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406 E North St
C Composite 55.26
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

406 E North St · Danvers, IL 61732
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 954 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1874 7,200 sqft lot $105/sqft · 38% below area Est $160k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tons of potential in this 1.5 story on North street in Danvers. First floor primary and laundry. 2nd floor has 2 bedrooms. Oversized 2 car detached garage and large corner lot. This house needs some love and it will be back to it's truest potential. Danvers is just 6 miles from Bloomington. Visit Danvers Vault, Fast stop or the library in just minutes. Property being sold "as is" condition.

Key facts

  • Large corner lot
  • First floor primary
  • 7,200 sq ft lot

Tags

FIRST FLOOR PRIMARYLARGE CORNER LOT6 MILES FROM BLOOMINGTONMINUTES FROM DANVERS VAULT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession at closing; Earnest money is held
  • Financial info: Special service area: No
  • HOA & community: Master association fee not required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage providing 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Property over 100 years old
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Approximately 954 total square feet (assessor); About 558 sq ft on main level and 396 sq ft upper level; Unfinished basement space (approximately 558); Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 120; Lot is less than 0.25 acre; Gated community feature

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with eating area / table space
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (master and one bedroom on main level; two additional bedrooms on second level)
  • Flooring: Carpet in living room and master bedroom; Laminate flooring in one upstairs bedroom; Linoleum in kitchen; Vinyl in utility room
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; Window air conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Cellar basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room / utility (approximately 5 x 10); Separate utility room on main level (approximately 5 x 15)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#429 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Olympia CUSD 16 (rural): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #237 of 620 in IL (top 38%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Olympia South Elem Sch (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #658 of 2,056 statewide, top 35%, 327 students, 0% FRL); Olympia Middle School (math 26% / reading 26%, grade F, #318 of 665 statewide, top 48%, 386 students, 0% FRL); Olympia High School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #157 of 693 statewide, top 25%, 503 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 30% district-wide (30 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 247 units permitted in McLean County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1874 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $99,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1874 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
7.31%
Cash-on-cash
3.64%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,209
List price
$99,900
Delta
-37.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
406 E North St 0.00mi 3/1.0 954 (0%) 1mo $112,000 $117 99
112 W Columbia St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,006 (+6%) 14mo $137,000 $136 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.5%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-10,738
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,190
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61732

Home prices YoY
-20.9%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,055 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$183 /mo · $2,199/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$85

Break-even live

Break-even rent $948
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $141 -5% $113 +0% $85 +5% $56 +10% $28
Rent -10% $1 -5% $43 +0% $85 +5% $126 +10% $168
Rate -1.0pp $135 -0.5pp $110 base $85 +0.5pp $59 +1.0pp $33

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 407-char remark
  2. 2026-05-12
    historical Contingent - No Showings 407-char remark
  3. 2026-05-05
    listed $99,900 Active 407-char remark
  4. 1995-10-01
    soldstatus $63,000
  5. 1994-02-01
    soldstatus $62,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,199 · $183/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,233 · $186/mo
Expected delta
+$34/yr (+$3/mo · 1.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,661
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$2,199
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,013
− Management
−$1,013
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable loss
−$565
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$136
After-tax cash flow
$1,153/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Olympia CUSD 16
NCES district ID
1729890
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$62,002
Composite
26.94/100
National rank
#7081
State rank
#237 of 620 in IL

Livability — Danvers

Score
69/100
State rank
#429
US rank
#8804

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Danvers, IL
Population (ZIP)
2,089

Population outlook (McLean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
176,468 people
By 2030
178,002 · +0.9%
By 2040
178,592 · +1.2%
By 2050
177,090 · +0.4%
By 2075
173,224 · -1.8%
By 2100
158,425 · -10.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Italian 5% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · McLean

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 46.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.7pp toward D · 2008: 1.2pp · 2024: 4.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.9 2020: D+3.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+11.1 2008: D+1.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.43%
Current HPI
197.8062
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+80.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $112,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-16 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $99,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1995-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
  • 1994-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,199 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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