409 Aurora Creek Ln · Katy, TX 77493

$295,000

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,964 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market

Built 2024 Good condition 5,623 sqft lot $150/sqft · 14% below area Est $343k · 14% under $117/mo HOA · 4% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +13.8/15.0
• Cash flow +6.9/30.0
• Schools +5.7/10.0
• 1% rule +4.7/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.3/5.0
• DSCR +1.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

MOVE IN READY!!!! Elegance awaits in this exquisite 2-story, 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath new construction home. With a generous 1915 SF, this residence in the highly sought after Katy ISD. Indulge in relaxation on the covered back patio. Step inside and be greeted by tall ceilings that amplify the sense of space w crown molding & high 5 1/2-inch baseboards adorn the interiors. Rockport style 5-panel interior doors & a touch of charm & showcasing attention to detail. The heart of this home is the architecturally designed kitchen. Granite countertops complement the sleek stainless steel kitchen appliances, creating a stylish and functional space. The large 42"x36" shower and garden tub in the primary bath offer a serene escape, while the double sinks in both primary and secondary baths ensure convenience. The ceramic tile floors in the family room, kitchen, dining areas, baths, and utility room combine aesthetics with easy maintenance.

Key facts

• Tall ceilings
• Stainless appliances
• Granite countertops

Tags

• TALL CEILINGS
• CROWN MOLDING
• GRANITE COUNTERTOPS
• STAINLESS APPLIANCES
• WALK-IN PANTRY
• EN-SUITE DESIGN

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Lease considered
• HOA & community: Association: Grand Manors Management; Annual association fee of $1,400; Community features include a community pool and gutters

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage; Attached garage/parking
• Security: Prewired for security; Smoke detectors
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Residential property; Full ownership; Slab foundation; Composition roof; Built in 2024
• Construction: Brick and cement siding construction
• Exterior features: Covered patio; Deck; Patio; Fully fenced private yard; Back yard fencing; Concrete road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Disposal; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Granite counters; Walk-in pantry
• Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (all on the second floor, including a primary bedroom)
• Flooring: Carpet; Plank flooring; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning; Has heating and cooling
• Interior features: Crown molding; Double vanities; Granite counters; Kitchen island; Primary bathroom with separate shower and soaking tub; Tub/shower combination; Walk-in pantry; Window treatments; Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat; Low emissivity windows; Window coverings; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer and dryer listed among appliances

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $295k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-448 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $218k (26.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $285k (3.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $218k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.0% in Katy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#111 in TX, #3,613 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D, commute F.
• Katy ISD (suburban): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #29 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Katy El (math 63% / reading 61%, grade B, #321 of 4,322 statewide, top 8%, 682 students, 26% FRL); Katy J H (math 52% / reading 51%, grade C, #318 of 1,662 statewide, top 20%, 1,094 students, 53% FRL); Katy H S (math 62% / reading 74%, grade B, #150 of 1,632 statewide, top 10%, 3,330 students, 38% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 2729 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 483 units permitted in Waller County in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Waller County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 13948% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $218,403 (26.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.97% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.47%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.50%
• DSCR: 0.71
• GRM: 8.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $343,153
• List price: $295,000
• Delta: -14.03%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
408 Long Beach Bay Dr	0.05mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,988 (+1%)	5mo	$300,000	$151	86
150 Solana Point Dr	0.16mi	4/3.0	2,189 (+12%)	1mo	$305,000	$139	70
3096 Indigo Night Ln	0.35mi	4/3.0	2,186 (+11%)	6mo	$380,000	$174	58
1728 Daylight Lake Dr	0.58mi	4/3.0	2,072 (+6%)	6mo	$365,000	$176	57
2208 Inglenook Grove Dr	0.51mi	4/3.0	2,196 (+12%)	3mo	$359,990	$164	52
1516 Twilight Green Dr	0.65mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,880 (-4%)	4mo	$289,000	$154	52
1700 Daylight Lake Dr	0.50mi	4/2.5	2,249 (+14%)	3mo	$389,000	$173	50
2220 Inglenook Grove Dr	0.52mi	4/3.0	2,187 (+11%)	6mo	$409,990	$187	50
1452 Sundown Glen Ln	0.60mi	3/3.0 (-1)	1,784 (-9%)	4mo	$331,890	$186	46
2476 Fairway Harbor Dr	0.74mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,850 (-6%)	6mo	$358,885	$194	44
2565 Malibu Glen Dr	0.72mi	4/3.0	2,206 (+12%)	0mo	$369,000	$167	44
1468 Sundown Glen Ln	0.57mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,689 (-14%)	5mo	$328,890	$195	39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -32.1%
• Equity multiple: -0.02×
• Total profit: $-84,211
• Equity at exit: $43,985

