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147 Circle Dr
B- Composite 67.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$99,900

147 Circle Dr · Oceana, WV 24870
5 bd · 3.5 ba · 3,255 sqft · SingleFamily · 192 Days on market
Built 1980 0.50 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.5 acre lot
  • Built 1980
  • Listed 192 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Half-acre lot

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction
  • Exterior features: Storm door(s)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Interior features: Partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $257 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#154 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
  • Wyoming County Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #37 of 55 in WV (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
  • Wyoming County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $87,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.38%
Cash-on-cash
11.03%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
2.14×
Total profit
$31,919
Equity at exit
$48,632
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
4.09×
Total profit
$86,515
Equity at exit
$77,972

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 24870

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,199 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$257

Break-even live

Break-even rent $874
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $326 -5% $292 +0% $257 +5% $223 +10% $188
Rent -10% $162 -5% $210 +0% $257 +5% $304 +10% $352
Rate -1.0pp $307 -0.5pp $283 base $257 +0.5pp $231 +1.0pp $205

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,900 Active 192 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,900 Active 191 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 189 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 188 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 187 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 186 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 185 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 184 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 183 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 180 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 179 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 178 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 177 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 175 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 174 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 173 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 172 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 171 DOM
  19. 2025-12-11
    listed $99,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,393
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,498
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,151
− Management
−$1,151
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$1,590
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$382
After-tax cash flow
$2,704/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wyoming County Schools
NCES district ID
5401650
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$35,763
Composite
23.94/100
National rank
#7783
State rank
#37 of 55 in WV

Livability — Oceana

Score
64/100
State rank
#154
US rank
#14869

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oceana, WV
Population (ZIP)
1,652

Population outlook (Wyoming County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,301 people
By 2030
17,775 · -7.9%
By 2040
14,923 · -22.7%
By 2050
12,703 · -34.2%
By 2075
8,812 · -54.3%
By 2100
6,146 · -68.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 11% Italian 7% Romanian 1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wyoming

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.0) · D 12.9% · R 86.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-48.0pp toward R · 2008: -25.1pp · 2024: -73.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.0 2020: R+72.1 2016: R+70.0 2012: R+55.7 2008: R+25.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.65%
Current HPI
124.3099
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-12-11 Listed $99,900 MTCBOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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