11751 Bostick St · Dunnellon, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- ARV discount +8.6/15.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Location, location, location! Welcome to 11751 Bostick St — a 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath home situated in one of Dunnellon's most convenient and walkable pockets, right off US-41. Step outside and you're moments from major retailers, a home improvement center, a farm & feed supply store, and local dining — everyday errands and meals are literally around the corner. Sitting on a well-established 0.14-acre lot in Marion County, this home offers strong bones and real upside at $229,900. Whether you're an owner-occupant looking for a move-in ready lifestyle or a savvy investor eyeing long-term rental income in a high-demand corridor, this property delivers. Dunnellon's world-famou
Key facts
- Easy access to ocala
- Well-established lot
- High-demand corridor
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Stucco construction; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built in (year not provided)
- Exterior features: Outdoor pool; Pasture lot; Rectangular lot; County road frontage; Satellite dish
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Stone counters
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-47 ($-563/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (3.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (18.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $187k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#443 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 556 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $175k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.87%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $235,620
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11765 Bostick St | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (0%) | 10mo | $235,000 | $165 | 91 |
| 20327 The Granada | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,376 (-4%) | 14mo | $200,000 | $145 | 69 |
| 11948 Hale St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,502 (+5%) | 13mo | $283,143 | $189 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-40,251
- Equity at exit
- $34,279
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-38,939
- Equity at exit
- $19,878
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34432
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Active inventory
- 556
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,872 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,690/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$393
- Net cashflow
- $-47
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $83 | -5% $18 | +0% $-47 | +5% $-112 | +10% $-177 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-195 | -5% $-121 | +0% $-47 | +5% $27 | +10% $101 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $69 | -0.5pp $12 | base $-47 | +0.5pp $-106 | +1.0pp $-167 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $229,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $229,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $229,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $229,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $229,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $229,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$229,900 Active
-
2026-02-25historical
-
2025-11-17price $220,000
-
2025-11-10price $215,000
-
2025-11-05price $220,000
-
2025-10-28price $234,900
-
2025-09-30price $245,900
-
2025-08-28$249,999 Active
-
2025-06-09price $1,800
-
2025-06-09$2,400
-
2025-06-03historical
-
2025-05-15price $240,000
-
2025-04-25historical $1,500
-
2025-03-31price $250,000
-
2025-03-26$1,500
-
2025-01-10price $260,000
-
2024-12-31price $280,000
-
2024-12-02$300,000 Active
-
2024-02-29historical $1,600
-
2023-12-28price $1,600
-
2023-12-12$1,950
-
2021-03-02soldstatus $174,900 Sold
-
2021-03-02soldstatus $174,900
-
2021-02-04historical
-
2020-09-11$174,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,690 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,690 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,461
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$2,690
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,797
- − Management
- −$1,797
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable loss
- −$4,538
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,089
- After-tax cash flow
- $526/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Dunnellon
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #443
- US rank
- #7922
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dunnellon, FL
- City population
- 20,859
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,197
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.34%
- Current HPI
- 209.595
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+31.4% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $229,900 RACC
- 2026-02-25 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-17 Price Changed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $234,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $245,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-28 Listed $249,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-09 Price Changed $1,800 REDFIN
- 2025-06-09 Listed for Rent $2,400 REDFIN
- 2025-06-03 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-15 Price Changed $240,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-25 Rental Removed $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2025-03-31 Price Changed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-26 Listed for Rent $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2025-01-10 Price Changed $260,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-31 Price Changed $280,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-02 Listed $300,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-29 Rental Removed $1,600 STELLARMLS
- 2023-12-28 Price Changed $1,600 STELLARMLS
- 2023-12-12 Listed for Rent $1,950 STELLARMLS
- 2021-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $174,900 Public Records
- 2021-03-02 Sold (MLS) $174,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-02-04 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-11 Listed $174,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+22.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,690 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…