10-year hold

• IRR: -69.2%
• Equity multiple: -0.70×
• Total profit: $-140,471
• Equity at exit: $25,506

Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77493

• Rents YoY: -0.8%
• Active inventory: 2729
• Price-to-rent: 8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,847 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,547
• Tax from tax record: −$910 /mo · $10,920/yr
• Insurance: −$123
• HOA: −$117
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$598
• Net cashflow: $-448

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,414

Max offer price $218,403

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-281	-5% $-364	+0% $-448	+5% $-531	+10% $-615
Rent	-10% $-673	-5% $-560	+0% $-448	+5% $-335	+10% $-223
Rate	-1.0pp $-299	-0.5pp $-373	base $-448	+0.5pp $-524	+1.0pp $-602

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $73,750
• Closing costs: $8,850
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 15 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1495 Twilight Green Dr Katy, TX	3.0	2.5	2000	$2,400	$1.20	45d	1	0.66mi
27035 Beacon Glen Dr Katy, TX	2.0–4.0	2.0–3.0	1890	$3,949	$2.09	0d	17	0.72mi
28625 Clay Rd Katy, TX	4.0	2.0	1872	$2,000	$1.07	45d	1	0.93mi
2654 Aruba Bend Dr Katy, TX	3.0–5.0	2.0–3.0	1958	$3,015	$1.54	0d	50	1.00mi
3004 Fall Gold Ln Katy, TX	5.0	3.0	2156	$2,599	$1.21	0d	1	1.15mi
3004 Fall Gold Ln Katy, TX	5.0	3.0	2156	$3,850	$1.79	45d	1	1.15mi
2845 Shimmer Edge Dr Katy, TX	3.0	3.0	2362	$2,400	$1.02	7d	1	1.17mi
27064 Beach Ball Dr Katy, TX	3.0–4.0	2.5–3.5	1705	$2,957	$1.73	0d	25	1.26mi
3136 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX	4.0	2.0	1776	$2,355	$1.33	14d	1	1.41mi
3083 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX	3.0	2.0	1538	$2,185	$1.42	14d	1	1.43mi
3124 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX	4.0	2.0	1776	$2,330	$1.31	26d	1	1.44mi
5631 Pearl Vista Dr Katy, TX	4.0	3.0	2039	$3,000	$1.47	22d	1	1.45mi
3071 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX	3.0	2.0	1538	$2,164	$1.41	26d	1	1.46mi
3112 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX	4.0	2.0	1776	$2,330	$1.31	26d	1	1.46mi
3041 Colusa Ridge Dr Katy, TX	4.0	2.5	2263	$2,500	$1.10	14d	1	1.49mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $117 · $1,404/yr

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-05-15
   price $295,000 750-char remark
2. 2026-04-24
   listed $320,000 Active 750-char remark
3. 2026-02-12
   historical $2,100
4. 2026-01-09
   listed $2,100
5. 2026-01-09
   historical $2,100
6. 2025-12-12
   listed $2,100
7. 2025-11-18
   historical $2,050
8. 2025-11-01
   listed $2,050
9. 2025-04-02
   soldstatus Sold 967-char remark

   Show marketing remark (967 chars)

   MOVE IN READY!!!! Elegance awaits in this exquisite 2-story, 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath new construction home. With a generous 1915 SF, this residence in the highly sought after Katy ISD. Indulge in relaxation on the covered back patio. Step inside and be greeted by tall ceilings that amplify the sense of space w crown molding & high 5 1/2-inch baseboards adorn the interiors. Rockport style 5-panel interior doors & a touch of charm & showcasing attention to detail. The heart of this home is the architecturally designed kitchen. Granite countertops complement the sleek stainless steel kitchen appliances, creating a stylish and functional space. The large 42"x36" shower and garden tub in the primary bath offer a serene escape, while the double sinks in both primary and secondary baths ensure convenience. The ceramic tile floors in the family room, kitchen, dining areas, baths, and utility room combine aesthetics with easy maintenance.

