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13051 Ritz-carlton Highlands Dr Unit 4405 Share 17
F Composite 34.54
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Cash flow +0.0/30.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$55,000

13051 Ritz-carlton Highlands Dr Unit 4405 Share 17 · Tahoe Vista, CA 96161-0000
3 bd · 3.5 ba · 1,900 sqft · Timeshare · 152 Days on market
Built 2008 $29/sqft · 57% below area $2332/mo HOA · 182% of rent ↓ 54% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Own a Slice of Luxury: Ski-In/Ski-Out Haven at Northstar – 2 preset weeks each year, plus a float week and per diem use in this stunning 3 bedroom, 3.5 bath luxury residence overlooking the ski runs and surrounding mountains. Upcoming booked dates are: Jan 31- Feb 7 , 2026, Dec 26, 2026 - Jan 2, 2027, Feb 6-13, 2027. Elevate your vacations with deeded ownership in the Ritz-Carlton Destination Club, offering unparalleled ski-in/ski-out convenience at Lake Tahoe’s premier Northstar resort. Indulge in the perfect blend of privacy, 5-star service, and world-class amenities. Ownership also grants access to 5 other Ritz-Carlton Clubs and the global Ritz-Carlton hotel network, enhancing your travels with exclusive privileges, discounts, and per diem rates. This is more than vacation homeownership—it’s a lifestyle of exclusivity, tailored concierge services, and unforgettable family vacations. Club overview package available and includes access to Aspen, Vail, St. Thomas, SF, and all Ritz Hotels worldwide. •Private Owners Lounge with complimentary refreshments throughout the day • The Ritz-Carlton Highlands Spa featuring 17,000 sf of pampering • Pools, whirlpool tubs, and fire pits • Private fitness center • Fine dining at Manzanita, the resort’s signature restaurant • Free Gondola Rides direct to Northstar Village from the front door • Ritz Kids program offers fun forages 5-12 Lake Tahoe Residence Features • Three bedroom, 3.5 bath Residence • Sought after residence with sweeping views of Martis Valley and gondola • Full, gourmet kitchens with granite countertops and Viking appliances • South-facing living room with gas fireplace and balcony • Spacious master suites and bathrooms, accompanied by walk-in closets •Flat Screen TV’s, DVD and CD players with surround sound • Bose surround sound • Wine Refrigerator • Washer/Dryer •Heat/ Airconditioning with controls • Elegant designer furnishings and housewares • Custom cabinetry and woodwork throughout •Italian-marble heated bath floors • Double-paned windows for sound minimization • High speed internet Additional On-site Conveniences• Dedicated, on-site Club Concierge • Private, secure parking garage on the property • 24hour security service• Storage of ski equipment and other personal items year round in secure, air conditioned member storage area •Complimentary valet parking and heated garage for one vehicle • In-residence ski equipment fittings available with Ski Butlers • At your service ski valet and overnight ski tuning • Pre-arrival provisioning and grocery shopping • Twice-daily housekeeping • Private chef services available • Room service available

Key facts

  • Free gondola rides
  • Deeded ownership
  • Garage

Tags

DEEDED OWNERSHIPPRIVATE OWNERS LOUNGERITZ-CARLTON HIGHLANDS SPAPRIVATE FITNESS CENTERFINE DINING AT MANZANITAFREE GONDOLA RIDES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath timeshare listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-20k/yr) — negative.
  • Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate -30.8% vs local median 1.7% in Tahoe Vista — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#1,011 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Tahoe-Truckee Unified (town): math 44% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #136 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Truckee Elementary (math 33% / reading 45%, grade F, #656 of 1,571 statewide, top 42%, 451 students, 52% FRL); Alder Creek Middle (math 41% / reading 54%, grade C-, #113 of 498 statewide, top 23%, 538 students, 26% FRL); Tahoe Truckee High (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #256 of 1,170 statewide, top 24%, 890 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 3,535 units permitted in Placer County in 2024 (689 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Placer County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 182% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
-30.78%
Cash-on-cash
-132.42%
DSCR
-4.89
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$128,705
List price
$55,000
Delta
-57.27%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
-5.50×
Total profit
$-100,153
Equity at exit
$24,730
10-year hold
IRR
-70.5%
Equity multiple
-12.17×
Total profit
$-202,850
Equity at exit
$38,112

