −$12 /mo · $142/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $922
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $954 | -5% $938 | +0% $922 | +5% $906 | +10% $890 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $797 | -5% $859 | +0% $922 | +5% $984 | +10% $1,047 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $950 | -0.5pp $936 | base $922 | +0.5pp $907 | +1.0pp $893 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,975
- Closing costs
- $1,677
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5889 W Van Giesen St Unit 4 West Richland, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 584 | $895 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 870 Walton Pl West Richland, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 919 | $1,495 | $1.63 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 7850 Paradise Way West Richland, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 929 | $1,500 | $1.61 | 14d | 4 | 1.08mi |
| 8000 Paradise Way West Richland, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,575 | $1.70 | 14d | 2 | 1.11mi |
| 8152 Paradise Way West Richland, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1262 | $2,095 | $1.66 | 14d | 7 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $55,900 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $55,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $55,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,900 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $55,900 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $55,900
-
2026-01-09price $65,900
-
2025-11-21$79,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $142 · $12/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $548 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- +$406/yr (+$34/mo · 286.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,990
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,131
- − Property taxes
- −$142
- − Insurance
- −$280
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,519
- − Management
- −$1,519
- − Depreciation
- −$1,626
- Taxable income
- $10,773
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,585
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,478/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richland School District
- NCES district ID
- 5307320
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,475
- Composite
- 53.04/100
- National rank
- #3244
- State rank
- #61 of 291 in WA
Livability — West Richland
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #236
- US rank
- #7220
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Richland, WA
- County
- Benton County · 186,895 people
- City population
- 19,251
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,251
- Household income
- $121,845
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 254.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 219,421 people
- By 2030
- 233,813 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 262,134 · +19.5%
- By 2050
- 290,100 · +32.2%
- By 2075
- 363,525 · +65.7%
- By 2100
- 418,667 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 15% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 37.7% · R 59.6% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+21.0 2016: R+26.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+26.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -218.63%
- Current HPI
- 239.5096
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-29.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $55,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-09 Price Changed $65,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-21 Listed $79,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2026): $142 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…