8852 Mettetal St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. The property offers a spacious layout * * PROPERTY IS RENTED WITH A GOOD PAYING TENNAT * * * * !!!DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS * * * SHOWINGS WILL BE DONE AFTER OFFERS IS ACCPTED * *
Key facts
- Immediate cash flow
- Practical layout
- Turnkey rental
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $486 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,209/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 4144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.04%
- DSCR
- 2.43
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $43,138
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- 50.68%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8881 Rutherford St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+9%) | 9mo | $20,000 | $24 | 70 |
| 8883 Rutherford St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+9%) | 9mo | $20,000 | $24 | 70 |
| 8921 Rutherford St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 857 (+11%) | 9mo | $20,000 | $23 | 66 |
| 8283 Sussex St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 777 (+1%) | 4mo | $58,000 | $75 | 64 |
| 9176 Winthrop St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 730 (-5%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $41 | 64 |
| 8896 Coyle St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 768 (-0%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $59 | 57 |
| 8324 Coyle St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+4%) | 8mo | $48,000 | $60 | 54 |
| 9950 Memorial St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 746 (-3%) | 7mo | $5,500 | $7 | 50 |
| 16813 Tireman St | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 824 (+7%) | 10mo | $53,000 | $64 | 47 |
| 9965 Asbury Park | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 824 (+7%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $73 | 46 |
| 10017 Mansfield St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 862 (+12%) | 8mo | $45,000 | $52 | 39 |
| 8612 Rosemont Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 870 (+13%) | 10mo | $18,000 | $21 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $16,908
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 29.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $41,014
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48228
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 363
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,209 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,211/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $486
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $523 | -5% $504 | +0% $486 | +5% $468 | +10% $449 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $391 | -5% $438 | +0% $486 | +5% $534 | +10% $581 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $519 | -0.5pp $503 | base $486 | +0.5pp $469 | +1.0pp $452 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9345 Rutherford St Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 9222 Forrer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 17d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 9108 Archdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 8604 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1033 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 9601 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $725 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 8850 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 18d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 9936 Montrose St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 963 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 2d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 9973 Winthrop St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 8451 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $1,150 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 8262 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,200 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 18401 Joy Rd Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $875 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 9917 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,375 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 8212 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 7419 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $1,150 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 11345 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 14740 W Chicago Unit B Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $845 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,117 | $1.62 | 2d | 15 | 0.93mi |
| 11393 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 8114 Marlowe St Unit home Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,350 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 10015 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 11397 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 9590 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,430 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 9090 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 787 | $1,250 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 11634 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,326 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 12121 Montrose St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,373 | $1.57 | 22d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 6761 Memorial Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 11741 Penrod St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 12039 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 19449 W Chicago St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-15remarks 687-char remark
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2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 306 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 304 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 303 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 300 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 299 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 298 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 295 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 294 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 292 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 291 DOM
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2026-05-12price $65,000 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. The property offers a spacious layout * * PROPERTY IS RENTED WITH A GOOD PAYING TENNAT * * * * !!!DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS * * * SHOWINGS WILL BE DONE AFTER OFFERS IS ACCPTED * *
-
2026-05-12price $65,000 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. The property offers a spacious layout * * PROPERTY IS RENTED WITH A GOOD PAYING TENNAT * * * * !!!DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS * * * SHOWINGS WILL BE DONE AFTER OFFERS IS ACCPTED * *
-
2025-08-13$70,000 Active 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. The property offers a spacious layout * * PROPERTY IS RENTED WITH A GOOD PAYING TENNAT * * * * !!!DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS * * * SHOWINGS WILL BE DONE AFTER OFFERS IS ACCPTED * *
-
2025-08-13$70,000 Active 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. The property offers a spacious layout * * PROPERTY IS RENTED WITH A GOOD PAYING TENNAT * * * * !!!DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANTS * * * SHOWINGS WILL BE DONE AFTER OFFERS IS ACCPTED * *
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2020-08-31soldstatus $60,900
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2020-06-29soldstatus $21,000 Sold
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2020-06-29soldstatus $21,000 Closed
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2020-06-02status Pending
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2020-06-02status Pending
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2020-05-27price $24,900
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2020-05-26price $24,900
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2020-05-22status Active
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2020-05-22status Active
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2020-05-20historical Accepting Backup Offers
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2020-05-20historical Accepting Backup Offers
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2020-05-15status Active
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2020-05-15status Active
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2018-08-21status Pending
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2018-08-21status Pending
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2018-04-29price $21,900
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2018-04-29price $21,900
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2018-04-04$24,900 Active
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2018-04-04$24,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,211 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,211 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,505
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,211
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,160
- − Management
- −$1,160
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $5,116
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,228
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,604/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,117
- Household income
- $30,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4144.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.81%
- Current HPI
- 168.6843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+161.0% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-13 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-13 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $60,900 Public Records
- 2020-06-29 Sold (MLS) $21,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-06-29 Sold (MLS) $21,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-06-02 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-06-02 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-05-27 Price Changed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-05-26 Price Changed $24,900 REALCOMP
- 2020-05-22 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-05-22 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2020-05-20 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-05-20 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2020-05-15 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-05-15 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2018-08-21 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-08-21 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2018-04-29 Price Changed $21,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-04-29 Price Changed $21,900 REALCOMP
- 2018-04-04 Listed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-04-04 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,211 · -10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…