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21966 Curie Ave
B- Composite 68.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

21966 Curie Ave · Warren, MI 48091
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1940 6,534 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * * Open houses Sat 6/6/26 12pm-2pm and Sun 6/7/26 10am-12pm * * * INVESTMENT SPECIAL!!!!! Come checkout this amazing opportunity in Warren. This three-bedroom, one-bath bungalow, featuring a double lot and a large detached garage is priced to sell immediately.

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1940

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (electric in garage), approximately 20 x 20; Approximately 1.5 parking spaces in garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas heat and gas water heater; Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Home design: Residential property; 1 1/2-story structure; Built in 1940; City location (Warren)
  • Construction: Metal siding exterior; Crawl foundation
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Porch; Paved street access; Frontage about 45 feet

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on entry level (approximately 9 x 7) with linoleum flooring
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on second floor (approximately 16 x 23) with carpet; Second bedroom on entry level (approximately 10 x 10) with carpet; Third bedroom on entry level (approximately 10 wide) with carpet
  • Flooring: Carpet in living room and bedrooms; Linoleum in dining room and kitchen; Vinyl in bathroom
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on entry level with vinyl flooring (approx. 9 x 6)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Gas water heater; Central A/C
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Porch

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $707 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Cap rate 20.4% vs local median 5.2% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime D-.
  • Fitzgerald Public Schools (urban): math 8% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #503 of 540 in MI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mound Park Elementary School (math 6% / reading 16%, grade F, #1,226 of 1,397 statewide, top 88%, 260 students, 87% FRL); Pd Chatterton Middle School (math 9% / reading 27%, grade F, #433 of 493 statewide, top 88%, 410 students, 86% FRL); Fitzgerald Senior High School (math 8% / reading 26%, grade F, #636 of 713 statewide, top 89%, 806 students, 82% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.38%
Cap rate
20.42%
Cash-on-cash
50.47%
DSCR
3.25
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$138,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
22369 Cunningham Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 900 (0%) 1mo $150,000 $167 79
21410 Panama St 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (0%) 5mo $72,000 $80 77
22595 Curie Ave 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 887 (-1%) 4mo $40,000 $45 77
23241 Hill Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 912 (+1%) 1mo $145,000 $159 66
5584 Toepfer Rd 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,007 (+12%) 8mo $139,900 $139 65
22011 Masch Ave 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+11%) 5mo $163,000 $163 64
21034 Atlantic Ave 0.42mi 3/1.0 836 (-7%) 5mo $120,000 $144 64
23220 Audrey Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 952 (+6%) 1mo $169,900 $178 61
20818 Atlantic Ave 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 836 (-7%) 6mo $72,000 $86 55
22694 Le Fever Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+11%) 2mo $154,000 $154 55
23311 Panama Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,015 (+13%) 3mo $175,000 $172 48
22321 Logue Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,018 (+13%) 6mo $145,000 $142 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.5%
Equity multiple
3.05×
Total profit
$34,376
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
52.9%
Equity multiple
6.01×
Total profit
$84,226
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48091

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,429 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $993/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$707

Break-even live

Break-even rent $535
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $741 -5% $724 +0% $707 +5% $690 +10% $673
Rent -10% $594 -5% $650 +0% $707 +5% $763 +10% $819
Rate -1.0pp $737 -0.5pp $722 base $707 +0.5pp $691 +1.0pp $675

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
22622 Panama Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.5 920 $1,395 $1.52 12d 1 0.28mi
21410 Panama St Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,600 $1.78 26d 1 0.31mi
21465 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 990 $1,375 $1.39 45d 1 0.31mi
22580 Masch Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 988 $1,450 $1.47 26d 1 0.39mi
20794 Audrey Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 954 $1,350 $1.42 45d 1 0.55mi
20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,350 $1.49 18d 1 0.82mi
7043 Meadow Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 911 $1,274 $1.40 45d 1 1.03mi
7033 Westminster Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 561 $1,050 $1.87 45d 1 1.05mi
3840 Bart Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,350 $1.27 26d 1 1.05mi
6847 Continental Ave Warren, MI 4.0 1.0 1000 $1,595 $1.59 1d 1 1.05mi
7060 Victory Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 945 $1,450 $1.53 13d 1 1.06mi
7275 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 703 $1,200 $1.71 26d 1 1.12mi
7511 Toepfer Rd Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1032 $1,199 $1.16 23d 1 1.14mi
19930 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 18d 1 1.29mi
8036 Hupp Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 680 $1,150 $1.69 45d 1 1.31mi
19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,384 $1.30 6d 1 1.32mi
7605 Jackson Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $1,165 $1.94 26d 1 1.34mi
8065 Meadow Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 26d 1 1.36mi
21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,029 $1.36 26d 1 1.38mi
4652 E 10 Mile Rd Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 45d 1 1.39mi
19415 Gable St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,373 $1.37 26d 1 1.39mi
19361 Moenart St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 25d 1 1.39mi
2709 Capitol Ave Warren, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,649 $1.56 45d 1 1.42mi
8162 Orchard Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 45d 1 1.44mi
20255 Harned St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,374 $1.37 18d 1 1.46mi
8251 Hudson Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 908 $1,400 $1.54 26d 1 1.46mi
19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 6d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $60,000 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    remarks 268-char remark
  5. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on marketlisting id $60,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    remarks 266-char remark
  7. 2026-06-04
    listed $60,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$993 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$993 · $83/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 64% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,149
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$993
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,372
− Management
−$1,372
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$8,005
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,921
After-tax cash flow
$6,557/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fitzgerald Public Schools
NCES district ID
2614460
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$34,828
Composite
12.67/100
National rank
#9608
State rank
#503 of 540 in MI

Livability — Warren

Score
74/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#4491

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Warren, MI
County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
City population
114,937
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
30,696
Household income
$54,230
Rent vs Own
35.1% rent · 64.9% own
Severe rent burden
1296.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 25% Asian 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -199.66%
Current HPI
177.9273
Rent YoY
▲ 2.35%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $993 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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