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 96161-0000

Active inventory
55
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,282 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $825/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$2,332
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$-1,699

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,433
Max offer price
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,661 -5% $-1,680 +0% $-1,699 +5% $-1,718 +10% $-1,737
Rent -10% $-1,801 -5% $-1,750 +0% $-1,699 +5% $-1,649 +10% $-1,598
Rate -1.0pp $-1,672 -0.5pp $-1,685 base $-1,699 +0.5pp $-1,714 +1.0pp $-1,728

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$2,332 · $27,984/yr
Likely covers
gasinternetpoolgymdoormansecurity

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $55,000 Active 152 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 149 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 148 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 147 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 146 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $55,000 Active 144 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $55,000 Active 141 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 140 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 139 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 138 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $55,000 Active 135 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 134 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 133 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 132 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 131 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $55,000 Active 130 DOM
  17. 2026-03-30
    price $55,000 2846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2846 chars)

    Own a Slice of Luxury: Ski-In/Ski-Out Haven at Northstar – 2 preset weeks each year, plus a float week and per diem use in this stunning 3 bedroom, 3.5 bath luxury residence overlooking the ski runs and surrounding mountains. Upcoming booked dates are: Jan 31- Feb 7 , 2026, Dec 26, 2026 - Jan 2, 2027, Feb 6-13, 2027. Elevate your vacations with deeded ownership in the Ritz-Carlton Destination Club, offering unparalleled ski-in/ski-out convenience at Lake Tahoe’s premier Northstar resort. Indulge in the perfect blend of privacy, 5-star service, and world-class amenities. Ownership also grants access to 5 other Ritz-Carlton Clubs and the global Ritz-Carlton hotel network, enhancing your travels with exclusive privileges, discounts, and per diem rates. This is more than vacation homeownership—it’s a lifestyle of exclusivity, tailored concierge services, and unforgettable family vacations. Club overview package available and includes access to Aspen, Vail, St. Thomas, SF, and all Ritz Hotels worldwide. •Private Owners Lounge with complimentary refreshments throughout the day • The Ritz-Carlton Highlands Spa featuring 17,000 sf of pampering • Pools, whirlpool tubs, and fire pits • Private fitness center • Fine dining at Manzanita, the resort’s signature restaurant • Free Gondola Rides direct to Northstar Village from the front door • Ritz Kids program offers fun forages 5-12 Lake Tahoe Residence Features • Three bedroom, 3.5 bath Residence • Sought after residence with sweeping views of Martis Valley and gondola • Full, gourmet kitchens with granite countertops and Viking appliances • South-facing living room with gas fireplace and balcony • Spacious master suites and bathrooms, accompanied by walk-in closets •Flat Screen TV’s, DVD and CD players with surround sound • Bose surround sound • Wine Refrigerator • Washer/Dryer •Heat/ Airconditioning with controls • Elegant designer furnishings and housewares • Custom cabinetry and woodwork throughout •Italian-marble heated bath floors • Double-paned windows for sound minimization • High speed internet Additional On-site Conveniences• Dedicated, on-site Club Concierge • Private, secure parking garage on the property • 24hour security service• Storage of ski equipment and other personal items year round in secure, air conditioned member storage area •Complimentary valet parking and heated garage for one vehicle • In-residence ski equipment fittings available with Ski Butlers • At your service ski valet and overnight ski tuning • Pre-arrival provisioning and grocery shopping • Twice-daily housekeeping • Private chef services available • Room service available

  18. 2026-01-20
    listed $69,000 Active 2846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2846 chars)

