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1726 Elmwood Ave Duplex
B+ Composite 78.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.4/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$160,000

1726 Elmwood Ave · Niagara Falls, NY 14301
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 124 Days on market
Built 1925 4,320 sqft lot $104/sqft · at area comps Est $153k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Wonderful opportunity to own this multi-family property located within the Niagara Falls NY approved short-term rental area; minutes from the Rainbow Bridge, Niagara Falls State Park, local restaurants, shopping and other amenities. Property offers two units, each 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. Separate utilities make this perfect for rental investment, short-term rental, or owner occupy. Private driveway provides convenient off-street parking for owners, tenants, and guests.

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Private driveway
  • Off-street parking

Tags

MULTI-FAMILY PROPERTYSEPARATE UTILITIESPRIVATE DRIVEWAYOFF-STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $768 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $384/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 7.5% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harry F Abate Elementary School (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,909 of 2,108 statewide, top 91%, 695 students, 82% FRL); Gaskill Preparatory School (math 10% / reading 22%, grade F, #702 of 729 statewide, top 96%, 500 students, 78% FRL); Niagara Falls High School (math 75% / reading 92%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 2,139 students, 71% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.8%/yr); 164 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $135k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $140,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
12.05%
Cash-on-cash
20.56%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$152,909
List price
$160,000
Delta
4.64%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
746 17th St 0.15mi 4/2.0 1,475 (-4%) 1mo $72,000 $49 86
614 20th St 0.34mi 4/2.0 1,570 (+2%) 1mo $100,000 $64 80
1970 Whitney Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,562 (+2%) 8mo $122,000 $78 73
1888 Weston Ave 0.51mi 4/2.0 1,512 (-2%) 4mo $30,000 $20 70
1535 Pierce Ave 0.24mi 4/2.0 1,724 (+12%) 2mo $35,000 $20 66
2236 Linwood Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,544 (+0%) 8mo $163,000 $106 66
2260 Weston Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,540 (+0%) 3mo $135,000 $88 64
555 25th St 0.57mi 4/2.0 1,619 (+5%) 7mo $128,000 $79 58
420 18th St 0.64mi 4/2.5 1,632 (+6%) 3mo $115,000 $70 56
2234 Willow Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,386 (-10%) 11mo $105,000 $76 50
2254 Grand Ave 0.35mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,748 (+14%) 8mo $149,000 $85 48
443 21st St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (-7%) 10mo $65,000 $46 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.4%
Equity multiple
4.32×
Total profit
$148,832
Equity at exit
$144,141
10-year hold
IRR
38.7%
Equity multiple
10.63×
Total profit
$431,548
Equity at exit
$310,845

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14301

Home prices YoY
6.2%
Rents YoY
8.8%
Active inventory
164
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,413 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$233 /mo · $2,797/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$507
Net cashflow
$768

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,441
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $858 -5% $813 +0% $768 +5% $722 +10% $677
Rent -10% $577 -5% $672 +0% $768 +5% $863 +10% $958
Rate -1.0pp $848 -0.5pp $808 base $768 +0.5pp $726 +1.0pp $684

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,413

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1001 17th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,800 $1.56 25d 1 0.07mi
2020 Forest Ave Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,500 $0.94 19d 1 0.16mi
784 15th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.5 1380 $1,350 $0.98 5d 1 0.21mi
1427 Fort Ave Unit 2 Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1058 $950 $0.90 45d 1 0.60mi
724 Augustus Pl Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 45d 1 0.73mi
420 25th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1101 $1,500 $1.36 45d 1 0.74mi
642 Ashland Ave Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1238 $1,100 $0.89 5d 1 0.86mi
2420 Mackenna Ave Unit 1 Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,390 $1.07 3d 1 0.96mi
3225 Belden Pl Niagara Falls, NY 5.0 1.5 1344 $1,750 $1.30 3d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 40 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $160,000 Active 124 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 121 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 120 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 119 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 118 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 116 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 115 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $160,000 Active 113 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 112 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 111 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 110 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 106 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 105 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 104 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 103 DOM
  16. 2026-02-17
    listed $160,000 Active 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    Wonderful opportunity to own this multi-family property located within the Niagara Falls NY approved short-term rental area; minutes from the Rainbow Bridge, Niagara Falls State Park, local restaurants, shopping and other amenities. Property offers two units, each 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. Separate utilities make this perfect for rental investment, short-term rental, or owner occupy. Private driveway provides convenient off-street parking for owners, tenants, and guests.

  17. 2026-02-17
    historical
    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    Wonderful opportunity to own this multi-family property located within the Niagara Falls NY approved short-term rental area; minutes from the Rainbow Bridge, Niagara Falls State Park, local restaurants, shopping and other amenities. Property offers two units, each 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. Separate utilities make this perfect for rental investment, short-term rental, or owner occupy. Private driveway provides convenient off-street parking for owners, tenants, and guests.

  18. 2025-10-11
    listed $160,000 Active
  19. 2025-10-02
    historical
  20. 2025-05-27
    price $158,000
  21. 2025-05-22
    price $159,000
  22. 2025-05-14
    price $159,999
  23. 2025-05-13
    price $169,999
  24. 2025-05-13
    price $179,999
  25. 2025-05-09
    price $169,999
  26. 2025-05-02
    price $174,999
  27. 2025-04-24
    price $179,999
  28. 2025-04-16
    listed $198,999 Active
  29. 2023-07-09
    historical
  30. 2023-05-16
    listed $149,000 Active
  31. 2022-04-14
    soldstatus $135,000
  32. 2022-04-08
    soldstatus $135,000 Closed Sale or Rented
  33. 2021-10-02
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
  34. 2021-10-02
    listed $140,000 Active
  35. 2021-08-19
    historical
  36. 2021-05-19
    listed $150,000 Active
  37. 2020-06-15
    historical
  38. 2020-03-18
    listed $119,900 Active
  39. 2018-11-27
    historical
  40. 2018-05-27
    listed $136,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,797 · $233/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,797 · $233/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,956
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$2,797
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,316
− Management
−$2,316
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable income
$7,109
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,706
After-tax cash flow
$7,504/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Niagara Falls City School District
NCES district ID
3620820
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$32,488
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7655
State rank
#578 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

Score
60/100
State rank
#956
US rank
#18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Niagara Falls, NY
County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
City population
62,983
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
10,923
Household income
$34,549
Rent vs Own
54.1% rent · 45.9% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 25% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.41%
Current HPI
266.1457
Rent YoY
▲ 8.79%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.6% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-17 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $160,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-10-11 Listed $160,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-10-02 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2025-05-27 Price Changed $158,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-05-22 Price Changed $159,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-05-14 Price Changed $159,999 WNYREIS
  • 2025-05-13 Price Changed $169,999 WNYREIS
  • 2025-05-13 Price Changed $179,999 WNYREIS
  • 2025-05-09 Price Changed $169,999 WNYREIS
  • 2025-05-02 Price Changed $174,999 WNYREIS
  • 2025-04-24 Price Changed $179,999 WNYREIS
  • 2025-04-16 Listed $198,999 WNYREIS
  • 2023-07-09 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2023-05-16 Listed $149,000 WNYREIS
  • 2022-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2022-04-08 Sold (MLS) $135,000 WNYREIS
  • 2021-10-02 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2021-10-02 Listed $140,000 WNYREIS
  • 2021-08-19 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2021-05-19 Listed $150,000 WNYREIS
  • 2020-06-15 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2020-03-18 Listed $119,900 WNYREIS
  • 2018-11-27 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2018-05-27 Listed $136,000 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+7.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,797 · +28.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…