10. 2025-02-26
    status Pending 967-char remark

    Show marketing remark (967 chars)

    MOVE IN READY!!!! Elegance awaits in this exquisite 2-story, 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath new construction home. With a generous 1915 SF, this residence in the highly sought after Katy ISD. Indulge in relaxation on the covered back patio. Step inside and be greeted by tall ceilings that amplify the sense of space w crown molding & high 5 1/2-inch baseboards adorn the interiors. Rockport style 5-panel interior doors & a touch of charm & showcasing attention to detail. The heart of this home is the architecturally designed kitchen. Granite countertops complement the sleek stainless steel kitchen appliances, creating a stylish and functional space. The large 42"x36" shower and garden tub in the primary bath offer a serene escape, while the double sinks in both primary and secondary baths ensure convenience. The ceramic tile floors in the family room, kitchen, dining areas, baths, and utility room combine aesthetics with easy maintenance.

11. 2024-11-01
    price $340,400 967-char remark

    Show marketing remark (967 chars)

    MOVE IN READY!!!! Elegance awaits in this exquisite 2-story, 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath new construction home. With a generous 1915 SF, this residence in the highly sought after Katy ISD. Indulge in relaxation on the covered back patio. Step inside and be greeted by tall ceilings that amplify the sense of space w crown molding & high 5 1/2-inch baseboards adorn the interiors. Rockport style 5-panel interior doors & a touch of charm & showcasing attention to detail. The heart of this home is the architecturally designed kitchen. Granite countertops complement the sleek stainless steel kitchen appliances, creating a stylish and functional space. The large 42"x36" shower and garden tub in the primary bath offer a serene escape, while the double sinks in both primary and secondary baths ensure convenience. The ceramic tile floors in the family room, kitchen, dining areas, baths, and utility room combine aesthetics with easy maintenance.

12. 2024-09-06
    price $350,400 967-char remark

    Show marketing remark (967 chars)

    MOVE IN READY!!!! Elegance awaits in this exquisite 2-story, 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath new construction home. With a generous 1915 SF, this residence in the highly sought after Katy ISD. Indulge in relaxation on the covered back patio. Step inside and be greeted by tall ceilings that amplify the sense of space w crown molding & high 5 1/2-inch baseboards adorn the interiors. Rockport style 5-panel interior doors & a touch of charm & showcasing attention to detail. The heart of this home is the architecturally designed kitchen. Granite countertops complement the sleek stainless steel kitchen appliances, creating a stylish and functional space. The large 42"x36" shower and garden tub in the primary bath offer a serene escape, while the double sinks in both primary and secondary baths ensure convenience. The ceramic tile floors in the family room, kitchen, dining areas, baths, and utility room combine aesthetics with easy maintenance.

13. 2024-09-04
    price $341,900 967-char remark

    Show marketing remark (967 chars)

    MOVE IN READY!!!! Elegance awaits in this exquisite 2-story, 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath new construction home. With a generous 1915 SF, this residence in the highly sought after Katy ISD. Indulge in relaxation on the covered back patio. Step inside and be greeted by tall ceilings that amplify the sense of space w crown molding & high 5 1/2-inch baseboards adorn the interiors. Rockport style 5-panel interior doors & a touch of charm & showcasing attention to detail. The heart of this home is the architecturally designed kitchen. Granite countertops complement the sleek stainless steel kitchen appliances, creating a stylish and functional space. The large 42"x36" shower and garden tub in the primary bath offer a serene escape, while the double sinks in both primary and secondary baths ensure convenience. The ceramic tile floors in the family room, kitchen, dining areas, baths, and utility room combine aesthetics with easy maintenance.

14. 2024-08-17
    price $338,900 967-char remark

    Show marketing remark (967 chars)

    MOVE IN READY!!!! Elegance awaits in this exquisite 2-story, 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath new construction home. With a generous 1915 SF, this residence in the highly sought after Katy ISD. Indulge in relaxation on the covered back patio. Step inside and be greeted by tall ceilings that amplify the sense of space w crown molding & high 5 1/2-inch baseboards adorn the interiors. Rockport style 5-panel interior doors & a touch of charm & showcasing attention to detail. The heart of this home is the architecturally designed kitchen. Granite countertops complement the sleek stainless steel kitchen appliances, creating a stylish and functional space. The large 42"x36" shower and garden tub in the primary bath offer a serene escape, while the double sinks in both primary and secondary baths ensure convenience. The ceramic tile floors in the family room, kitchen, dining areas, baths, and utility room combine aesthetics with easy maintenance.

