125 Sycamore Dr · Ridgecrest, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 91.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$92,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LONG TIME OWNER OF THIS COZY 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH HOME THAT YOU WILL ENJOY PUTTING YOUR TOUCH IN. This home is situated on a gorgeous lot with back privacy & lots of room to roam. The kitchen features a gas stove/range, pantry & a breakfast area. Separate dining room & den which has a gas log fireplace. Newer double pane windows. Floors are hardwood, vinyl & carpet & possibly hardwood floors underneath the carpet. Two car carport (22' x 28'.5) with a utility/laundry room. Nice patio overlooking the tree shaded lot & complete with a shop & covered lean-to & a motorhome shed (approximately 1300 square feet). There has been a trailer on the property in the past so with proper approval this could be an option in the future. Utilities are Concordia Water Works, Energy & Atmos Gas. Sold ''as is''. All measurements are estimated & not guaranteed.
Key facts
- Pantry
- Separate dining room
- Gorgeous lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 47/100 on livability (#443 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, housing D+, schools F.
- Concordia Parish (town): math 19% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #65 of 98 in LA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Concordia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($636 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
- Concordia County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 286 days — a 12% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 91% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 286 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.32%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $57,810
- List price
- $92,000
- Delta
- 59.14%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 Crestview Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,500 (+2%) | 8mo | $55,000 | $37 | 56 |
| 303 Ferriday Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (-12%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $120 | 45 |
| 473 Crestview Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (-12%) | 22mo | $157,000 | $121 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.84% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $46,586
- Equity at exit
- $56,899
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.69×
- Total profit
- $120,803
- Equity at exit
- $102,384
Cash invested: $25,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71334
- Home prices YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,113 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$482
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $358/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $329
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,000
- Closing costs
- $2,760
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $92,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $92,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $92,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $92,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $92,000 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $92,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $92,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $92,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $92,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $92,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $92,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $92,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $92,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $92,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $92,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-05-03price $92,000 889-char remark
Show marketing remark (889 chars)
LONG TIME OWNER OF THIS COZY 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH HOME THAT YOU WILL ENJOY PUTTING YOUR TOUCH IN. This home is situated on a gorgeous lot with back privacy & lots of room to roam. The kitchen features a gas stove/range, pantry & a breakfast area. Separate dining room & den which has a gas log fireplace. Newer double pane windows. Floors are hardwood, vinyl & carpet & possibly hardwood floors underneath the carpet. Two car carport (22' x 28'.5) with a utility/laundry room. Nice patio overlooking the tree shaded lot & complete with a shop & covered lean-to & a motorhome shed (approximately 1300 square feet). There has been a trailer on the property in the past so with proper approval this could be an option in the future. Utilities are Concordia Water Works, Energy & Atmos Gas. Sold ''as is''. All measurements are estimated & not guaranteed.
-
2026-03-01status Active 889-char remark
Show marketing remark (889 chars)
LONG TIME OWNER OF THIS COZY 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH HOME THAT YOU WILL ENJOY PUTTING YOUR TOUCH IN. This home is situated on a gorgeous lot with back privacy & lots of room to roam. The kitchen features a gas stove/range, pantry & a breakfast area. Separate dining room & den which has a gas log fireplace. Newer double pane windows. Floors are hardwood, vinyl & carpet & possibly hardwood floors underneath the carpet. Two car carport (22' x 28'.5) with a utility/laundry room. Nice patio overlooking the tree shaded lot & complete with a shop & covered lean-to & a motorhome shed (approximately 1300 square feet). There has been a trailer on the property in the past so with proper approval this could be an option in the future. Utilities are Concordia Water Works, Energy & Atmos Gas. Sold ''as is''. All measurements are estimated & not guaranteed.
-
2026-02-28historical 889-char remark
Show marketing remark (889 chars)
LONG TIME OWNER OF THIS COZY 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH HOME THAT YOU WILL ENJOY PUTTING YOUR TOUCH IN. This home is situated on a gorgeous lot with back privacy & lots of room to roam. The kitchen features a gas stove/range, pantry & a breakfast area. Separate dining room & den which has a gas log fireplace. Newer double pane windows. Floors are hardwood, vinyl & carpet & possibly hardwood floors underneath the carpet. Two car carport (22' x 28'.5) with a utility/laundry room. Nice patio overlooking the tree shaded lot & complete with a shop & covered lean-to & a motorhome shed (approximately 1300 square feet). There has been a trailer on the property in the past so with proper approval this could be an option in the future. Utilities are Concordia Water Works, Energy & Atmos Gas. Sold ''as is''. All measurements are estimated & not guaranteed.
-
2025-12-03price $98,500 889-char remark
Show marketing remark (889 chars)
LONG TIME OWNER OF THIS COZY 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH HOME THAT YOU WILL ENJOY PUTTING YOUR TOUCH IN. This home is situated on a gorgeous lot with back privacy & lots of room to roam. The kitchen features a gas stove/range, pantry & a breakfast area. Separate dining room & den which has a gas log fireplace. Newer double pane windows. Floors are hardwood, vinyl & carpet & possibly hardwood floors underneath the carpet. Two car carport (22' x 28'.5) with a utility/laundry room. Nice patio overlooking the tree shaded lot & complete with a shop & covered lean-to & a motorhome shed (approximately 1300 square feet). There has been a trailer on the property in the past so with proper approval this could be an option in the future. Utilities are Concordia Water Works, Energy & Atmos Gas. Sold ''as is''. All measurements are estimated & not guaranteed.
-
2025-09-03$109,000 Active 889-char remark
Show marketing remark (889 chars)
LONG TIME OWNER OF THIS COZY 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH HOME THAT YOU WILL ENJOY PUTTING YOUR TOUCH IN. This home is situated on a gorgeous lot with back privacy & lots of room to roam. The kitchen features a gas stove/range, pantry & a breakfast area. Separate dining room & den which has a gas log fireplace. Newer double pane windows. Floors are hardwood, vinyl & carpet & possibly hardwood floors underneath the carpet. Two car carport (22' x 28'.5) with a utility/laundry room. Nice patio overlooking the tree shaded lot & complete with a shop & covered lean-to & a motorhome shed (approximately 1300 square feet). There has been a trailer on the property in the past so with proper approval this could be an option in the future. Utilities are Concordia Water Works, Energy & Atmos Gas. Sold ''as is''. All measurements are estimated & not guaranteed.
-
2005-05-19soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $358 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $506 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- +$148/yr (+$12/mo · 41.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 91% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,358
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,153
- − Property taxes
- −$358
- − Insurance
- −$460
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,069
- − Management
- −$1,069
- − Depreciation
- −$2,676
- Taxable income
- $2,573
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$617
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,328/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Concordia Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200480
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -34.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,931
- Composite
- 18.45/100
- National rank
- #8929
- State rank
- #65 of 98 in LA
Livability — Ridgecrest
- Score
- 47/100
- State rank
- #443
- US rank
- #26210
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,382
Population outlook (Concordia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,933 people
- By 2030
- 18,157 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 16,559 · -12.5%
- By 2050
- 15,067 · -20.4%
- By 2075
- 11,770 · -37.8%
- By 2100
- 8,541 · -54.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% White 40% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Concordia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.4) · D 34.8% · R 64.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.0pp · 2024: -29.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.4 2020: R+26.9 2016: R+24.8 2012: R+17.2 2008: R+20.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.84%
- Current HPI
- 108.4427
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-15.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $92,000 MLSU
- 2026-03-01 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-02-28 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $98,500 MLSU
- 2025-09-03 Listed $109,000 MLSU
- 2005-05-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $358 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…