1400 Toms Creek Rd · Columbia, SC 29061

$138,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 27 Days on market

Built 1999 2.50 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.7/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Schools +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

BACK ON THE MARKET AT NO FAULT OF SELLERS. Welcome to 1400 Toms Creek rd. in Hopkins South Carolina! Nestled on 2.5 acres, this 3-bedroom, 2 bath home offers the perfect blend of privacy and country charm with plenty of space to spread out and enjoy. Inside, you will find a comfortable and functional layout designed for everyday living. Step outside and enjoy your expansive property. Perfect for gardening, outdoor entertaining, animals or simply just enjoying the quiet surroundings. The detached carport offers covered parking and additional storage space. If you have been searching for room to breathe, without sacrificing accessibility to Columbia and the surrounding areas, this property is

Key facts

• Detached carport
• Outdoor entertaining
• 2.5 acres

Tags

• 2.5 ACRES
• DETACHED CARPORT
• OUTDOOR ENTERTAINING
• QUIET SURROUNDINGS

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Detached carport; 2 garage/carport spaces
• Utilities: Private well water; Septic system
• Home design: 2.5-acre lot
• Construction: Crawlspace foundation
• Exterior features: Exterior finish: Other; Paved road access

Interior

• Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Heating: Other (see remarks); Cooling: Other (see remarks)
• Interior features: One fireplace

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $138k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $733 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $138k).
• Recommended offer: $136k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 5.0% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#18 in SC, #2,436 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
• Richland 01 (urban): math 26% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #54 of 80 in SC (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Hopkins Elementary (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #452 of 597 statewide, top 78%, 250 students, 100% FRL); Lower Richland High (math 5% / reading 64%, grade F, #185 of 196 statewide, top 94%, 1,244 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 328 active listings in the ZIP; 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $954 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $65k; list at $138k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $135,930 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.47% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.67%
• Cash-on-cash: 22.78%
• DSCR: 2.01
• GRM: 5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 15.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.63×
• Total profit: $24,329
• Equity at exit: $20,576

10-year hold

• IRR: 24.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.10×
• Total profit: $81,251
• Equity at exit: $11,932

Cash invested: $38,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29061

• Home prices YoY: -22.8%
• Active inventory: 328
• Price-to-rent: 5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,031 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$724
• Tax from tax record: −$90 /mo · $1,078/yr
• Insurance: −$58
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$426
• Net cashflow: $733

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,103

Max offer price $138,000

Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $34,500
• Closing costs: $4,140
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-04-24
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-09
   historical Active - Contingent
3. 2026-04-03
   status Active
4. 2026-03-08
   status Pending
5. 2026-03-03
   listed $138,000 Active
6. 1999-09-24
   soldstatus $65,000
7. 1996-01-04
   soldstatus $8,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,078 · $90/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,078 · $90/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,371
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,730
• − Property taxes: −$1,078
• − Insurance: −$690
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,950
• − Management: −$1,950
• − Depreciation: −$4,015
• Taxable income: $6,959
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,670
• After-tax cash flow: $7,131/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Richland 01
• NCES district ID: 4503360
• Math proficiency: 26% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 36% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $38,931
• Composite: 25.94/100
• National rank: #7335
• State rank: #54 of 80 in SC

Livability — Columbia

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #18
• US rank: #2436

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Richland County · 389,530 people
• City population: 335,994
• Metro: Columbia, SC
• Population (ZIP): 12,538
• Household income: $60,307
• Rent vs Own: 19.1% rent · 80.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 236.0

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 459,667 people
• By 2030: 487,524 · +6.1%
• By 2040: 542,035 · +17.9%
• By 2050: 595,371 · +29.5%
• By 2075: 732,998 · +59.5%
• By 2100: 820,415 · +78.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 68% White 23% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: +5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -57.44%
• Current HPI: 194.8986
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Columbia, SC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B

Price history

+1523.5% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-24 Pending — Consolidated MLS
• 2026-04-09 Contingent — Consolidated MLS
• 2026-04-03 Relisted — Consolidated MLS
• 2026-03-08 Pending — Consolidated MLS
• 2026-03-03 Listed $138,000 Consolidated MLS
• 1999-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
• 1996-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $8,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,078 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.