31 W 129th St · New York, NY 10027

$194,603

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 17,280 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 37 Days on market

Built 1910

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Appreciation +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom co-op unit in a gut-renovated building with stainless steel appliances located in a safe neighborhood and close to 2, 3, A, and C trains. The unit is a 4-story walk-up with no elevator. Note: this condo is income restricted to 120% of AMI Open House schedule for May 16, at 3:00 - 4:00 PM

Key facts

• Close to trains
• Built 1910
• Listed 37 days

Tags

• GUT-RENOVATED BUILDING
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• CLOSE TO TRAINS

🏢 Co-op / cooperative unit. The $194,603 price buys shares in the cooperative corporation, not the real estate itself — so it isn't comparable to a fee-simple sale price, and the cashflow / cap-rate / 1%-rule cards below (which assume you own the property and can rent it out) don't apply here. Expect board approval and a monthly maintenance fee on top of the price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $195k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $195k).
• Recommended offer: $189k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 22.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $4,927/mo this rent would consume 99% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 5635% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-1.3% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $54k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $188,764 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.53% ✓
• Cap rate: 22.00%
• Cash-on-cash: 56.10%
• DSCR: 3.50
• GRM: 3.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.26% appreciation · 2.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 56.1%
• Equity multiple: 3.64×
• Total profit: $143,960
• Equity at exit: $44,559

10-year hold

• IRR: 59.4%
• Equity multiple: 7.28×
• Total profit: $342,263
• Equity at exit: $44,762

Cash invested: $54,489 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 10027

• Home prices YoY: -0.3%
• Rents YoY: 2.7%
• Active inventory: 175
• Price-to-rent: 3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $4,927 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,021
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$243 /mo · $2,919/yr
• Insurance: −$81
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,035
• Net cashflow: $2,547

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,702

Max offer price $194,603

Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $48,651
• Closing costs: $5,838
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
283 Pleasant Ave Unit 1265794P New York, NY	4.0	4.0	12916	$35,438	$2.74	20d	1	1.14mi

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $194,603 Active 37 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $194,603 Active 36 DOM
3. 2026-06-15
   days on market $194,603 Active 34 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $194,603 Active 32 DOM
5. 2026-06-10
   days on market $194,603 Active 28 DOM
6. 2026-06-08
   days on market $194,603 Active 27 DOM
7. 2026-06-03
   days on market $194,603 Active 22 DOM
8. 2026-06-01
   days on market $194,603 Active 20 DOM
9. 2026-05-31
   days on market $194,603 Active 19 DOM
10. 2026-05-12
    listed $194,603 Active
11. 2022-06-10
    soldstatus $16,756,059
12. 2016-01-22
    soldstatus $180,720

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $59,122
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,901
• − Property taxes: −$2,919
• − Insurance: −$973
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$4,730
• − Management: −$4,730
• − Depreciation: −$5,661
• Taxable income: $29,209
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$7,010
• After-tax cash flow: $23,558/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: New York County · 1,599,927 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 63,885
• Household income: $59,587
• Rent vs Own: 82.6% rent · 17.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 5635.0

Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,825,725 people
• By 2030: 1,904,611 · +4.3%
• By 2040: 2,052,719 · +12.4%
• By 2050: 2,206,601 · +20.9%
• By 2075: 2,509,427 · +37.4%
• By 2100: 2,702,933 · +48.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 33% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 24% Asian 10% Two or more races 9%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 10%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 26% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 61% English-only · Spanish 18% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Chinese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · New York

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -1.26%
• Current HPI: 414.8385
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.71%
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+7.7% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-12 Listed $194,603 FSBO.com
• 2022-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $16,756,059 Public Records
• 2016-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $180,720 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $142,425 · +457.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.