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21712 Lakeview St
B Composite 70.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

21712 Lakeview St · St. Clair Shores, MI 48080
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 998 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1940 6,098 sqft lot $120/sqft · 34% below area Est $179k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this great buy on a beautiful tree-lined street in St. Clair Shores! This 3-bedroom home offers a functional layout, with the third bedroom as a walk-through-perfect for a home office or nursery. Home features central air, a fenced yard, and a shed for extra storage. While the home could use some updating, it offers incredible potential in a fantastic location. Just 1 mile from Lake St. Clair and the popular Nautical Mile, with access to a wonderful city waterfront park with a pool! Walking distance to schools and close to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own!

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Extra storage
  • City waterfront park

Tags

FENCED YARDEXTRA STORAGECITY WATERFRONT PARKWALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $405 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.2% in St. Clair Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • South Lake Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #470 of 540 in MI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 167 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $120k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $116,303 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.35%
Cash-on-cash
14.48%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$179,465
List price
$119,900
Delta
-33.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21712 Lakeview St 0.00mi 3/1.0 (+1) 986 (-1%) 1mo $116,000 $118 92
21734 Colony St 0.23mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,007 (+1%) 1mo $199,305 $198 80
21910 Elizabeth St 0.50mi 2/1.5 984 (-1%) 1mo $191,000 $194 72
21520 Harper Lake Ave 0.19mi 2/1.0 1,117 (+12%) 2mo $130,000 $116 70
21910 Englehardt St 0.44mi 2/1.0 1,071 (+7%) 1mo $242,000 $226 66
21601 Kramer St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,025 (+3%) 2mo $172,500 $168 58
22415 Stephens St 0.57mi 2/1.0 910 (-9%) 2mo $114,000 $125 57
22118 Elizabeth St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,071 (+7%) 1mo $124,900 $117 56
22679 Oconnor St 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,000 (+0%) 2mo $197,000 $197 55
22628 O'connor St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 922 (-8%) 2mo $185,000 $201 49
22328 Trombly St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,089 (+9%) 1mo $255,000 $234 47
22417 Maxine St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,100 (+10%) 2mo $173,900 $158 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$6,368
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
2.15×
Total profit
$38,772
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48080

Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,521 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,412/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$319
Net cashflow
$405

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,008
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $473 -5% $439 +0% $405 +5% $371 +10% $337
Rent -10% $285 -5% $345 +0% $405 +5% $465 +10% $525
Rate -1.0pp $465 -0.5pp $435 base $405 +0.5pp $374 +1.0pp $342

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
23742 Greater Mack Ave St Clair Shores, MI 1.0 1.0 850 $1,700 $2.00 0d 1 0.37mi
22843 Grove St #47 Saint Clair Shores, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 20d 1 0.46mi
20625 Elizabeth St Saint Clair Shores, MI 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,895 $1.76 44d 1 0.50mi
22411 Oconnor St Saint Clair Shores, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,250 $1.32 44d 1 0.51mi
22617 Oconnor St Saint Clair Shores, MI 3.0 1.0 923 $2,000 $2.17 0d 1 0.64mi
22307 Greater Mack Ave St Clair Shores, MI 2.0 1.0 806 $1,195 $1.48 3d 1 0.67mi
22615 Maxine St Saint Clair Shores, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,495 $1.57 0d 1 0.79mi
22126 Alger St Saint Clair Shores, MI 2.0 1.5 1060 $1,750 $1.65 11d 1 0.79mi
401 Northshore Dr St Clair Shores, MI 2.0 1.0–1.5 970 $1,554 $1.60 0d 4 0.86mi
21601 E 10 Mile Rd St Clair Shores, MI 1.0 1.0 750 $985 $1.31 25d 1 0.90mi
24000 Jefferson Ave Unit 218 St Clair Shores, MI 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 44d 1 0.93mi
24901 Jefferson Ave Unit 210 St Clair Shores, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 0d 1 0.94mi
218 Riviera Dr St Clair Shores, MI 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 44d 1 0.97mi
21633 Greater Mack Ave St Clair Shores, MI 1.0 1.0 990 $1,212 $1.22 0d 1 1.02mi
23005 Kelly Rd Eastpointe, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,250 $1.47 24d 1 1.19mi
26324 Harper Unit 4 St Clair Shores, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,195 $1.71 25d 1 1.36mi
26324 Harper Ave Unit 7 St Clair Shores, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $1,095 $1.56 25d 1 1.36mi
26324 Harper Ave Unit 6 St Clair Shores, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,345 $1.22 25d 1 1.36mi
2175 Ridgemont Rd Grosse Pointe Woods, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 44d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 624-char remark
    Show marketing remark (636 chars)

