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125 Sycamore Dr
B Composite 71.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$92,000

125 Sycamore Dr · Ridgecrest, LA 71334
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,475 sqft · SingleFamily · 286 Days on market
Built 1957 2.19 ac lot $62/sqft · 59% above area ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LONG TIME OWNER OF THIS COZY 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH HOME THAT YOU WILL ENJOY PUTTING YOUR TOUCH IN. This home is situated on a gorgeous lot with back privacy & lots of room to roam. The kitchen features a gas stove/range, pantry & a breakfast area. Separate dining room & den which has a gas log fireplace. Newer double pane windows. Floors are hardwood, vinyl & carpet & possibly hardwood floors underneath the carpet. Two car carport (22' x 28'.5) with a utility/laundry room. Nice patio overlooking the tree shaded lot & complete with a shop & covered lean-to & a motorhome shed (approximately 1300 square feet). There has been a trailer on the property in the past so with proper approval this could be an option in the future. Utilities are Concordia Water Works, Energy & Atmos Gas. Sold ''as is''. All measurements are estimated & not guaranteed.

Key facts

  • Pantry
  • Separate dining room
  • Gorgeous lot

Tags

GORGEOUS LOTGAS STOVEPANTRYBREAKFAST AREASEPARATE DINING ROOMDEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 47/100 on livability (#443 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, housing D+, schools F.
  • Concordia Parish (town): math 19% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #65 of 98 in LA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Concordia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($636 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
  • Concordia County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 286 days — a 12% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 91% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,960 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 286 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
10.58%
Cash-on-cash
15.32%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$57,810
List price
$92,000
Delta
59.14%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
219 Crestview Dr 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,500 (+2%) 8mo $55,000 $37 56
303 Ferriday Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,292 (-12%) 5mo $155,000 $120 45
473 Crestview Dr 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,300 (-12%) 22mo $157,000 $121 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.84% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.8%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$46,586
Equity at exit
$56,899
10-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
5.69×
Total profit
$120,803
Equity at exit
$102,384

Cash invested: $25,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71334

Home prices YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,113 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$482
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $358/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$329

Break-even live

Break-even rent $697
Max offer price $92,000
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,000
Closing costs
$2,760
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $92,000 Active 286 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $92,000 Active 285 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $92,000 Active 284 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $92,000 Active 283 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $92,000 Active 281 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $92,000 Active 280 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $92,000 Active 277 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $92,000 Active 276 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $92,000 Active 275 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $92,000 Active 274 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $92,000 Active 271 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $92,000 Active 270 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $92,000 Active 269 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $92,000 Active 268 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $92,000 Active 267 DOM
  16. 2026-05-03
    price $92,000 889-char remark
    Show marketing remark (889 chars)

    LONG TIME OWNER OF THIS COZY 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH HOME THAT YOU WILL ENJOY PUTTING YOUR TOUCH IN. This home is situated on a gorgeous lot with back privacy & lots of room to roam. The kitchen features a gas stove/range, pantry & a breakfast area. Separate dining room & den which has a gas log fireplace. Newer double pane windows. Floors are hardwood, vinyl & carpet & possibly hardwood floors underneath the carpet. Two car carport (22' x 28'.5) with a utility/laundry room. Nice patio overlooking the tree shaded lot & complete with a shop & covered lean-to & a motorhome shed (approximately 1300 square feet). There has been a trailer on the property in the past so with proper approval this could be an option in the future. Utilities are Concordia Water Works, Energy & Atmos Gas. Sold ''as is''. All measurements are estimated & not guaranteed.

  17. 2026-03-01
    status Active 889-char remark
    Show marketing remark (889 chars)

    LONG TIME OWNER OF THIS COZY 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH HOME THAT YOU WILL ENJOY PUTTING YOUR TOUCH IN. This home is situated on a gorgeous lot with back privacy & lots of room to roam. The kitchen features a gas stove/range, pantry & a breakfast area. Separate dining room & den which has a gas log fireplace. Newer double pane windows. Floors are hardwood, vinyl & carpet & possibly hardwood floors underneath the carpet. Two car carport (22' x 28'.5) with a utility/laundry room. Nice patio overlooking the tree shaded lot & complete with a shop & covered lean-to & a motorhome shed (approximately 1300 square feet). There has been a trailer on the property in the past so with proper approval this could be an option in the future. Utilities are Concordia Water Works, Energy & Atmos Gas. Sold ''as is''. All measurements are estimated & not guaranteed.

