1927 42nd Ave · Tuscaloosa, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 60.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath property on a nice large corner lot. Great price for 1,700 sq. feet! Upgrades include ceramic tile and new carpet in bedrooms.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1976
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Driveway; Concrete surfaces
- Utilities: Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Composition/shingle roof
- Exterior features: Paved road access
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Wood stove heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Wood-burning stove fireplace; Electric water heater
- Laundry & utility: No laundry features listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $609 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Cap rate 16.0% vs local median 3.4% in Tuscaloosa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#9 in AL, #2,909 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Tuscaloosa City (urban): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #74 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Oakdale Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 318 students, 78% FRL); Westlawn Middle School (math 0% / reading 18%, grade F, #235 of 257 statewide, top 93%, 534 students, 93% FRL); Central High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #220 of 305 statewide, top 77%, 783 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 59% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 30% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Tuscaloosa City average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 306 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,449/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 3997% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.80%
- DSCR
- 2.55
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $127,776
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1632 43rd Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,250 (-6%) | 5mo | $30,000 | $24 | 70 |
| 4120 19th St | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,288 (-3%) | 15mo | $130,000 | $101 | 70 |
| 4B Country Club Hills Hls | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,302 (-2%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $173 | 59 |
| 4124 20th St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,163 (-13%) | 19mo | $60,000 | $52 | 55 |
| 3580 21st St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,274 (-4%) | 13mo | $178,900 | $140 | 55 |
| 3940 30th Pl | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (-9%) | 2mo | $116,900 | $96 | 50 |
| 1930 40th Ave E | 0.15mi | 3/3.0 | 1,518 (+14%) | 20mo | $35,000 | $23 | 45 |
| 4110 28th Pl | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,474 (+11%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $47 | 44 |
| 2317 Herman Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,196 (-10%) | 14mo | $170,000 | $142 | 43 |
| 909 35th Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-12%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $55 | 42 |
| 3706 25th Pl | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-10%) | 15mo | $185,800 | $155 | 40 |
| 2115 Fosters Ferry Rd | 0.44mi | 3/3.5 | 1,523 (+14%) | 11mo | $59,000 | $39 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $31,617
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 42.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.73×
- Total profit
- $99,355
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35401
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 306
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,449 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,332/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $609
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1018 42nd Ave Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,375 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3560 21st St Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,570 | $1.28 | 20d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3524 20th St Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2405 Herman Ave Tuscaloosa, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,100 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3316 16th St Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 711 36th Ave Tuscaloosa, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $900 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4342 Tari St Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $1,750 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4416 Tari St Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1259 | $1,700 | $1.35 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3499 Joyce Lewis Ave Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $1,700 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3416 36th Ct Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5022 Virginia Cir Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1161 | $1,350 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2712 22nd St Tuscaloosa, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2683 21st St Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1324 | $895 | $0.68 | 20d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2720 21st St Tuscaloosa, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,100 | $0.96 | 20d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $75,000 Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 180-char remark
-
2026-06-08$75,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,332 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,332 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,385
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,332
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,391
- − Management
- −$1,391
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $6,513
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,563
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,744/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tuscaloosa City
- NCES district ID
- 0103360
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,474
- Composite
- 24.51/100
- National rank
- #7647
- State rank
- #74 of 129 in AL
Livability — Tuscaloosa
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #9
- US rank
- #2909
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- County
- Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
- City population
- 134,228
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,459
- Household income
- $29,152
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3997.0
Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,293 people
- By 2030
- 240,551 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 263,856 · +15.6%
- By 2050
- 286,491 · +25.5%
- By 2075
- 335,783 · +47.1%
- By 2100
- 370,520 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 47% White 44% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -191.40%
- Current HPI
- 179.8335
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.29%
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-20.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Listed $75,000 WAMLS
- 2016-08-19 Sold (MLS) $92,000 WAMLS
- 2016-04-04 Listed $94,500 WAMLS
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,332 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…