4706 Lakeview St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity New Windows including lot next door, 3 bedroom 2.5 bath with living room, kitchen, and full basement. This 2 family flat was being converted into a single family home, upstairs will need to be completed, it is also eligible for various down payment assistance programs. Schedule your showing today. This home is SOLD AS-IS WHERE IS, MEASUREMENTS ESTIMATED BATVAI. NEW CONSTRUCTION HOMES ACROSS THE STREET.
Key facts
- Single family home
- Full basement
- 2 family flat
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $920 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 50.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $4k; list at $25k implies a 525% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 50.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 157.78%
- DSCR
- 8.02
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $98,515
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4830 Dickerson St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,542 (-4%) | 2mo | $60,099 | $39 | 75 |
| 5059 Lakeview St | 0.21mi | 4/1.5 | 1,688 (+4%) | 16mo | $75,000 | $44 | 69 |
| 4707 Lenox St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,442 (-11%) | 14mo | $17,000 | $12 | 54 |
| 5550 Lenox St | 0.49mi | 4/3.0 | 1,508 (-7%) | 11mo | $179,900 | $119 | 51 |
| 5517 Drexel St | 0.45mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,425 (-12%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $46 | 50 |
| 5794 Dickerson St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,467 (-9%) | 4mo | $118,000 | $80 | 43 |
| 4395 Maryland St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,840 (+14%) | 1mo | $169,000 | $92 | 43 |
| 5567 Newport St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,468 (-9%) | 21mo | $45,000 | $31 | 40 |
| 4821 Maryland St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,790 (+11%) | 12mo | $112,000 | $63 | 38 |
| 5764 Lenox St | 0.63mi | 4/1.0 | 1,401 (-13%) | 18mo | $85,000 | $61 | 31 |
| 5568 Manistique St | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 | 1,373 (-15%) | 14mo | $145,000 | $106 | 30 |
| 5974 Coplin St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,811 (+12%) | 18mo | $85,000 | $47 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.80×
- Total profit
- $54,595
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 18.59×
- Total profit
- $123,126
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48215
- Home prices YoY
- -24.1%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,392 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $452/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $920
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4251 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1326 | $1,650 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1366 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5747 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $1,473 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5791 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $1,400 | $0.84 | 17d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,300 | $1.02 | 20d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3625 Chatsworth St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1182 | $1,295 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 13395 Maiden St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,600 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 5d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1458 | $1,300 | $0.89 | 17d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1458 | $1,300 | $0.89 | 16d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5574 Buckingham Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $1,450 | $1.01 | 4d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3651 Buckingham Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,300 | $0.98 | 17d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4667 Beniteau St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $1,700 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1195 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 15857 Evanston St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1232 | $1,250 | $1.01 | 5d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5045 Fairview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1303 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,575 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2025-02-16status Pending 428-char remark
Show marketing remark (428 chars)
Investment opportunity New Windows including lot next door, 3 bedroom 2.5 bath with living room, kitchen, and full basement. This 2 family flat was being converted into a single family home, upstairs will need to be completed, it is also eligible for various down payment assistance programs. Schedule your showing today. This home is SOLD AS-IS WHERE IS, MEASUREMENTS ESTIMATED BATVAI. NEW CONSTRUCTION HOMES ACROSS THE STREET.
-
2025-02-16status Pending
Show marketing remark (428 chars)
Investment opportunity New Windows including lot next door, 3 bedroom 2.5 bath with living room, kitchen, and full basement. This 2 family flat was being converted into a single family home, upstairs will need to be completed, it is also eligible for various down payment assistance programs. Schedule your showing today. This home is SOLD AS-IS WHERE IS, MEASUREMENTS ESTIMATED BATVAI. NEW CONSTRUCTION HOMES ACROSS THE STREET.
-
2025-01-13$25,000 Active
Show marketing remark (428 chars)
Investment opportunity New Windows including lot next door, 3 bedroom 2.5 bath with living room, kitchen, and full basement. This 2 family flat was being converted into a single family home, upstairs will need to be completed, it is also eligible for various down payment assistance programs. Schedule your showing today. This home is SOLD AS-IS WHERE IS, MEASUREMENTS ESTIMATED BATVAI. NEW CONSTRUCTION HOMES ACROSS THE STREET.
-
2025-01-13$25,000 Active 428-char remark
Show marketing remark (428 chars)
Investment opportunity New Windows including lot next door, 3 bedroom 2.5 bath with living room, kitchen, and full basement. This 2 family flat was being converted into a single family home, upstairs will need to be completed, it is also eligible for various down payment assistance programs. Schedule your showing today. This home is SOLD AS-IS WHERE IS, MEASUREMENTS ESTIMATED BATVAI. NEW CONSTRUCTION HOMES ACROSS THE STREET.
-
2007-06-20soldstatus $4,000 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
BANK OWNED FORECLOSURE SOLD AS IS ALL OFFERS MUST BE PRESENTED WITH A COPY OF THE BUYERS EMD & PROOF OF FUNDS IN ORDER TO BE SUBMITTED TO THE SELLER MEASUREMENTS ARE ESTIMATED AND SHOULD BE VERIFY BY BUYER OR BUYERS AGENT
-
2007-05-30historical 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
BANK OWNED FORECLOSURE SOLD AS IS ALL OFFERS MUST BE PRESENTED WITH A COPY OF THE BUYERS EMD & PROOF OF FUNDS IN ORDER TO BE SUBMITTED TO THE SELLER MEASUREMENTS ARE ESTIMATED AND SHOULD BE VERIFY BY BUYER OR BUYERS AGENT
-
2007-04-27$6,500 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
BANK OWNED FORECLOSURE SOLD AS IS ALL OFFERS MUST BE PRESENTED WITH A COPY OF THE BUYERS EMD & PROOF OF FUNDS IN ORDER TO BE SUBMITTED TO THE SELLER MEASUREMENTS ARE ESTIMATED AND SHOULD BE VERIFY BY BUYER OR BUYERS AGENT
-
2005-09-23soldstatus $74,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $452 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $452 · $38/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,703
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$452
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,336
- − Management
- −$1,336
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $11,326
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,718
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,327/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- City population
- 572,865
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,238
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 87% White 9% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.84%
- Current HPI
- 191.0405
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-66.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-02-16 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-02-16 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-01-13 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-01-13 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-06-20 Sold (MLS) $4,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-05-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-04-27 Listed $6,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $452 · +73.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…