15. 2024-05-14
    price $347,400 967-char remark

    Show marketing remark (967 chars)

    MOVE IN READY!!!! Elegance awaits in this exquisite 2-story, 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath new construction home. With a generous 1915 SF, this residence in the highly sought after Katy ISD. Indulge in relaxation on the covered back patio. Step inside and be greeted by tall ceilings that amplify the sense of space w crown molding & high 5 1/2-inch baseboards adorn the interiors. Rockport style 5-panel interior doors & a touch of charm & showcasing attention to detail. The heart of this home is the architecturally designed kitchen. Granite countertops complement the sleek stainless steel kitchen appliances, creating a stylish and functional space. The large 42"x36" shower and garden tub in the primary bath offer a serene escape, while the double sinks in both primary and secondary baths ensure convenience. The ceramic tile floors in the family room, kitchen, dining areas, baths, and utility room combine aesthetics with easy maintenance.

16. 2024-04-14
    listed $352,400 Active 967-char remark

    Show marketing remark (967 chars)

    MOVE IN READY!!!! Elegance awaits in this exquisite 2-story, 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath new construction home. With a generous 1915 SF, this residence in the highly sought after Katy ISD. Indulge in relaxation on the covered back patio. Step inside and be greeted by tall ceilings that amplify the sense of space w crown molding & high 5 1/2-inch baseboards adorn the interiors. Rockport style 5-panel interior doors & a touch of charm & showcasing attention to detail. The heart of this home is the architecturally designed kitchen. Granite countertops complement the sleek stainless steel kitchen appliances, creating a stylish and functional space. The large 42"x36" shower and garden tub in the primary bath offer a serene escape, while the double sinks in both primary and secondary baths ensure convenience. The ceramic tile floors in the family room, kitchen, dining areas, baths, and utility room combine aesthetics with easy maintenance.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $10,920 · $910/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $10,920 · $910/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 86% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $34,166
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,525
• − Property taxes: −$10,920
• − Insurance: −$1,475
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,733
• − Management: −$2,733
• − HOA: −$1,404
• − Depreciation: −$8,582
• Taxable loss: −$10,206
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,449
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,923/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in-ready home features a well-maintained exterior, spacious interior, and modern finishes. It is in good condition with minor cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and interior appearance.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
• Resale paint interior — enhances interior appearance
• Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
• Resale paint interior — enhances interior appearance ↑
• Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Katy ISD
• NCES district ID: 4825170
• Math proficiency: 61% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 63% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $90,312
• Composite: 56.59/100
• National rank: #1146
• State rank: #29 of 826 in TX

Livability — Katy

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #111
• US rank: #3613

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 3,226,434
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 71,484
• Household income: $118,464
• Rent vs Own: 20.4% rent · 79.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 913.0

Population outlook (Waller County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 60,772 people
• By 2030: 67,616 · +11.3%
• By 2040: 82,283 · +35.4%
• By 2050: 98,276 · +61.7%
• By 2075: 142,860 · +135.1%
• By 2100: 175,596 · +188.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
• Race & ethnicity: White 36% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 12%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 20%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 21% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 64% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Waller

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+25.0) · D 37.0% · R 62.0% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -25.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+25.0 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+28.6 2012: R+17.6 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -140.65%
• Current HPI: 233.1683
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.80%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-99.4% since first listed

20 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-16 Listed for Rent $2,100 HARMLS
• 2026-05-30 Rental Removed $2,100 HARMLS
• 2026-05-29 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2026-05-26 Listed for Rent $2,100 HARMLS
• 2026-05-15 Price Changed $295,000 HARMLS
• 2026-04-24 Listed $320,000 HARMLS
• 2026-02-12 Rental Removed $2,100 HARMLS
• 2026-01-09 Listed for Rent $2,100 HARMLS
• 2026-01-09 Rental Removed $2,100 SHOWMOJO
• 2025-12-12 Listed for Rent $2,100 SHOWMOJO
• 2025-11-18 Rental Removed $2,050 HARMLS
• 2025-11-01 Listed for Rent $2,050 HARMLS
• 2025-04-02 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
• 2025-02-26 Pending — HARMLS
• 2024-11-01 Price Changed $340,400 HARMLS
• 2024-09-06 Price Changed $350,400 HARMLS
• 2024-09-04 Price Changed $341,900 HARMLS
• 2024-08-17 Price Changed $338,900 HARMLS
• 2024-05-14 Price Changed $347,400 HARMLS
• 2024-04-14 Listed $352,400 HARMLS

Property tax history

+79.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $10,920 · +518.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.