18453 Lauder St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$97,740
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome Home! This beautiful 2-story brick Colonial perfectly balances classic Detroit charm with modern comfort. From the moment you arrive, you'll love the striking curb appeal and welcoming facade. Step inside to find a spacious, light-filled layout featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. The kitchen comes fully equipped with all appliances included, making your move an absolute breeze. Enjoy year-round comfort with reliable forced air heating and central AC. The property also features a 2-car detached garage and a clean, unfinished basement offering a blank canvas for your storage, workshop, or future finishing ideas. This gem will not last long!!! Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Central ac
- Forced air heating
- Detached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage with direct access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Built with brick/brick veneer and asbestos materials; Block foundation; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Back yard fencing; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing gas oven; Microwave
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air
- Interior features: Living room fireplace; Full unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $98k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,483/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 3064% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $676 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.76%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $159,621
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18915 Lauder St | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 2,078 (+0%) | 4mo | $207,000 | $100 | 87 |
| 18499 Robson St | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,138 (+3%) | 3mo | $188,895 | $88 | 81 |
| 18457 Sussex St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 2,202 (+6%) | 0mo | $169,900 | $77 | 79 |
| 18686 Prest St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 2,138 (+3%) | 5mo | $137,500 | $64 | 74 |
| 18290 Freeland St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,978 (-5%) | 5mo | $70,000 | $35 | 70 |
| 19457 Hubbell St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,963 (-5%) | 5mo | $108,000 | $55 | 55 |
| 19415 Coyle St | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,920 (-7%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $83 | 53 |
| 19303 Hubbell Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 | 2,321 (+12%) | 3mo | $206,000 | $89 | 52 |
| 18210 Lesure St NW | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 2,308 (+11%) | 3mo | $162,500 | $70 | 51 |
| 19477 Prest St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 2,242 (+8%) | 1mo | $173,000 | $77 | 50 |
| 16874 Coyle St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,850 (-11%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $97 | 44 |
| 19429 Winthrop St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 2,344 (+13%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $49 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $16,167
- Equity at exit
- $14,573
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.06×
- Total profit
- $56,414
- Equity at exit
- $8,451
Cash invested: $27,367 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48235
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 290
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,483 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$513
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$122 /mo · $1,466/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $496
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $564 | -5% $530 | +0% $496 | +5% $463 | +10% $429 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $379 | -5% $438 | +0% $496 | +5% $555 | +10% $613 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $546 | -0.5pp $521 | base $496 | +0.5pp $471 | +1.0pp $445 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,435
- Closing costs
- $2,932
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20042 Freeland St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1445 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 17d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,345 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 17d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1653 | $1,450 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 16210 Ferguson St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 19816 Harlow St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1704 | $1,150 | $0.67 | 18d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-17status $97,740 Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $97,740 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $97,740 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $97,740 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $97,740 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $97,740 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08status $97,740 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07status $97,740 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $97,740 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $97,740 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $97,740 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $97,740 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 685-char remark
-
2026-05-31$97,740 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,799
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,475
- − Property taxes
- −$1,466
- − Insurance
- −$489
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,424
- − Management
- −$1,424
- − Depreciation
- −$2,843
- Taxable income
- $4,678
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,123
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,833/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,600
- Household income
- $39,265
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3064.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.02%
- Current HPI
- 263.6326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.25%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-21.8% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $97,740 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-30 Listed $97,740 REALCOMP
- 2022-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $158,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-01 Sold (MLS) $158,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-11-01 Sold (MLS) $158,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-09-22 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-09-22 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-09-19 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-09-19 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
- 2018-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 2018-08-23 Sold (MLS) $96,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-08-23 Sold (MLS) $96,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-07-23 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-07-23 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2018-07-20 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-07-20 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
- 2009-08-06 Sold (MLS) $21,000 REALCOMP
- 2009-05-08 Listed $17,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-03-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2004-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $117,200 Public Records
- 2003-07-18 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-31.3%/yrLatest (2025): $34 · -41.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…