302 Plains Rd · Claremont, NH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $507 – $941
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$221,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home offering 4 to 5 bedrooms and more than 2 acres, original hardwood floors and woodwork. Home has a barn and shed. It also has a new heating system including everything. Home is located about 10 mins. from I91 & is in a town with many amenities. Sold as is. Price is negotiable. Please email or text. No rent to own. House sold as is.
Key facts
- Shed
- Barn
- New heating system
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $221k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($592/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $221k).
- Recommended offer: $194k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.2% in Claremont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#50 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Claremont School District (town): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #85 of 98 in NH (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 98 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,347/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 642% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $446 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
- Sullivan County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $221k implies a 342% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.96%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $332,035
- List price
- $221,000
- Delta
- -33.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Old Church Rd | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,911 (+8%) | 1mo | $390,000 | $204 | 58 |
| 4 Harris Pl | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,648 (-7%) | 22mo | $272,000 | $165 | 47 |
| 40 Ellis Ln | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,511 (-15%) | 11mo | $344,000 | $228 | 39 |
| 22 Jackson St | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 | 1,650 (-7%) | 14mo | $360,000 | $218 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-1,016
- Equity at exit
- $66,408
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $35,383
- Equity at exit
- $81,633
Cash invested: $61,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Hampshire
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 03743
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,347 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,159
- Tax from tax record
- −$554 /mo · $6,642/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$493
- Net cashflow
- $49
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,250
- Closing costs
- $6,630
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $221,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $221,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $221,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $221,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $221,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $221,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $221,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $221,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $221,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $221,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $221,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $221,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $221,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $221,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $221,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $221,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2025-11-10$221,000 Active 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Home offering 4 to 5 bedrooms and more than 2 acres, original hardwood floors and woodwork. Home has a barn and shed. It also has a new heating system including everything. Home is located about 10 mins. from I91 & is in a town with many amenities. Sold as is. Price is negotiable. Please email or text. No rent to own. House sold as is.
-
2016-07-05historical 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .
-
2016-06-30soldstatus $50,000 Closed 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .
-
2016-06-13status Pending 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .
-
2016-05-26status Active 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .
-
2016-05-19historical 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .
-
2016-02-26price $54,900 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .
-
2016-02-05status Active 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .
-
2016-01-31historical 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .
-
2015-12-31status Active 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .
-
2015-12-31historical 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .
-
2015-10-30price $65,000 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .
-
2015-09-01$72,900 Active 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Home offering 4 bedrooms, one bath , hard wood floors , home needs work also has an attached barn with plenty of options let your imagination run wild. Home located about 10 mins from I 91 .
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,642 · $554/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,642 · $554/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,160
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,379
- − Property taxes
- −$6,642
- − Insurance
- −$1,105
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,253
- − Management
- −$2,253
- − Depreciation
- −$6,429
- Taxable loss
- −$2,901
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$696
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,288/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Claremont School District
- NCES district ID
- 3302340
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,285
- Composite
- 25.11/100
- National rank
- #7528
- State rank
- #85 of 98 in NH
Livability — Claremont
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #8815
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Claremont, NH
- County
- Sullivan County · 16,826 people
- City population
- 13,704
- Metro
- Lebanon, NH-VT
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,704
- Household income
- $59,625
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 642.0
Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,322 people
- By 2030
- 39,910 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 36,447 · -11.8%
- By 2050
- 32,917 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 25,997 · -37.1%
- By 2100
- 19,479 · -52.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 18% Slovak 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.7pp toward R · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: -0.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.7 2020: D+3.6 2016: R+2.6 2012: D+13.3 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.20%
- Current HPI
- 337.0004
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lebanon, NH-VT
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+203.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-10 Listed $221,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2016-07-05 Delisted — PrimeMLS
- 2016-06-30 Sold (MLS) $50,000 PrimeMLS
- 2016-06-13 Pending — PrimeMLS
- 2016-05-26 Relisted — PrimeMLS
- 2016-05-19 Delisted — PrimeMLS
- 2016-02-26 Price Changed $54,900 PrimeMLS
- 2016-02-05 Relisted — PrimeMLS
- 2016-01-31 Delisted — PrimeMLS
- 2015-12-31 Relisted — PrimeMLS
- 2015-12-31 Delisted — PrimeMLS
- 2015-10-30 Price Changed $65,000 PrimeMLS
- 2015-09-01 Listed $72,900 PrimeMLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $6,642 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…