405 Old Stone Rd · Munster, IN
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Maintenance free living in this main floor, beautiful freshly painted, move-in ready condo. This home offers both comfort and convenience ideally situated next to the pool clubhouse and tennis courts. It & acirc; & euro; & trade; s perfect for entertaining! The spacious primary bedroom features and en suite bath and a walk-in closet while the second bedroom offers flexibility as a guestroom or home office. The kitchen includes a pantry, stainless steel appliances and the laundry room is conveniently located just outside the door. The association fee covers water, sewer, trash, snow, removal, lawn, care, exterior maintenance, as well as your heat and gas bill, leaving you only wi
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Tons of storage
- Built 1975
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-28k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate -11.0% vs local median 5.0% in Munster — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#17 in IN, #1,427 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- School Town Of Munster (suburban): math 65% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #6 of 301 in IN (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 125% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- -10.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -61.67%
- DSCR
- -1.74
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -2.81×
- Total profit
- $-170,536
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -6.36×
- Total profit
- $-329,416
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46321
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,357 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$309 /mo · $3,714/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA est. from 4 same-building comps
- −$2,948
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$495
- Net cashflow
- $-2,301
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashgasexterior maint.pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $159,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$159,900 Active 754-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,714 · $309/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,714 · $309/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,281
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$3,714
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,262
- − Management
- −$2,262
- − HOA
- −$35,376
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$29,742
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$7,138
- After-tax cash flow
- $-20,472/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- School Town Of Munster
- NCES district ID
- 1807350
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,901
- Composite
- 56.91/100
- National rank
- #1115
- State rank
- #6 of 301 in IN
Livability — Munster
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #1427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Munster, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 23,733
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,733
- Household income
- $110,187
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 338.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Iranian 4% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -213.34%
- Current HPI
- 232.4818
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-10.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Price Changed $159,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Listed $159,900 FSBO.com
- 2026-05-02 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $164,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $169,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $174,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-29 Listed $179,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+15.3%/yrLatest (2024): $3,714 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…