1436 S New York Ave · Wellston, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Appreciation +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
All offers must be submitted by the buyer's agent via the RES. NET agent portal. If your offer is accepted, you agree to be responsible for an offer submission technology fee of $225.00. The fee will be collected and disbursed by the settlement agent and disbursed at the closing and settlement of the transaction. To submit your buyer's offer simply click the below. If you already have a RES. NET agent account you will be prompted to log in. If not you will be prompted to create an account. To begin, click or paste this link into your web browser: https://agent. res.net/offers. aspx?-1807574. Two bedroom 1 bathroom home first floor utility room fenced in backyard-covered front porch. Property being sold as is.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Utility room
- Fenced in backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($812 rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 3.1% in Wellston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#606 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Wellston City (rural): math 38% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #532 of 656 in OH (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bundy Elementary School (297 students, 0% FRL); Wellston Middle School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade D, #477 of 654 statewide, top 74%, 301 students, 0% FRL); Wellston High School (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #564 of 781 statewide, top 74%, 377 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 59% district-wide (59 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $54k (55%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.60%
- DSCR
- 2.27
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $127,536
- List price
- $45,000
- Delta
- -60.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1304 S New Jersey Ave | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (+9%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $65 | 76 |
| 1406 S Connecticut Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 872 (-5%) | 8mo | $107,000 | $123 | 73 |
| 203 W 13th St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 936 (+2%) | 4mo | $179,900 | $192 | 63 |
| 503 E 7th St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+4%) | 0mo | $155,000 | $161 | 62 |
| 941 S Maine Ave | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+4%) | 3mo | $153,000 | $159 | 56 |
| 25 E 10th St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 812 (-12%) | 17mo | $50,700 | $62 | 45 |
| 1309 S Maine Ave | 0.47mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 784 (-15%) | 16mo | $45,000 | $57 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $11,862
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 30.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.78×
- Total profit
- $35,078
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active · 5 under contract
- Months of supply
- 1.0 mo (100%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $69,900 ($89/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 181 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +55.5% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 45692
- Home prices YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $812 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,034/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$170
- Net cashflow
- $300
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $326 | -5% $313 | +0% $300 | +5% $288 | +10% $275 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $236 | -5% $268 | +0% $300 | +5% $332 | +10% $364 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $323 | -0.5pp $312 | base $300 | +0.5pp $289 | +1.0pp $277 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $45,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-08-07pricedays on market $45,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $49,900 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $49,900 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $49,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $49,900 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $49,900 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $49,900 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $49,900 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $49,900 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $49,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $49,900 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-07-23status $49,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-07-22status $49,900 Pending 176 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $49,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $49,900 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $49,900 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $49,900 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-07-17days on market $49,900 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $49,900 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $49,900 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $49,900 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $49,900 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $49,900 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $49,900 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $49,900 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-07-07pricedays on market $49,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $55,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $55,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $55,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $55,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-07-03pricedays on market $55,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $58,500 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-07-01status $58,500 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $58,500 Active Under Contract 154 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $58,500 Active Under Contract 153 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $58,500 Active Under Contract 152 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $58,500 Active Under Contract 151 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $58,500 Active Under Contract 150 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $58,500 Active Under Contract 146 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $58,500 Active Under Contract 145 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $58,500 Active Under Contract 144 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $58,500 Active Under Contract 142 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $58,500 Active Under Contract 141 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $58,500 Active Under Contract 140 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $58,500 Active Under Contract 139 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $58,500 Active Under Contract 137 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $58,500 Active Under Contract 136 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $58,500 Active Under Contract 133 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $58,500 Active Under Contract 132 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,034 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,034 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,739
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$1,034
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$779
- − Management
- −$779
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $3,092
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$742
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,861/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
The home requires significant repairs, particularly to the roof and exterior, but has potential for substantial value increase with updates.
Deferred maintenance Est. $20,000–$60,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — visible moss and algae growth
- Major Windows (windows) — visible damage and discoloration
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of significant wear and tear.
- Major exterior siding — Weathered and chipping paint.
- Major exterior paint — Chipping and peeling paint.
- Minor flooring — Carpeted floors need cleaning.
- Minor interior paint — Some chipping and peeling in paint.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale New roof — A new roof would significantly increase the home's value and appeal. ↑
- Resale Exterior painting — Fresh paint would improve curb appeal and home value. ↑
- Both Landscaping — A well-maintained yard would enhance both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wellston City
- NCES district ID
- 3904502
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,982
- Composite
- 35.2/100
- National rank
- #4991
- State rank
- #532 of 656 in OH
Livability — Wellston
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #606
- US rank
- #10407
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wellston, OH
- County
- Jackson · 30,794 people
- City population
- 7,699
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,699
- Household income
- $52,449
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,794 people
- By 2030
- 29,535 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 26,757 · -13.1%
- By 2050
- 23,897 · -22.4%
- By 2075
- 17,115 · -44.4%
- By 2100
- 10,908 · -64.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.1) · D 20.7% · R 78.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.9pp toward R · 2008: -20.2pp · 2024: -58.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.1 2020: R+54.1 2016: R+48.9 2012: R+20.8 2008: R+20.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.09%
- Current HPI
- 219.2619
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+118.3% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Contingent — SVAR
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $58,500 SVAR
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $68,900 SVAR
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $74,900 SVAR
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $89,900 SVAR
- 2026-01-27 Listed $99,000 SVAR
- 2022-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $113,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-28 Sold (MLS) $113,000 SVAR
- 2022-04-04 Listed $109,900 SVAR
- 2011-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $10,188 Public Records
- 2011-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $36,667 Public Records
- 2006-04-11 Sold (MLS) $14,100 CBRMLS
- 2006-02-09 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2005-08-11 Listed $14,100 CBRMLS
- 1995-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $26,800 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,034 · +20.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…