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1001 NE 82nd Ave
D Composite 42.06
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0

$220,000

1001 NE 82nd Ave · Fanning Springs, FL 32680
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,612 sqft · Manufactured public records · 21 Days on market
Built 2003 6.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

REDUCED!!!! This 6.15 acres has a little bit of everything! Gated/fenced/cross fenced pastures with plenty of room for horses, cattle or goats to roam. No farm animals? No worries, plenty of room for the large family to play. Few trees dot the property for shade. Features spacious well maintained 4 BR, 2 Bath DWMH open kitchen w/ island & dining, family room, living room w/ wood burning fireplace, large master suite and bath, crown molding throughout, 9 ft ceilings, NEW metal roof (5/6/2020) , TWO 24x26 metal garages/workshops with electric/water, 18x26 det. metal carport with 10k lb two post lift, open end stable for the horses, extra 15x20 metal storage/she-shed, open back deck with wheel chair ramp, NEW HVAC SYSTEM just installed (2/3/21) 3 power poles, 2 septics, 2 wells & slab for RV all on a paved road! Just minutes to dining, shopping, medical, Suwannee River with multiple boat ramps/springs and all the amenities that a small country town has to offer!

Key facts

  • Shed
  • Work shops
  • Aluminum rv cover

Tags

ALUMINUM RV COVERSHEDWORK SHOPSSMALL AREA FOR FARM ANIMALSPARTIALLY FENCED YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Private well water
  • Home design: Residential mobile home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Built on crawl space
  • Exterior features: Level, wooded lot; Workshop; Pets allowed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-226 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $180k (18.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (28.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.7% in Fanning Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#739 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dixie (rural): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #36 of 73 in FL (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Old Town Elementary School (math 73% / reading 58%, grade B+, #500 of 2,144 statewide, top 24%, 456 students, 80% FRL); Ruth Rains Middle School (math 48% / reading 49%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 431 students, 76% FRL); Dixie County High School (math 31% / reading 42%, grade F, #351 of 667 statewide, top 54%, 714 students, 70% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 263 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Dixie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Dixie County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $185k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $157,637 (28.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.06%
Cash-on-cash
-4.40%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
2.71×
Total profit
$105,418
Equity at exit
$198,193
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
6.22×
Total profit
$321,744
Equity at exit
$427,412

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32680

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
263
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,576 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$226 /mo · $2,711/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$-226

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,862
Max offer price $180,077
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-101 -5% $-164 +0% $-226 +5% $-288 +10% $-351
Rent -10% $-351 -5% $-288 +0% $-226 +5% $-164 +10% $-101
Rate -1.0pp $-115 -0.5pp $-170 base $-226 +0.5pp $-283 +1.0pp $-341

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $220,000 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $220,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $220,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $220,000 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $220,000 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $220,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $220,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $220,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $220,000 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $220,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $220,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $220,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $220,000 Active 2 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    remarks 695-char remark
  16. 2026-06-02
    listed $220,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,711 · $226/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,711 · $226/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,916
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$2,711
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,513
− Management
−$1,513
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$6,645
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,595
After-tax cash flow
$-1,117/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dixie
NCES district ID
1200450
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$34,799
Composite
42.18/100
National rank
#3290
State rank
#36 of 73 in FL

Livability — Fanning Springs

Score
63/100
State rank
#739
US rank
#15960

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,445

Population outlook (Dixie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,122 people
By 2030
14,521 · -4.0%
By 2040
13,503 · -10.7%
By 2050
12,671 · -16.2%
By 2075
10,857 · -28.2%
By 2100
8,344 · -44.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dixie

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.4) · D 14.5% · R 84.9%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: -45.0pp · 2024: -70.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.4 2020: R+66.0 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+45.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.22%
Current HPI
424.0037
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+22.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $220,000 DGLMLS
  • 2021-03-12 Sold (MLS) $185,000 DGLMLS
  • 2020-10-08 Listed $179,900 DGLMLS

Property tax history

+15.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,711 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…