1515 Marlowe Dr · Montgomery, AL 36116

$69,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,125 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 292 Days on market

Built 1961 0.28 ac lot Est $86k · 18% under ↓ 7% since listing

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.9/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.7/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Check this baby out! Absolute Doll House in Immaculate Condition! Huge Eat-in-Kitchen & Nice sized Greatroom; Open Floor Plan w/ Custom designed colors throughout! Closed in Sunporch overlooking a big backyard w/ shed; New Air Conditioning; & Ready to move in! Lots of storge!It's a Keeper & Won't last long on the market!You can see the tender loving care in this home from the custom window treatments to the bath decor! It's a must see & in a great neighborhood!

Key facts

• 0.28 acre lot
• Parking
• Built 1961

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $558 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
• Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
• Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 293 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 292 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $61,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 292 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.79% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.87%
• Cash-on-cash: 34.19%
• DSCR: 2.52
• GRM: 4.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $85,500
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4507 Coventry Rd	0.07mi	3/1.5	1,163 (+3%)	1mo	$40,000	$34	88
1518 Flamingo Ln	0.10mi	3/1.0	1,131 (+0%)	9mo	$90,000	$80	87
1308 Biscayne Dr	0.11mi	3/2.0	1,148 (+2%)	14mo	$120,900	$105	76
4383 Amherst Dr	0.35mi	3/1.0	1,103 (-2%)	10mo	$103,000	$93	72
1702 Marlowe Dr	0.24mi	3/2.0	1,196 (+6%)	2mo	$25,000	$21	72
1441 Flamingo Ln	0.10mi	3/1.5	1,283 (+14%)	2mo	$65,000	$51	69
1209 Lynwood Dr	0.70mi	3/1.0	1,134 (+1%)	1mo	$95,000	$84	65
1201 Buckingham Dr	0.25mi	3/2.0	1,218 (+8%)	9mo	$92,000	$76	63
1312 E Audubon Rd	0.59mi	3/1.0	1,188 (+6%)	1mo	$32,000	$27	62
712 Buckingham Dr	0.45mi	3/1.0	1,026 (-9%)	5mo	$92,000	$90	60
701 Buckingham Dr	0.49mi	3/1.0	1,026 (-9%)	6mo	$70,000	$68	58
4314 Nordale Dr	0.51mi	3/1.0	1,008 (-10%)	7mo	$44,000	$44	53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 32.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.41×
• Total profit: $27,605
• Equity at exit: $10,422

10-year hold

• IRR: 40.8%
• Equity multiple: 5.32×
• Total profit: $84,566
• Equity at exit: $6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36116

• Home prices YoY: -9.7%
• Rents YoY: 5.7%
• Active inventory: 293
• Price-to-rent: 4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,252 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$367
• Tax from tax record: −$36 /mo · $428/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$263
• Net cashflow: $558

