🏷️ Likely Rental
11 Second St · Ravena, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy the view of the river from 2 large apartment decks! Ground floor is a garage with zoning approval for a bagel shop. Top floor has a long term tenant. Second floor was recently refreshed with new carpet, new paint and new decking outside. Front door was also replaced. Walk to Yanni's for dinner all summer and enjoy the concerts in the park from your apartment! Public parking directly across the street. Separate utilities. Both tenants would like to stay.
Key facts
- New decking
- Recently refreshed
- New carpet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $225k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
- Recommended offer: $218k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 3.0% in Ravena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#489 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+, schools B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Ravena-Coeymans-Selkirk Central School District (town): math 45% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #410 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
- Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.72%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $411,771
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -45.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
1.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $82,013
- Equity at exit
- $78,715
- IRR
- 27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.40×
- Total profit
- $213,915
- Equity at exit
- $106,094
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12045
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 16.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,478 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$281 /mo · $3,375/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$730
- Net cashflow
- $1,193
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $3,477 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,159 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,159 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,159 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,478 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Central Ave Unit 4 Ravena, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1285 | $1,495 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2508 US Route 9W Ravena, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1055 | $1,850 | $1.75 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending 463-char remark
Show marketing remark (463 chars)
Enjoy the view of the river from 2 large apartment decks! Ground floor is a garage with zoning approval for a bagel shop. Top floor has a long term tenant. Second floor was recently refreshed with new carpet, new paint and new decking outside. Front door was also replaced. Walk to Yanni's for dinner all summer and enjoy the concerts in the park from your apartment! Public parking directly across the street. Separate utilities. Both tenants would like to stay.
-
2026-03-27$225,000 Active 463-char remark
Show marketing remark (463 chars)
Enjoy the view of the river from 2 large apartment decks! Ground floor is a garage with zoning approval for a bagel shop. Top floor has a long term tenant. Second floor was recently refreshed with new carpet, new paint and new decking outside. Front door was also replaced. Walk to Yanni's for dinner all summer and enjoy the concerts in the park from your apartment! Public parking directly across the street. Separate utilities. Both tenants would like to stay.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,736
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$3,375
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,339
- − Management
- −$3,339
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable income
- $11,409
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,738
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,574/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
The property requires significant repairs and maintenance, including painting, replacing worn carpet, and repairing damaged siding. These updates would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Siding — Significant wear and tear on the exterior siding
- Major Paint — Peeling and uneven paint on the exterior and interior walls
- Major Flooring — Worn and dirty carpeted floors
- Major Interior walls — Paint appears chipped and uneven in some areas
- Moderate Appliances — No visible appliances, but the condition of the interior suggests older appliances
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the property more attractive to potential buyers and renters
- Both Replace worn carpet — Fresh carpet can improve the living space and make the property more appealing to potential buyers and renters
- Both Replace damaged siding — Fresh siding can improve the curb appeal and increase the property's value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Siding · Significant wear and tear on the exterior siding | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Paint · Peeling and uneven paint on the exterior and interior walls | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · Worn and dirty carpeted floors | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior walls · Paint appears chipped and uneven in some areas | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Appliances · No visible appliances, but the condition of the interior suggests older appliances | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $63,000–215,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the property more attractive to potential buyers and renters ↑
- Both Replace worn carpet — Fresh carpet can improve the living space and make the property more appealing to potential buyers and renters ↑
- Both Replace damaged siding — Fresh siding can improve the curb appeal and increase the property's value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ravena-Coeymans-Selkirk Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624150
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,960
- Composite
- 41.63/100
- National rank
- #3427
- State rank
- #410 of 590 in NY
Livability — Ravena
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #489
- US rank
- #8613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 237
Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 320,794 people
- By 2030
- 327,401 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 338,218 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 348,467 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 381,693 · +19.0%
- By 2100
- 393,809 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Black 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Albany
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.16%
- Current HPI
- 286.1124
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $225,000 Global MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…