    Check out this great buy on a beautiful tree-lined street in St. Clair Shores! This 3-bedroom home offers a functional layout, with the third bedroom as a walk-through—perfect for a home office or nursery. Home features central air, a fenced yard, and a shed for extra storage. While the home could use some updating, it offers incredible potential in a fantastic location. Just 1 mile from Lake St. Clair and the popular Nautical Mile, with access to a wonderful city waterfront park with a pool! Walking distance to schools and close to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don’t miss this opportunity to make it your own!

  2. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 636-char remark
    Show marketing remark (636 chars)

    Check out this great buy on a beautiful tree-lined street in St. Clair Shores! This 3-bedroom home offers a functional layout, with the third bedroom as a walk-through—perfect for a home office or nursery. Home features central air, a fenced yard, and a shed for extra storage. While the home could use some updating, it offers incredible potential in a fantastic location. Just 1 mile from Lake St. Clair and the popular Nautical Mile, with access to a wonderful city waterfront park with a pool! Walking distance to schools and close to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don’t miss this opportunity to make it your own!

  3. 2026-05-02
    price $119,900 636-char remark
    Show marketing remark (624 chars)

    Check out this great buy on a beautiful tree-lined street in St. Clair Shores! This 3-bedroom home offers a functional layout, with the third bedroom as a walk-through-perfect for a home office or nursery. Home features central air, a fenced yard, and a shed for extra storage. While the home could use some updating, it offers incredible potential in a fantastic location. Just 1 mile from Lake St. Clair and the popular Nautical Mile, with access to a wonderful city waterfront park with a pool! Walking distance to schools and close to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own!

  4. 2026-05-02
    price $119,900 624-char remark
    Show marketing remark (624 chars)

    Check out this great buy on a beautiful tree-lined street in St. Clair Shores! This 3-bedroom home offers a functional layout, with the third bedroom as a walk-through-perfect for a home office or nursery. Home features central air, a fenced yard, and a shed for extra storage. While the home could use some updating, it offers incredible potential in a fantastic location. Just 1 mile from Lake St. Clair and the popular Nautical Mile, with access to a wonderful city waterfront park with a pool! Walking distance to schools and close to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own!

  5. 2026-04-27
    price $124,900 636-char remark
    Show marketing remark (624 chars)

    Check out this great buy on a beautiful tree-lined street in St. Clair Shores! This 3-bedroom home offers a functional layout, with the third bedroom as a walk-through-perfect for a home office or nursery. Home features central air, a fenced yard, and a shed for extra storage. While the home could use some updating, it offers incredible potential in a fantastic location. Just 1 mile from Lake St. Clair and the popular Nautical Mile, with access to a wonderful city waterfront park with a pool! Walking distance to schools and close to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own!

  6. 2026-04-27
    price $124,900 624-char remark
    Show marketing remark (624 chars)

    Check out this great buy on a beautiful tree-lined street in St. Clair Shores! This 3-bedroom home offers a functional layout, with the third bedroom as a walk-through-perfect for a home office or nursery. Home features central air, a fenced yard, and a shed for extra storage. While the home could use some updating, it offers incredible potential in a fantastic location. Just 1 mile from Lake St. Clair and the popular Nautical Mile, with access to a wonderful city waterfront park with a pool! Walking distance to schools and close to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own!

