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105 Dresden St
B- Composite 65.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$169,500

105 Dresden St · Houston, TX 77012
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1930 5,000 sqft lot $95/sqft · 43% below area Est $295k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fantastic investment opportunity in desirable East End location. This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home, and an extra large room that can be used as a 4 bedroom or game room, boasts 1792 sqft a rare find, a 2 car garage, and carport. Perfect for investors seeking a full remodel or rental property. With a little TLC, this home can be restored to its original charm. All utilities are active. Conveniently located near I-45, I-610, University of Houston, Mason Park, and shopping.

Key facts

  • Active utilities
  • Near i-45
  • Full remodel

Tags

EAST END LOCATION2 CAR GARAGEFULL REMODELACTIVE UTILITIESNEAR I-45NEAR I-610

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Detached carport; Converted garage; Garage (2-car); Carport with 2 spaces; Alley access
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1930
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Concrete road surface; Located in a subdivision

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor; One bedroom on the second floor
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window unit heating; Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: Bonus room on the second floor; Total of 4 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Edison Middle (math 12% / reading 16%, grade F, #1,596 of 1,662 statewide, top 96%, 460 students, 96% FRL); Milby H S (math 28% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,023 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 2,107 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 71% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $164,415 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
8.06%
Cash-on-cash
6.29%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$295,413
List price
$169,500
Delta
-42.62%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7422 Mckinney St 0.28mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,836 (+2%) 3mo $339,900 $185 71
147 Woodvale Street St Unit A 0.13mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,725 (-4%) 8mo $270,000 $157 70
7216 Avenue B 0.51mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,874 (+5%) 3mo $339,500 $181 56
409 S 72nd St 0.52mi 4/4.0 1,847 (+3%) 6mo $280,000 $152 53
7729 Avenue J Unit B 0.68mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,851 (+3%) 12mo $349,990 $189 42
7729 Avenue J Unit A 0.68mi 3/3.5 (-1) 1,851 (+3%) 8mo $350,000 $189 42
7805 Avenue E 0.46mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,551 (-13%) 4mo $229,990 $148 41
7409 Erath St 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,016 (+12%) 2mo $360,000 $179 38
7725 Avenue H 0.58mi 4/3.0 2,000 (+12%) 9mo $295,000 $148 38
7947 Avenue F 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,571 (-12%) 5mo $289,900 $185 37
7331A Avenue J 0.72mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,725 (-4%) 16mo $334,900 $194 36
7333 Avenue J 0.71mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,725 (-4%) 16mo $334,900 $194 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-4,883
Equity at exit
$32,287
10-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$22,571
Equity at exit
$26,991

Cash invested: $47,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77012

Home prices YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
74
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,016 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$889
Tax from tax record
$384 /mo · $4,606/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$423
Net cashflow
$249

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,700
Max offer price $169,500
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,375
Closing costs
$5,085
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7334 Texas St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1782 $2,200 $1.23 43d 1 0.33mi
1010 S Wayside Dr #101 Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1400 $1,199 $0.86 24d 1 1.21mi
1010 S Wayside Dr #101 Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1400 $1,982 $1.42 43d 1 1.21mi
6403 Avenue C Unit 1019625P Houston, TX 2.0–8.0 1.0–4.0 1232 $4,453 $3.61 3d 2 1.48mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,500 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,500 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,500 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,500 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,500 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,500 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,500 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,500 Active 44 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $169,500 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,500 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,500 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-04-23
    listed $169,500 Active 469-char remark
  13. 2004-07-29
    soldstatus
  14. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,606 · $384/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,606 · $384/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,187
− Mortgage interest
−$9,495
− Property taxes
−$4,606
− Insurance
−$848
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,935
− Management
−$1,935
− Depreciation
−$4,931
Taxable income
$437
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$105
After-tax cash flow
$2,882/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
City population
3,226,434
Population (ZIP)
16,780

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (92%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 92% Two or more races 35% Black 5% White 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 80%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
37% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
18% English-only · Spanish 82%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.08%
Current HPI
274.5729
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $169,500 HARMLS
  • 2004-07-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,606 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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