317 Mabry St #1122 · Tallahassee, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$81,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Gorgeous condo, nestled in 6 acres of Oak & Pine trees. Buy cheaper than you can rent. Unit includes all appliances even the Washer & Dryer. Unit has been owner occupied. CLUBHOUSE has Pool, Pool Table, and Sauna. Close to all school s, 2 miles from FSU, TCC and FAMU, 5 minutes from Downtown. Shops and restaurants close by. Must see to appreciate! ONLY PRE APPROVED CLIENTS OR WITH PROOF OF FUNDS DOC. AGENT MUST ACCOMPANY BUYER! 24 HOUR NOTICE
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Sauna
- 2 miles from fsu
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association fee includes common areas, insurance, structure maintenance, pools, road maintenance, street lights and trash; Association fee: $3,300; Community features include curbs, gutters and sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Publicly maintained road (access); Central heating and cooling; Electric service
- Home design: Single-story; Brick, stucco and vinyl siding exterior
- Construction: Brick construction; Stucco construction; Vinyl siding; Built as a single-story residence
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Screened patio/porch; Private pool (concrete); Community pool; Publicly maintained road; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 (13 x 11)
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s); Electric cooling; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Handicap access; Sauna; Fireplace; Screened porch
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $81k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($997/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $81k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.2% in Tallahassee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#19 in FL, #429 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
- Leon (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #33 of 73 in FL (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,765 units permitted in Leon County in 2024 (975 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $560 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Leon County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.40%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-5,637
- Equity at exit
- $12,077
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $11,204
- Equity at exit
- $7,003
Cash invested: $22,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32304
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,163 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$425
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,223/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$275
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $83
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,250
- Closing costs
- $2,430
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317 Mabry St Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 808 | $898 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2202 W Pensacola St Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,224 | $1.29 | 21d | 3 | 0.21mi |
| 205 White Dr Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1155 | $637 | $0.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 218 White Dr Tallahassee, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $995 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 214 White Dr Unit F Tallahassee, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $1,200 | $1.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2416 Jackson Bluff Rd Tallahassee, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $800 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 103 Cactus St Tallahassee, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 13d | 3 | 0.40mi |
| 316 Ausley Rd Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $798 | $1.06 | 13d | 8 | 0.47mi |
| 2131 Jackson Bluff Rd Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1043 | $1,257 | $1.21 | 13d | 3 | 0.56mi |
| 2125 Jackson Bluff Rd Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,172 | $1.20 | 21d | 4 | 0.58mi |
| 2349 Horne Ave Unit C Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,100 | $1.62 | 13d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2350 Horne Ave Unit 2 Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 301 S Lipona Rd #24 Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 896 | $1,350 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1854 Belle Vue Way Tallahassee, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1100 | $1,235 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 930 S Lipona Rd Unit D Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,295 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2353 W Mission Rd Tallahassee, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1012 | $1,250 | $1.23 | 13d | 11 | 0.91mi |
| 220 Atkinson Dr Unit D Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,100 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1001 Ocala Rd Tallahassee, FL | 4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 899 | $584 | $0.65 | 21d | 6 | 1.04mi |
| 394 Prince St Unit 394-PRI Tallahassee, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,250 | $2.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2614 W Tennessee St Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1270 | $1,159 | $0.91 | 21d | 14 | 1.12mi |
| 322 Conradi St Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 21d | 4 | 1.20mi |
| 1643 Sharkey St Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,350 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1606 Airport Dr Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2616 Mission Rd Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,195 | $1.59 | 13d | 12 | 1.27mi |
| 2060 Continental Ave Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1121 | $1,052 | $0.94 | 13d | 26 | 1.27mi |
| 2020 Continental Ave Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 21d | 3 | 1.33mi |
| 1303 Ocala Rd Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1121 | $1,320 | $1.18 | 13d | 48 | 1.35mi |
| 1313 Airport Dr Unit DRE6 Tallahassee, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1303 Airport Dr Unit A08 Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1083 | $1,475 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1380 Ocala Rd Tallahassee, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $975 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1360 Ocala Rd Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1111 High Rd Tallahassee, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,409 | $1.41 | 13d | 11 | 1.42mi |
| 1426 Pepper Dr Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,250 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1108 Greentree Ct Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,275 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1616 McCaskill Ave Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $969 | $1.29 | 21d | 43 | 1.46mi |
| 810 Wadsworth St Tallahassee, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,123 | $1.87 | 13d | 2 | 1.46mi |
| 1410 Nylic St Unit B Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $900 | $1.64 | 13d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $275 · $3,300/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-02-19$81,000 Active
-
2025-02-11historical
-
2024-12-13$86,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,223 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,223 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,952
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,537
- − Property taxes
- −$1,223
- − Insurance
- −$405
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,116
- − Management
- −$1,116
- − HOA
- −$3,300
- − Depreciation
- −$2,356
- Taxable loss
- −$102
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$24
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,021/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Leon
- NCES district ID
- 1201110
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,339
- Composite
- 42.84/100
- National rank
- #3131
- State rank
- #33 of 73 in FL
Livability — Tallahassee
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #429
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tallahassee, FL
- County
- Leon County · 294,472 people
- City population
- 294,472
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,673
- Household income
- $32,348
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6995.0
Population outlook (Leon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,507 people
- By 2030
- 330,677 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 358,465 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 386,804 · +22.6%
- By 2075
- 465,480 · +47.5%
- By 2100
- 519,959 · +64.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 36% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Leon
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.3% · R 38.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 24.3pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+28.3 2016: D+25.1 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.04%
- Current HPI
- 267.8426
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.69%
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-5.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-19 Listed $81,000 CATRS
- 2025-02-11 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2024-12-13 Listed $86,000 CATRS
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,223 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…