  7. 2026-04-14
    price $129,900 636-char remark
    Show marketing remark (636 chars)

    Check out this great buy on a beautiful tree-lined street in St. Clair Shores! This 3-bedroom home offers a functional layout, with the third bedroom as a walk-through—perfect for a home office or nursery. Home features central air, a fenced yard, and a shed for extra storage. While the home could use some updating, it offers incredible potential in a fantastic location. Just 1 mile from Lake St. Clair and the popular Nautical Mile, with access to a wonderful city waterfront park with a pool! Walking distance to schools and close to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don’t miss this opportunity to make it your own!

  8. 2026-04-13
    price $129,900 624-char remark
    Show marketing remark (624 chars)

    Check out this great buy on a beautiful tree-lined street in St. Clair Shores! This 3-bedroom home offers a functional layout, with the third bedroom as a walk-through-perfect for a home office or nursery. Home features central air, a fenced yard, and a shed for extra storage. While the home could use some updating, it offers incredible potential in a fantastic location. Just 1 mile from Lake St. Clair and the popular Nautical Mile, with access to a wonderful city waterfront park with a pool! Walking distance to schools and close to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own!

  9. 2026-04-10
    listed $137,900 Active 624-char remark
    Show marketing remark (636 chars)

    Check out this great buy on a beautiful tree-lined street in St. Clair Shores! This 3-bedroom home offers a functional layout, with the third bedroom as a walk-through—perfect for a home office or nursery. Home features central air, a fenced yard, and a shed for extra storage. While the home could use some updating, it offers incredible potential in a fantastic location. Just 1 mile from Lake St. Clair and the popular Nautical Mile, with access to a wonderful city waterfront park with a pool! Walking distance to schools and close to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don’t miss this opportunity to make it your own!

  10. 2026-04-10
    listed $137,900 Active 636-char remark
    Show marketing remark (636 chars)

    Check out this great buy on a beautiful tree-lined street in St. Clair Shores! This 3-bedroom home offers a functional layout, with the third bedroom as a walk-through—perfect for a home office or nursery. Home features central air, a fenced yard, and a shed for extra storage. While the home could use some updating, it offers incredible potential in a fantastic location. Just 1 mile from Lake St. Clair and the popular Nautical Mile, with access to a wonderful city waterfront park with a pool! Walking distance to schools and close to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don’t miss this opportunity to make it your own!

  11. 2013-01-14
    soldstatus $40,000
  12. 2012-12-13
    soldstatus $40,000
  13. 2012-12-13
    soldstatus $40,000
  14. 2012-11-01
    historical
  15. 2012-10-12
    listed $39,900
  16. 2012-10-12
    listed $39,900
  17. 2009-02-08
    historical
  18. 2008-09-20
    listed $59,900
  19. 2008-09-18
    historical
  20. 2008-03-26
    listed $74,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,412 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,629 · $136/mo
Expected delta
+$217/yr (+$18/mo · 15.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,249
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,412
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,460
− Management
−$1,460
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$3,113
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$747
After-tax cash flow
$4,113/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Lake Schools
NCES district ID
2632220
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$51,594
Composite
16.76/100
National rank
#9159
State rank
#470 of 540 in MI

Livability — St. Clair Shores

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Clair Shores, MI
County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
City population
58,217
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
21,561
Household income
$66,986
Rent vs Own
21.5% rent · 78.5% own
Severe rent burden
530.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -236.99%
Current HPI
231.507
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+60.1% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $124,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $129,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $137,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $137,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2012-12-13 Sold (MLS) $40,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-12-13 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-11-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-10-12 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2012-10-12 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-02-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-09-20 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-09-18 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-03-26 Listed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,412 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…