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302 Plains Rd
C Composite 55.62
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$221,000

302 Plains Rd · Claremont, NH 03743
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,770 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 221 Days on market
Built 1880 2.12 ac lot $125/sqft · 33% below area Est $332k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Home offering 4 to 5 bedrooms and more than 2 acres, original hardwood floors and woodwork. Home has a barn and shed. It also has a new heating system including everything. Home is located about 10 mins. from I91 & is in a town with many amenities. Sold as is. Price is negotiable. Please email or text. No rent to own. House sold as is.

Key facts

  • Shed
  • Barn
  • New heating system

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSNEW HEATING SYSTEMBARNSHEDTOWN WITH MANY AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $221k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($592/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $221k).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.2% in Claremont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#50 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Claremont School District (town): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #85 of 98 in NH (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 98 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,347/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 642% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $446 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
  • Sullivan County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $221k implies a 342% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $194,480 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.96%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$332,035
List price
$221,000
Delta
-33.44%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
107 Old Church Rd 0.49mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,911 (+8%) 1mo $390,000 $204 58
4 Harris Pl 0.38mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,648 (-7%) 22mo $272,000 $165 47
40 Ellis Ln 0.49mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,511 (-15%) 11mo $344,000 $228 39
22 Jackson St 0.75mi 4/2.0 1,650 (-7%) 14mo $360,000 $218 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-1,016
Equity at exit
$66,408
10-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$35,383
Equity at exit
$81,633

Cash invested: $61,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 03743

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,347 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,159
Tax from tax record
$554 /mo · $6,642/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$493
Net cashflow
$49

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,284
Max offer price $221,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,250
Closing costs
$6,630
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $221,000 Active 221 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $221,000 Active 220 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $221,000 Active 219 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $221,000 Active 218 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $221,000 Active 217 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $221,000 Active 215 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $221,000 Active 214 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $221,000 Active 211 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $221,000 Active 210 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $221,000 Active 209 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $221,000 Active 206 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $221,000 Active 205 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $221,000 Active 204 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $221,000 Active 203 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $221,000 Active 202 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $221,000 Active 201 DOM
  17. 2025-11-10
    listed $221,000 Active 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Home offering 4 to 5 bedrooms and more than 2 acres, original hardwood floors and woodwork. Home has a barn and shed. It also has a new heating system including everything. Home is located about 10 mins. from I91 & is in a town with many amenities. Sold as is. Price is negotiable. Please email or text. No rent to own. House sold as is.

  18. 2016-07-05
    historical 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .

  19. 2016-06-30
    soldstatus $50,000 Closed 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .

  20. 2016-06-13
    status Pending 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .

  21. 2016-05-26
    status Active 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .

  22. 2016-05-19
    historical 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .

  23. 2016-02-26
    price $54,900 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .

  24. 2016-02-05
    status Active 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .

  25. 2016-01-31
    historical 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .

  26. 2015-12-31
    status Active 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .

  27. 2015-12-31
    historical 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .

  28. 2015-10-30
    price $65,000 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .

  29. 2015-09-01
    listed $72,900 Active 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,642 · $554/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,642 · $554/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,160
− Mortgage interest
−$12,379
− Property taxes
−$6,642
− Insurance
−$1,105
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,253
− Management
−$2,253
− Depreciation
−$6,429
Taxable loss
−$2,901
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$696
After-tax cash flow
$1,288/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Claremont School District
NCES district ID
3302340
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,285
Composite
25.11/100
National rank
#7528
State rank
#85 of 98 in NH

Livability — Claremont

Score
69/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#8815

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Claremont, NH
County
Sullivan County · 16,826 people
City population
13,704
Metro
Lebanon, NH-VT
Population (ZIP)
13,704
Household income
$59,625
Rent vs Own
41.8% rent · 58.2% own
Severe rent burden
642.0

Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,322 people
By 2030
39,910 · -3.4%
By 2040
36,447 · -11.8%
By 2050
32,917 · -20.3%
By 2075
25,997 · -37.1%
By 2100
19,479 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 18% Slovak 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.7pp toward R · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: -0.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.7 2020: D+3.6 2016: R+2.6 2012: D+13.3 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.20%
Current HPI
337.0004
Rent YoY
Metro
Lebanon, NH-VT
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+203.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-10 Listed $221,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2016-07-05 Delisted PrimeMLS
  • 2016-06-30 Sold (MLS) $50,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2016-06-13 Pending PrimeMLS
  • 2016-05-26 Relisted PrimeMLS
  • 2016-05-19 Delisted PrimeMLS
  • 2016-02-26 Price Changed $54,900 PrimeMLS
  • 2016-02-05 Relisted PrimeMLS
  • 2016-01-31 Delisted PrimeMLS
  • 2015-12-31 Relisted PrimeMLS
  • 2015-12-31 Delisted PrimeMLS
  • 2015-10-30 Price Changed $65,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2015-09-01 Listed $72,900 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,642 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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