Break-even live

Break-even rent $546

Max offer price $69,900

Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,475
• Closing costs: $2,097
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 23 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1219 Biscayne Dr Montgomery, AL	4.0	1.5	1228	$1,295	$1.05	21d	1	0.08mi
4342 Sunshine Dr Montgomery, AL	3.0	2.0	1323	$1,250	$0.94	13d	1	0.24mi
4581 Narrow Lane Rd Montgomery, AL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	866	$800	$0.92	43d	2	0.46mi
1114 Druid Hills Dr Montgomery, AL	3.0	1.0	1192	$1,250	$1.05	21d	1	0.60mi
253 John Morris Ave Montgomery, AL	3.0	1.0	912	$950	$1.04	21d	1	0.82mi
548 Winston Dr Montgomery, AL	2.0	2.5	1396	$1,000	$0.72	43d	1	0.87mi
3751 Wesley Dr Apt A Montgomery, AL	2.0	1.0	1034	$550	$0.53	43d	1	0.90mi
3735 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,200	$1.20	21d	1	0.92mi
3733 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,200	$1.20	21d	1	0.92mi
3723 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,200	$1.20	21d	1	0.93mi
3709 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,200	$1.20	21d	1	0.96mi
3701 Wesley Dr Unit 3723 Montgomery, AL	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,200	$1.20	21d	1	0.96mi
3701 Wesley Dr Unit 3737 Montgomery, AL	3.0	2.0	1050	$1,280	$1.22	43d	1	0.96mi
3701 Wesley Dr Unit 3733 Montgomery, AL	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,280	$1.28	43d	1	0.96mi
3737 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL	3.0	2.0	1050	$1,280	$1.22	43d	1	0.99mi
3649 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL	3.0	1.0	1266	$1,200	$0.95	21d	1	1.02mi
2230 Woodley Sq W Montgomery, AL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	902	$898	$1.00	13d	11	1.07mi
3735 Bridlewood Dr Montgomery, AL	3.0	1.0	1386	$895	$0.65	43d	1	1.10mi
2401 Overhill Rd Montgomery, AL	3.0	1.0	999	$700	$0.70	21d	1	1.20mi
4724 S Court St Montgomery, AL	2.0	1.0	800	$485	$0.61	13d	1	1.21mi
3770 Maclamar Rd Montgomery, AL	3.0	1.0	1129	$950	$0.84	21d	1	1.25mi
3608 Wilmington Rd Montgomery, AL	3.0	1.0	1160	$950	$0.82	43d	1	1.39mi
3445 Le Bron Rd Montgomery, AL	4.0	1.0	1100	$1,050	$0.95	21d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2023-09-18
   status Pending
2. 2022-12-01
   listed Contingent
3. 2020-03-09
   listed $69,900
4. 2006-02-28
   soldstatus $74,900 488-char remark

   Show marketing remark (488 chars)

   Check this baby out! Absolute Doll House in Immaculate Condition! Huge Eat-in-Kitchen & Nice sized Greatroom; Open Floor Plan w/ Custom designed colors throughout! Closed in Sunporch overlooking a big backyard w/ shed; New Air Conditioning; & Ready to move in! Lots of storge!It's a Keeper & Won't last long on the market!You can see the tender loving care in this home from the custom window treatments to the bath decor! It's a must see & in a great neighborhood!

5. 2005-11-09
   listed $74,900 488-char remark

   Show marketing remark (488 chars)

   Check this baby out! Absolute Doll House in Immaculate Condition! Huge Eat-in-Kitchen & Nice sized Greatroom; Open Floor Plan w/ Custom designed colors throughout! Closed in Sunporch overlooking a big backyard w/ shed; New Air Conditioning; & Ready to move in! Lots of storge!It's a Keeper & Won't last long on the market!You can see the tender loving care in this home from the custom window treatments to the bath decor! It's a must see & in a great neighborhood!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $428 · $36/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $428 · $36/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,024
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,915
• − Property taxes: −$428
• − Insurance: −$350
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,202
• − Management: −$1,202
• − Depreciation: −$2,033
• Taxable income: $5,893
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,414
• After-tax cash flow: $5,278/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Montgomery County
• NCES district ID: 0102430
• Math proficiency: 9% ▼ -21.00%
• Reading proficiency: 31% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $43,902
• Composite: 17.24/100
• National rank: #9093
• State rank: #106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #138
• US rank: #13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Montgomery, AL
• County: Montgomery County · 190,016 people
• City population: 175,913
• Metro: Montgomery, AL
• Population (ZIP): 45,250
• Household income: $55,160
• Rent vs Own: 50.8% rent · 49.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 2786.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 224,008 people
• By 2030: 221,460 · -1.1%
• By 2040: 214,179 · -4.4%
• By 2050: 204,912 · -8.5%
• By 2075: 177,821 · -20.6%
• By 2100: 145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 80% White 12% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -16.31%
• Current HPI: 151.8598
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.65%
• Metro: Montgomery, AL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

-6.7% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2023-09-18 Pending — MAAR
• 2022-12-01 Listed — MAAR
• 2020-03-09 Listed $69,900 MAAR
• 2006-02-28 Sold (MLS) $74,900 MAAR
• 2005-11-09 Listed $74,900 MAAR

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $428 · -4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.