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1908 W Marina Dr #9 🌊 Lakefront
B Composite 70.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.7/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$67,450

1908 W Marina Dr #9 · Moses Lake, WA 98837
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 255 Days on market
Built 1978 $73/sqft · at area comps Est $69k · at est. ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Lakefront living at an entry-level price. Recently refreshed 2-bed manufactured home directly on Moses Lake with low-bank access. Perfect for boating, fishing, summer fun, fall hunting, and year-round golf nearby. Updated and move-in ready. Own your slice of the water without breaking the bank. Enjoy a private beach just steps away with excellent fishing and room to tie up your boat. Access to the park dock and launch (best suited for smaller boats). Located in a quiet park community on a dead-end street, perfect for a full-time residence or a low-maintenance vacation getaway. This home has been thoroughly updated with new interior and exterior paint, new vinyl windows, high quality hard su

Key facts

  • Lakefront living
  • Easy access to trail
  • Access to park dock

Tags

LAKEFRONT LIVINGREMODELED HOMEEASY ACCESS TO TRAILPRIVATE BEACHACCESS TO PARK DOCK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $67k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $630 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 3.3% in Moses Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#170 in WA, #4,228 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities A-; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Moses Lake School District (town): math 38% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #198 of 291 in WA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 585 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 559 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $466 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grant County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 255 days — a 12% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,356 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 255 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  9. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  10. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.06%
Cap rate
18.68%
Cash-on-cash
44.23%
DSCR
2.97
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$69,376
List price
$67,450
Delta
-2.78%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2240 W Broadway #137 0.13mi 2/1.0 924 (0%) 0mo $76,500 $83 94
1908 W Marina Dr #10 0.01mi 2/1.0 924 (0%) 10mo $62,000 $67 91
1804 Marina Dr W #42 0.08mi 2/1.0 952 (+3%) 21mo $110,000 $116 74

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.9%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$25,124
Equity at exit
$10,057
10-year hold
IRR
38.3%
Equity multiple
4.06×
Total profit
$57,870
Equity at exit
$5,832

Cash invested: $18,886 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98837

Rents YoY
-1.7%
Active inventory
585
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,390 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$354
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $237/yr
Insurance
$28
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$630

Break-even live

Break-even rent $592
Max offer price $67,450
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,862
Closing costs
$2,024
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1830 W Crouse St #1 Moses Lake, WA 2.0 1.0 946 $1,295 $1.37 44d 1 0.13mi
1701 W Crouse St Moses Lake, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $1,525 $1.50 44d 6 0.26mi
Pheasant St Moses Lake, WA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,450 $1.71 44d 1 0.46mi
2812 W Marina Dr Unit D Moses Lake, WA 2.0 2.0 1078 $1,695 $1.57 44d 1 0.67mi
2722 W Peninsula Dr Moses Lake, WA 2.0 1.0 858 $1,350 $1.57 44d 1 0.72mi
511 S Interlake Rd Moses Lake, WA 2.0–4.0 2.0 1095 $926 $0.85 44d 8 0.78mi
2900 W Marina Dr Moses Lake, WA 2.0 2.0 1036 $1,688 $1.63 44d 1 0.78mi
1211 W Ivy Ave Unit 203 Moses Lake, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 44d 1 0.90mi
1205 W Ivy Ave Unit 101 Moses Lake, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 44d 1 0.90mi
1206 W Columbia Ave Unit D Moses Lake, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,295 $1.44 44d 1 0.93mi
2583 Elgin Rd NE Unit A Moses Lake, WA 1.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 44d 1 1.36mi
1050 S Division St Moses Lake, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 675 $1,309 $1.94 44d 14 1.47mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $67,450 Active 255 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $67,450 Active 254 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $67,450 Active 253 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $67,450 Active 252 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $67,450 Active 251 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $67,450 Active 249 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $67,450 Active 248 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $67,450 Active 246 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $67,450 Active 245 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $67,450 Active 244 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $67,450 Active 243 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $67,450 Active 240 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $67,450 Active 239 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $67,450 Active 238 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $67,450 Active 237 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $67,450 Active 236 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $67,450 Active 235 DOM
  18. 2026-04-21
    price $67,450
  19. 2026-03-11
    status Active
  20. 2025-09-18
    listed $89,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$237 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$661 · $55/mo
Expected delta
+$424/yr (+$35/mo · 178.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,674
− Mortgage interest
−$3,778
− Property taxes
−$237
− Insurance
−$1,135
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,334
− Management
−$1,334
− Depreciation
−$1,962
Taxable income
$6,894
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,655
After-tax cash flow
$5,901/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Moses Lake School District
NCES district ID
5305220
Math proficiency
38% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$49,033
Composite
39.17/100
National rank
#8232
State rank
#198 of 291 in WA

Livability — Moses Lake

Score
75/100
State rank
#170
US rank
#4228

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Moses Lake, WA
County
Grant County · 61,643 people
City population
49,455
Metro
Moses Lake, WA
Population (ZIP)
49,455
Household income
$74,586
Rent vs Own
33.4% rent · 66.6% own
Severe rent burden
1064.0

Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,356 people
By 2030
102,107 · +2.8%
By 2040
108,318 · +9.0%
By 2050
114,712 · +15.5%
By 2075
131,376 · +32.2%
By 2100
146,163 · +47.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 15% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Subsaharan African 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Grant

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.4% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-9.9pp toward R · 2008: -27.5pp · 2024: -37.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.5 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+37.9 2012: R+32.6 2008: R+27.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -384.29%
Current HPI
208.4574
Rent YoY
▼ -1.72%
Metro
Moses Lake, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $67,450 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-11 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-18 Listed $89,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $237 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…