  18. 2026-02-28
    historical 889-char remark
    Show marketing remark (889 chars)

    LONG TIME OWNER OF THIS COZY 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH HOME THAT YOU WILL ENJOY PUTTING YOUR TOUCH IN. This home is situated on a gorgeous lot with back privacy & lots of room to roam. The kitchen features a gas stove/range, pantry & a breakfast area. Separate dining room & den which has a gas log fireplace. Newer double pane windows. Floors are hardwood, vinyl & carpet & possibly hardwood floors underneath the carpet. Two car carport (22' x 28'.5) with a utility/laundry room. Nice patio overlooking the tree shaded lot & complete with a shop & covered lean-to & a motorhome shed (approximately 1300 square feet). There has been a trailer on the property in the past so with proper approval this could be an option in the future. Utilities are Concordia Water Works, Energy & Atmos Gas. Sold ''as is''. All measurements are estimated & not guaranteed.

  19. 2025-12-03
    price $98,500 889-char remark
    Show marketing remark (889 chars)

    LONG TIME OWNER OF THIS COZY 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH HOME THAT YOU WILL ENJOY PUTTING YOUR TOUCH IN. This home is situated on a gorgeous lot with back privacy & lots of room to roam. The kitchen features a gas stove/range, pantry & a breakfast area. Separate dining room & den which has a gas log fireplace. Newer double pane windows. Floors are hardwood, vinyl & carpet & possibly hardwood floors underneath the carpet. Two car carport (22' x 28'.5) with a utility/laundry room. Nice patio overlooking the tree shaded lot & complete with a shop & covered lean-to & a motorhome shed (approximately 1300 square feet). There has been a trailer on the property in the past so with proper approval this could be an option in the future. Utilities are Concordia Water Works, Energy & Atmos Gas. Sold ''as is''. All measurements are estimated & not guaranteed.

  20. 2025-09-03
    listed $109,000 Active 889-char remark
    Show marketing remark (889 chars)

    LONG TIME OWNER OF THIS COZY 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH HOME THAT YOU WILL ENJOY PUTTING YOUR TOUCH IN. This home is situated on a gorgeous lot with back privacy & lots of room to roam. The kitchen features a gas stove/range, pantry & a breakfast area. Separate dining room & den which has a gas log fireplace. Newer double pane windows. Floors are hardwood, vinyl & carpet & possibly hardwood floors underneath the carpet. Two car carport (22' x 28'.5) with a utility/laundry room. Nice patio overlooking the tree shaded lot & complete with a shop & covered lean-to & a motorhome shed (approximately 1300 square feet). There has been a trailer on the property in the past so with proper approval this could be an option in the future. Utilities are Concordia Water Works, Energy & Atmos Gas. Sold ''as is''. All measurements are estimated & not guaranteed.

  21. 2005-05-19
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$358 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$506 · $42/mo
Expected delta
+$148/yr (+$12/mo · 41.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 91% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,358
− Mortgage interest
−$5,153
− Property taxes
−$358
− Insurance
−$460
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,069
− Management
−$1,069
− Depreciation
−$2,676
Taxable income
$2,573
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$617
After-tax cash flow
$3,328/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Concordia Parish
NCES district ID
2200480
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -34.00%
Median HH income
$29,931
Composite
18.45/100
National rank
#8929
State rank
#65 of 98 in LA

Livability — Ridgecrest

Score
47/100
State rank
#443
US rank
#26210

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing D+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,382

Population outlook (Concordia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,933 people
By 2030
18,157 · -4.1%
By 2040
16,559 · -12.5%
By 2050
15,067 · -20.4%
By 2075
11,770 · -37.8%
By 2100
8,541 · -54.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 54% White 40% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Concordia

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.4) · D 34.8% · R 64.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-9.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.0pp · 2024: -29.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.4 2020: R+26.9 2016: R+24.8 2012: R+17.2 2008: R+20.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.84%
Current HPI
108.4427
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $92,000 MLSU
  • 2026-03-01 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-02-28 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $98,500 MLSU
  • 2025-09-03 Listed $109,000 MLSU
  • 2005-05-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $358 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…