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136 Deer Hill Ave #205
D Composite 42.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

136 Deer Hill Ave #205 · Danbury, CT 06810
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 825 sqft · Condo public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1988 $300/mo HOA · 14% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Deer Hill Arms II, a secure, elevator-equipped 55+ community located in Danbury, just minutes from CityCenter's vibrant dining, shopping, and entertainment. Residents enjoy a welcoming lobby and gathering area to socialize with neighbors. Thoughtfully refreshed, sparkling clean, and filled with natural light, this pristine 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo offers 825 sq ft of low-maintenance living with central air conditioning for the warm summer months. Fresh paint and brand-new carpeting throughout create a truly move-in ready space. Upon entering, you are greeted by a large walk-in coat closet. The spacious kitchen features abundant cabinets and generous counters, beautifully enhanced

Key facts

  • Abundant cabinets
  • Natural light
  • Gathering area

Tags

ELEVATOR EQUIPPED COMMUNITYWELCOMING LOBBYGATHERING AREANATURAL LIGHTLARGE WALK-IN COAT CLOSETABUNDANT CABINETS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $300; HOA covers grounds maintenance, trash pickup, snow removal, water and sewer; Unit Owners Association manages property; Pets not allowed

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
  • Home design: Condominium in Deer Hill Arms; Condo/Co-op property type; Unit located on floor 2
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; French doors; Vinyl siding; Adult 55+ community; Near library, medical facilities, park, public transportation and shopping/mall

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (unit on 2nd floor)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Electric hot-air heating; Electric domestic hot water
  • Interior features: Elevator; Intercom; Open floor plan; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($307/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.6% in Danbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#51 in CT, #3,379 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Danbury School District (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #131 of 153 in CT (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Danbury High School (math 19% / reading 41%, grade F, #137 of 194 statewide, top 70%, 3,590 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $94k; list at $210k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $210,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.52%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-32,068
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-24,472
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06810

Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
200
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,131 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$169 /mo · $2,033/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$300
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$448
Net cashflow
$26

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,099
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $144 -5% $85 +0% $26 +5% $-34 +10% $-93
Rent -10% $-143 -5% $-59 +0% $26 +5% $110 +10% $194
Rate -1.0pp $131 -0.5pp $79 base $26 +0.5pp $-29 +1.0pp $-84

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
136 Deer Hill Ave Unit A6 Danbury, CT 1.0 1.0 800 $2,200 $2.75 45d 1 0.02mi
30 Foster St Danbury, CT 1.0 1.0 700 $1,980 $2.83 25d 1 0.13mi
7 New St Unit 202 Danbury, CT 2.0 1.0 750 $2,300 $3.07 45d 1 0.23mi
4 Division St Apt 4 Danbury, CT 2.0 1.0 850 $2,500 $2.94 45d 1 0.33mi
4 Division St Danbury, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,500 $2.50 25d 1 0.34mi
50 Lincoln Ave Unit 1 R Danbury, CT 2.0 1.0 825 $2,300 $2.79 5d 1 0.34mi
76 Town Hill Ave Unit D Danbury, CT 2.0 1.0 870 $2,450 $2.82 45d 1 0.43mi
32 Park Ave Danbury, CT 1.0 1.0 800 $2,000 $2.50 25d 1 0.46mi
89 Town Hill Ave Unit 3N Danbury, CT 1.0 1.0 550 $1,200 $2.18 25d 1 0.49mi
333 Main St Danbury, CT 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 869 $2,095 $2.41 5d 2 0.54mi
1 Fairview Dr #4 Danbury, CT 2.0 1.0 910 $2,050 $2.25 21d 1 0.56mi
1 Kennedy Ave Danbury, CT 2.0 1.0–2.0 874 $2,265 $2.59 4d 31 0.58mi
8 Rose St Unit 20-1 Danbury, CT 1.0 1.0 828 $2,000 $2.42 45d 1 0.62mi
15 Bates Pl Unit 11A Danbury, CT 1.0 1.5 850 $2,020 $2.38 16d 1 0.66mi
6 Westville Ave Unit 6A Danbury, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 45d 1 0.68mi
17 Lake Ave #2 Danbury, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,995 $2.00 45d 1 0.68mi
47 Merrimac St Danbury, CT 2.0 1.5 1000 $2,400 $2.40 45d 1 0.81mi
126 Triangle St Danbury, CT 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 827 $1,750 $2.12 21d 2 0.99mi
126 Triangle St Unit A24 Danbury, CT 1.0 1.0 636 $1,800 $2.83 4d 1 0.99mi
126 Triangle St Unit A5 Danbury, CT 2.0 2.0 1018 $2,100 $2.06 16d 1 0.99mi
126 Triangle St Unit A41 Danbury, CT 1.0 1.0 693 $1,800 $2.60 45d 1 0.99mi
35 9th Ave Unit 1R Danbury, CT 2.0 1.0 650 $2,100 $3.23 16d 1 1.00mi
38 Homestead Ave Unit 2 Danbury, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,200 $2.20 23d 1 1.15mi
34 James St Unit A Danbury, CT 2.0 1.5 900 $2,300 $2.56 45d 1 1.20mi
34 James St Unit A Danbury, CT 2.0 1.5 900 $2,300 $2.56 12d 1 1.20mi
10 Clapboard Ridge Rd Danbury, CT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1061 $2,206 $2.08 4d 20 1.28mi
16 Scuppo Rd Unit D4 Danbury, CT 2.0 1.0 918 $2,400 $2.61 45d 1 1.42mi
1 Beaver Brook Rd #47 Danbury, CT 1.0 700 $1,750 $2.50 45d 1 1.42mi
14 Newtown Rd Unit B5 Danbury, CT 1.0 1.0 868 $1,840 $2.12 45d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$300 · $3,600/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $210,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $210,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,033 · $169/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,264 · $272/mo
Expected delta
+$1,230/yr (+$103/mo · 60.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,576
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$2,033
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,046
− Management
−$2,046
− HOA
−$3,600
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$3,071
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$737
After-tax cash flow
$1,044/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Danbury School District
NCES district ID
0901020
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$65,793
Composite
23.93/100
National rank
#7784
State rank
#131 of 153 in CT

Livability — Danbury

Score
76/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#3379

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Danbury, CT
County
Fairfield County · 765,532 people
City population
87,061
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
Population (ZIP)
55,833
Household income
$76,933
Rent vs Own
59.5% rent · 40.5% own
Severe rent burden
3255.0

Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
685,031

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 37% White 35% Two or more races 19% Black 12% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Estonian 8% Russian 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
41% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 16% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
All cycles
2024: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -309.71%
Current HPI
286.5484
Rent YoY
▲ 3.08%
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+124.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $210,000 Smart MLS
  • 2002-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $93,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,033 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…