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271 Lake Rd
D+ Composite 46.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.2/30.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$255,000

271 Lake Rd · Andover, CT 06232
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 848 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1950 Est $198k · 29% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Large east facing deck with views of the lake. Large windows face north toward Andover lake from an enclosed front porch. Original wood floors in spacious living room with beautiful field stone fireplace and center chimney. Kitchen has newer laminate flooring and exposed field stone chimney with sliding glass doors that open out to the deck. Full bath -tub/shower and elongated energy efficient toilet. Rear bedroom has 2 closets and other bedroom has one. Stairs lead to second floor updated open loft with large closet and eaves for storage. Exposed field stone center chimney offers a cozy spacious area. Perfect starter home that is in & acirc; & euro; & oelig; move in & acir

Key facts

  • Original wood floors
  • East facing deck
  • Views of the lake

Tags

EAST FACING DECKVIEWS OF THE LAKEENCLOSED FRONT PORCHORIGINAL WOOD FLOORSFIELD STONE FIREPLACEEXPOSED FIELD STONE CHIMNEY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $255k).
  • Recommended offer: $251k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Regional School District 08 (rural): math 54% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #34 of 153 in CT (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $251,175 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.03%
Cash-on-cash
6.19%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$198,432
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
277 lake Rd 0.04mi 2/1.0 943 (+11%) 4mo $140,000 $148 76
233 Lake Rd 0.19mi 2/1.5 860 (+1%) 13mo $310,000 $360 76
239 Lake Rd 0.16mi 2/1.0 942 (+11%) 5mo $220,500 $234 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-17,885
Equity at exit
$38,021
10-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$14,582
Equity at exit
$22,048

Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06232

Home prices YoY
-4.2%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,600 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$242 /mo · $2,909/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$546
Net cashflow
$368

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,134
Max offer price $255,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,750
Closing costs
$7,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
277 Lake Rd Andover, CT 2.0 1.0 943 $2,600 $2.76 10d 1 0.04mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $255,000 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $255,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $255,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $255,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $255,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $255,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $255,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $255,000 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $255,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $255,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $255,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $255,000 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $255,000 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $255,000 Active 7 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $255,000 Active 6 DOM
  16. 2026-05-26
    listed $255,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,909 · $242/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,183 · $349/mo
Expected delta
+$1,274/yr (+$106/mo · 43.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,200
− Mortgage interest
−$14,284
− Property taxes
−$2,909
− Insurance
−$1,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,496
− Management
−$2,496
− Depreciation
−$7,418
Taxable income
$322
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$77
After-tax cash flow
$4,340/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Regional School District 08
NCES district ID
0903750
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$106,389
Composite
56.01/100
National rank
#1190
State rank
#34 of 153 in CT

Livability — Andover

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,148

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Italian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.24%
Current HPI
233.0983
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $255,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

-1.0%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,909 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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