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11751 Bostick St
D- Composite 39.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.6/15.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,900

11751 Bostick St · Dunnellon, FL 34432
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,428 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 2020 6,098 sqft lot Est $236k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Location, location, location! Welcome to 11751 Bostick St — a 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath home situated in one of Dunnellon's most convenient and walkable pockets, right off US-41. Step outside and you're moments from major retailers, a home improvement center, a farm & feed supply store, and local dining — everyday errands and meals are literally around the corner. Sitting on a well-established 0.14-acre lot in Marion County, this home offers strong bones and real upside at $229,900. Whether you're an owner-occupant looking for a move-in ready lifestyle or a savvy investor eyeing long-term rental income in a high-demand corridor, this property delivers. Dunnellon's world-famou

Key facts

  • Easy access to ocala
  • Well-established lot
  • High-demand corridor

Tags

WELL-ESTABLISHED LOTEASY ACCESS TO OCALAMOMENTS FROM MAJOR RETAILERSLOCAL DININGHIGH-DEMAND CORRIDORMINUTES FROM RAINBOW RIVER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built in (year not provided)
  • Exterior features: Outdoor pool; Pasture lot; Rectangular lot; County road frontage; Satellite dish

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Stone counters
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-47 ($-563/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (3.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (18.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#443 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 556 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $175k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $187,171 (18.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.87%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$235,620
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11765 Bostick St 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,428 (0%) 10mo $235,000 $165 91
20327 The Granada 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,376 (-4%) 14mo $200,000 $145 69
11948 Hale St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,502 (+5%) 13mo $283,143 $189 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.7%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-40,251
Equity at exit
$34,279
10-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-38,939
Equity at exit
$19,878

Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34432

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Active inventory
556
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,872 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$224 /mo · $2,690/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$393
Net cashflow
$-47

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,931
Max offer price $221,615
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $83 -5% $18 +0% $-47 +5% $-112 +10% $-177
Rent -10% $-195 -5% $-121 +0% $-47 +5% $27 +10% $101
Rate -1.0pp $69 -0.5pp $12 base $-47 +0.5pp $-106 +1.0pp $-167

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,475
Closing costs
$6,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $229,900 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $229,900 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $229,900 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $229,900 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $229,900 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $229,900 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $229,900 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $229,900 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $229,900 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,900 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $229,900 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,900 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,900 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,900 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,900 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $229,900 Active 8 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    listed $229,900 Active
  18. 2026-02-25
    historical
  19. 2025-11-17
    price $220,000
  20. 2025-11-10
    price $215,000
  21. 2025-11-05
    price $220,000
  22. 2025-10-28
    price $234,900
  23. 2025-09-30
    price $245,900
  24. 2025-08-28
    listed $249,999 Active
  25. 2025-06-09
    price $1,800
  26. 2025-06-09
    listed $2,400
  27. 2025-06-03
    historical
  28. 2025-05-15
    price $240,000
  29. 2025-04-25
    historical $1,500
  30. 2025-03-31
    price $250,000
  31. 2025-03-26
    listed $1,500
  32. 2025-01-10
    price $260,000
  33. 2024-12-31
    price $280,000
  34. 2024-12-02
    listed $300,000 Active
  35. 2024-02-29
    historical $1,600
  36. 2023-12-28
    price $1,600
  37. 2023-12-12
    listed $1,950
  38. 2021-03-02
    soldstatus $174,900 Sold
  39. 2021-03-02
    soldstatus $174,900
  40. 2021-02-04
    historical
  41. 2020-09-11
    listed $174,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,690 · $224/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,690 · $224/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,461
− Mortgage interest
−$12,878
− Property taxes
−$2,690
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,797
− Management
−$1,797
− Depreciation
−$6,688
Taxable loss
−$4,538
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,089
After-tax cash flow
$526/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Dunnellon

Score
70/100
State rank
#443
US rank
#7922

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dunnellon, FL
City population
20,859
Population (ZIP)
13,197

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.34%
Current HPI
209.595
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.4% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $229,900 RACC
  • 2026-02-25 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-17 Price Changed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-05 Price Changed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-28 Price Changed $234,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-30 Price Changed $245,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-28 Listed $249,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-09 Price Changed $1,800 REDFIN
  • 2025-06-09 Listed for Rent $2,400 REDFIN
  • 2025-06-03 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-15 Price Changed $240,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-25 Rental Removed $1,500 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-03-31 Price Changed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-26 Listed for Rent $1,500 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-01-10 Price Changed $260,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-31 Price Changed $280,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-02 Listed $300,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-29 Rental Removed $1,600 STELLARMLS
  • 2023-12-28 Price Changed $1,600 STELLARMLS
  • 2023-12-12 Listed for Rent $1,950 STELLARMLS
  • 2021-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $174,900 Public Records
  • 2021-03-02 Sold (MLS) $174,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-02-04 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-11 Listed $174,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+22.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,690 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…