912 3rd St · Monett, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- ARV discount +2.8/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute 3 Bedroom 1 bath home with a complete new roof, kitchen, bathroom, and many other features such as new laminate flooring through out house with tile in the bathroom. Enjoy the back attached carport for your gatherings. I almost forgot to mentioned that it also has central heat/air. Check it out!!
Key facts
- New kitchen
- New bathroom
- Tile in bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $170 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.8% in Monett — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#252 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Monett R-I (town): math 33% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #168 of 324 in MO (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Monett Elem. (471 students, 68% FRL); Monett Middle (math 35% / reading 46%, grade F, #180 of 391 statewide, top 47%, 504 students, 63% FRL); Monett High (math 37% / reading 55%, grade D-, #170 of 521 statewide, top 33%, 746 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 57 units permitted in Barry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Barry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 251 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 251 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.43%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $149,221
- List price
- $164,900
- Delta
- 10.51%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408 5th St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,245 (-1%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $100 | 75 |
| 508 3rd St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,349 (+7%) | 4mo | $130,900 | $97 | 70 |
| 900 5th St | 0.14mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,134 (-10%) | 7mo | $144,900 | $128 | 64 |
| 430 W Dunn St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,180 (-6%) | 4mo | $164,900 | $140 | 60 |
| 445 W Cale St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,359 (+8%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $121 | 53 |
| 201 W Nellie | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,102 (-12%) | 8mo | $169,000 | $153 | 53 |
| 311 3rd St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+14%) | 1mo | $189,900 | $132 | 51 |
| 304 Frisco St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,106 (-12%) | 4mo | $72,000 | $65 | 46 |
| 520 Myrtle St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,336 (+6%) | 5mo | $169,900 | $127 | 43 |
| 35 Whitley Ln | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+14%) | 0mo | $244,900 | $170 | 42 |
| 400 W Myrtle St | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,388 (+10%) | 0mo | $239,900 | $173 | 38 |
| 519 Myrtle St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+14%) | 2mo | $189,900 | $132 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-15,843
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $282
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65708
- Home prices YoY
- -16.8%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,658 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$206 /mo · $2,474/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$348
- Net cashflow
- $170
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $284 | -5% $227 | +0% $170 | +5% $113 | +10% $56 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $39 | -5% $105 | +0% $170 | +5% $236 | +10% $301 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $253 | -0.5pp $212 | base $170 | +0.5pp $128 | +1.0pp $84 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 Whitley Ln Monett, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1559 | $1,695 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 46 Whitley Ln Monett, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $1,550 | $1.12 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 43 Whitley Ln Monett, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1559 | $1,750 | $1.12 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1105 13th St Monett, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1526 | $1,650 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.75mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $164,900 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $164,900 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,900 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,900 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,900 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $164,900 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $164,900 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $164,900 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $164,900 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,900 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-01price $164,900 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2025-10-13$169,000 Active 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Cute 3 Bedroom 1 bath home with a complete new roof, kitchen, bathroom, and many other features such as new laminate flooring through out house with tile in the bathroom. Enjoy the back attached carport for your gatherings. I almost forgot to mentioned that it also has central heat/air. Check it out!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,899
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$2,474
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,592
- − Management
- −$1,592
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable loss
- −$617
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$148
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,193/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in good condition with recent updates, including a new roof, kitchen, and bathroom. It's move-in ready with a good curb appeal and potential for further value through exterior painting and landscaping.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace carport roof — Protects from weather and adds value
- Both Add landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carport roof — Protects from weather and adds value ↑
- Both Add landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monett R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2921120
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,139
- Composite
- 32.87/100
- National rank
- #5609
- State rank
- #168 of 324 in MO
Livability — Monett
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #252
- US rank
- #12237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Monett, MO
- City population
- 12,690
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,690
Population outlook (Barry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,207 people
- By 2030
- 34,460 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 32,643 · -7.3%
- By 2050
- 30,688 · -12.8%
- By 2075
- 26,898 · -23.6%
- By 2100
- 22,000 · -37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 13% Pacific Islander 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 20% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Barry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.5) · D 17.8% · R 81.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -35.0pp · 2024: -63.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.5 2020: R+60.8 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+44.7 2008: R+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.13%
- Current HPI
- 204.0484
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-10-13 Listed $169,000 SOMO
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…