    Own a Slice of Luxury: Ski-In/Ski-Out Haven at Northstar – 2 preset weeks each year, plus a float week and per diem use in this stunning 3 bedroom, 3.5 bath luxury residence overlooking the ski runs and surrounding mountains. Upcoming booked dates are: Jan 31- Feb 7 , 2026, Dec 26, 2026 - Jan 2, 2027, Feb 6-13, 2027. Elevate your vacations with deeded ownership in the Ritz-Carlton Destination Club, offering unparalleled ski-in/ski-out convenience at Lake Tahoe’s premier Northstar resort. Indulge in the perfect blend of privacy, 5-star service, and world-class amenities. Ownership also grants access to 5 other Ritz-Carlton Clubs and the global Ritz-Carlton hotel network, enhancing your travels with exclusive privileges, discounts, and per diem rates. This is more than vacation homeownership—it’s a lifestyle of exclusivity, tailored concierge services, and unforgettable family vacations. Club overview package available and includes access to Aspen, Vail, St. Thomas, SF, and all Ritz Hotels worldwide. •Private Owners Lounge with complimentary refreshments throughout the day • The Ritz-Carlton Highlands Spa featuring 17,000 sf of pampering • Pools, whirlpool tubs, and fire pits • Private fitness center • Fine dining at Manzanita, the resort’s signature restaurant • Free Gondola Rides direct to Northstar Village from the front door • Ritz Kids program offers fun forages 5-12 Lake Tahoe Residence Features • Three bedroom, 3.5 bath Residence • Sought after residence with sweeping views of Martis Valley and gondola • Full, gourmet kitchens with granite countertops and Viking appliances • South-facing living room with gas fireplace and balcony • Spacious master suites and bathrooms, accompanied by walk-in closets •Flat Screen TV’s, DVD and CD players with surround sound • Bose surround sound • Wine Refrigerator • Washer/Dryer •Heat/ Airconditioning with controls • Elegant designer furnishings and housewares • Custom cabinetry and woodwork throughout •Italian-marble heated bath floors • Double-paned windows for sound minimization • High speed internet Additional On-site Conveniences• Dedicated, on-site Club Concierge • Private, secure parking garage on the property • 24hour security service• Storage of ski equipment and other personal items year round in secure, air conditioned member storage area •Complimentary valet parking and heated garage for one vehicle • In-residence ski equipment fittings available with Ski Butlers • At your service ski valet and overnight ski tuning • Pre-arrival provisioning and grocery shopping • Twice-daily housekeeping • Private chef services available • Room service available

  19. 2025-08-24
    price $79,000
  20. 2024-12-26
    price $95,000
  21. 2021-03-18
    soldstatus $68,887 Sold
  22. 2021-03-12
    status Pending
  23. 2021-02-26
    historical Contingent
  24. 2021-01-15
    listed $50,000 Active
  25. 2020-02-03
    price $10,000
  26. 2017-04-27
    price $120,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥82°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,384
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$825
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,231
− Management
−$1,231
− HOA
−$27,984
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable loss
−$20,842
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,002
After-tax cash flow
$-15,390/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tahoe-Truckee Unified
NCES district ID
0638770
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$67,136
Composite
44.38/100
National rank
#2816
State rank
#136 of 517 in CA

Livability — Tahoe Vista

Score
52/100
State rank
#1011
US rank
#24918

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

No demographic data for this ZIP.

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-54.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $55,000 TSMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $69,000 TSMLS
  • 2025-08-24 Price Changed $79,000 TSMLS
  • 2024-12-26 Price Changed $95,000 TSMLS
  • 2021-03-18 Sold (MLS) $68,887 TSMLS
  • 2021-03-12 Pending TSMLS
  • 2021-02-26 Contingent TSMLS
  • 2021-01-15 Listed $50,000 TSMLS
  • 2020-02-03 Price Changed $10,000 TSMLS
  • 2017-04-27 Price Changed $120,000 TSMLS

Property tax history

+17.1%/yr

Latest (2014): $27,709 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…